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This tutorial focuses on efficient methods to predictive monitoring (PM), the problem of detecting at runtime future violations of a given requirement from the current state of a system. While performing model checking at runtime would…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Nicola Paoletti

We consider the problem of predictive monitoring (PM), i.e., predicting at runtime the satisfaction of a desired property from the current system's state. Due to its relevance for runtime safety assurance and online control, PM methods need…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-07 Francesca Cairoli , Nicola Paoletti , Luca Bortolussi

We investigate the problem of monitoring partially observable systems with nondeterministic and probabilistic dynamics. In such systems, every state may be associated with a risk, e.g., the probability of an imminent crash. During runtime,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Sebastian Junges , Hazem Torfah , Sanjit A. Seshia

The partial monitoring (PM) framework provides a theoretical formulation of sequential learning problems with incomplete feedback. On each round, a learning agent plays an action while the environment simultaneously chooses an outcome. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Maxime Heuillet , Ola Ahmad , Audrey Durand

In partially observable (PO) environments, deep reinforcement learning (RL) agents often suffer from unsatisfactory performance, since two problems need to be tackled together: how to extract information from the raw observations to solve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-25 Dongqi Han , Kenji Doya , Jun Tani

The field of predictive process monitoring focuses on case-level models to predict a single specific outcome such as a particular objective, (remaining) time, or next activity/remaining sequence. Recently, a longer-horizon, model-wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Partially-Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) are a well-known stochastic model for sequential decision making under limited information. We consider the EXPTIME-hard problem of synthesising policies that almost-surely reach some…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Sebastian Junges , Nils Jansen , Sanjit A. Seshia

We consider the problem of quantitative predictive monitoring (QPM) of stochastic systems, i.e., predicting at runtime the degree of satisfaction of a desired temporal logic property from the current state of the system. Since computational…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Lars Lindemann , Nicola Paoletti

This paper poses a theoretical characterization of the stochastic reachability problem in terms of probability measures, capturing the probability measure of the state of the system that satisfies the reachability specification for all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Karthik Sivaramakrishnan , Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Rosalyn Alex Devonport , Meeko M. K. Oishi

Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) aims at leveraging historic process execution data to predict how ongoing executions will continue up to their completion. In recent years, PPM techniques for the prediction of the next activities have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Ivan Donadello , Jonghyeon Ko , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Jan Mendling , Francesco Riva , Matthias Weidlich

We focus on the online-based active learning (OAL) setting where an agent operates over a stream of observations and trades-off between the costly acquisition of information (labelled observations) and the cost of prediction errors. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Maxime Heuillet , Ola Ahmad , Audrey Durand

Reachability analysis of hybrid systems has been used as a safety verification tool to assess offline whether the state of a system is capable of remaining within a designated safe region for a given time horizon. Although it has been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Kendra Lesser , Meeko Oishi

In most real-world reinforcement learning applications, state information is only partially observable, which breaks the Markov decision process assumption and leads to inferior performance for algorithms that conflate observations with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Hongming Zhang , Tongzheng Ren , Chenjun Xiao , Dale Schuurmans , Bo Dai

Penetration testing, the simulation of cyberattacks to identify security vulnerabilities, presents a sequential decision-making problem well-suited for reinforcement learning (RL) automation. Like many applications of RL to real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Raphael Simon , Pieter Libin , Wim Mees

Model predictive control allows solving complex control tasks with control and state constraints. However, an optimal control problem must be solved in real-time to predict the future system behavior, which is hardly possible on embedded…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-13 Jan Olucak , Walter Fichter , Torbjørn Cunis

A characteristic of existing predictive process monitoring techniques is to first construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Williams Rizzi , Cosimo Damiano Persia

Partially-observable problems pose a trade-off between reducing costs and gathering information. They can be solved optimally by planning in belief space, but that is often prohibitively expensive. Model-predictive control (MPC) takes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Baris Kayalibay , Atanas Mirchev , Ahmed Agha , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

We propose automated techniques for the verification and control of probabilistic real-time systems that are only partially observable. To formally model such systems, we define an extension of probabilistic timed automata in which local…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-06-24 Gethin Norman , David Parker , Xueyi Zou

Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) techniques predict future process behaviour based on historical event log data to improve operational business processes. Concerning the next activity prediction, recent PBPM techniques use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Sven Weinzierl , Sebastian Dunzer , Sandra Zilker , Martin Matzner

Runtime monitors assess whether a system is in an unsafe state based on a stream of observations. We study the problem where the system is subject to probabilistic uncertainty and described by a hidden Markov model. A stream of observations…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Luko van der Maas , Sebastian Junges
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