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In this paper, we study the pricing of contracts in fixed income markets under volatility uncertainty in the sense of Knightian uncertainty or model uncertainty. The starting point is an arbitrage-free bond market under volatility…
We provide an efficient and accurate simulation scheme for the rough Heston model in the standard ($H>0$) as well as the hyper-rough regime ($H > -1/2$). The scheme is based on low-dimensional Markovian approximations of the rough Heston…
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning regression is of wide interest, as it supports critical applications including sequential decision making and risk-sensitive tasks. In heteroskedastic regression, where the uncertainty of the…
Closed form formulas for swaption prices in HJM model are derived. These formulas are used for nonparametric fit of deterministic forward volatility. It is demonstrated that this formula and non-parametric fit works very well and can be…
In this paper, we relax the power parameter of instantaneous variance and develop a new stochastic volatility plus jumps model that generalize the Heston model and 3/2 model as special cases. This model has two distinctive features. First,…
We propose the deep parametric PDE method to solve high-dimensional parametric partial differential equations. A single neural network approximates the solution of a whole family of PDEs after being trained without the need of sample…
We study singular perturbation problems for second order HJB equations in an unbounded setting. The main applications are large deviations estimates for the short maturity asymptotics of stochastic systems affected by a stochastic…
In quantitative finance, modeling the volatility structure of underlying assets is vital to pricing options. Rough stochastic volatility models, such as the rough Bergomi model [Bayer, Friz, Gatheral, Quantitative Finance 16(6), 887-904,…
We study the pricing problem for a European call option when the volatility of the underlying asset is random and follows the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model. The random diffusion model proposed is a two-dimensional market process that…
We introduce a modular framework that extends the signature method to handle American option pricing under evolving volatility roughness. Building on the signature-pricing framework of Bayer et al. (2025), we add three practical…
We give an analytical characterization of the price function of an American option in Heston-type models. Our approach is based on variational inequalities and extends recent results of Daskalopoulos and Feehan (2011). We study the…
This study employs expected certainty equivalents to explore the reinsurance and investment issue pertaining to an insurer that aims to maximize the expected utility while being subject to random risk aversion. The insurer's surplus process…
Effective utilization of flexible loads for grid services, while satisfying end-user preferences and constraints, requires an accurate estimation of the aggregated predictive flexibility offered by the electrical loads. Virtual battery (VB)…
We introduce a novel rough Bergomi (rBergomi) model featuring a variance-driven exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) time-dependent Hurst parameter $H_t$, fundamentally distinct from recent machine learning and wavelet-based…
G-expectation, as a sublinear expectation, provides a powerful framework for modeling uncertainty in financial markets. Motivated by the need for robust valuation under model uncertainty, this work develops a unified risk-neutral valuation…
Pricing of high-dimensional options is a deep problem of the Theoretical Financial Mathematics. In this article we present a new class of L\'{e}vy driven models of stock markets. In our opinion, any market model should be based on a…
The max-stable process is an asymptotically justified model for spatial extremes. In particular, we focus on the hierarchical extreme-value process (HEVP), which is a particular max-stable process that is conducive to Bayesian computing.…
One of the most challenging and consequential problems in climate modeling is to provide probabilistic projections of sea level rise. A large part of the uncertainty of sea level projections is due to uncertainty in ice sheet dynamics. At…
In previous works Avellaneda et al. pioneered the pricing and hedging of index options - products highly sensitive to implied volatility and correlation assumptions - with large deviations methods, assuming local volatility dynamics for all…
The cryptocurrency market is volatile, non-stationary and non-continuous. Together with liquid derivatives markets, this poses a unique opportunity to study risk management, especially the hedging of options, in a turbulent market. We study…