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We study nonparametric estimators of conditional Kendall's tau, a measure of concordance between two random variables given some covariates. We prove non-asymptotic bounds with explicit constants, that hold with high probabilities. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

In this paper, we revisit the notion of partial copula, originally introduced to test conditional independence, highlighting its capability to represent the dependence between two random variables after removing their dependence with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Vinícius Litvinoff Justus , Felipe Fontana Vieira

Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

Recent work has focused on nonparametric estimation of conditional treatment effects, but inference has remained relatively unexplored. We propose a class of nonparametric tests for both quantitative and qualitative treatment effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Oliver Dukes , Mats J. Stensrud , Riccardo Brioschi , Aaron Hudson

Tests of conditional independence (CI) underpin a number of important problems in machine learning and statistics, from causal discovery to evaluation of predictor fairness and out-of-distribution robustness. Shah and Peters (2020) showed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-17 Zheng He , Roman Pogodin , Yazhe Li , Namrata Deka , Arthur Gretton , Danica J. Sutherland

We provide an epsilon-delta interpretation of Chatterjee's rank correlation by tracing its origin to a notion of local dependence between random variables. Starting from a primitive epsilon-delta construction, we show that rank-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Zeusu Sato

There has been much interest in the nonparametric testing of conditional independence in the econometric and statistical literature, but the simplest and potentially most useful method, based on the sample partial correlation, seems to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Wicher Bergsma

Independence testing is a classical statistical problem that has been extensively studied in the batch setting when one fixes the sample size before collecting data. However, practitioners often prefer procedures that adapt to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-21 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Patrick Blöbaum , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan , Aaditya Ramdas

This article proposes a novel test for the martingale difference hypothesis based on the martingale difference divergence function, a recently developed dependence measure suitable for measuring the degree of conditional mean dependence of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-10 Luca Mattia Rolla

This paper introduces the sequential CRT, which is a variable selection procedure that combines the conditional randomization test (CRT) and Selective SeqStep+. Valid p-values are constructed via the flexible CRT, which are then ordered and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-08 Shuangning Li , Emmanuel J. Candès

Estimating causal effects from observational data requires identifying valid adjustment sets. This task is especially challenging in realistic settings where latent confounding and feedback loops are present. Existing approaches typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Ana Leticia Garcez Vicente , Gijs van Seeventer , Saber Salehkaleybar

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are widely considered the gold standard for evaluating the effectiveness of new treatments or interventions in drug development. Still, they may not be feasible in certain cases, such as with rare diseases…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Di Ran , Fanni Zhang , Sima Shahsavari , Kristine Broglio , Alasdair Henderson , Binbing Yu

This paper is concerned with the problem of conditional independence testing for discrete data. In recent years, researchers have shed new light on this fundamental problem, emphasizing finite-sample optimality. The non-asymptotic viewpoint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Ilmun Kim , Matey Neykov , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

It is well known that the dependence structure for jointly Gaussian variables can be fully captured using correlations, and that the conditional dependence structure in the same way can be described using partial correlations. The partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Håkon Otneim , Dag Tjøstheim

We propose a nonparametric procedure to test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time. The new test requires only mild assumptions on the serial dependence structure and has considerable power in finite samples. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Dominik Wied

Randomness or mutual independence is a fundamental assumption forming the basis of statistical inference across disciplines such as economics, finance, and management. Consequently, validating this assumption is essential for the reliable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Shriya Gehlot , Arnab Kumar Laha

Conditional-independence-based discovery uses statistical tests to identify a graphical model that represents the independence structure of variables in a dataset. These tests, however, can be unreliable, and algorithms are sensitive to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Philipp M. Faller , Dominik Janzing

This paper studies the spectral behavior of large dimensional Chatterjee's rank correlation matrix when observations are independent draws from a high-dimensional random vector with independent continuous components. We show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Zhaorui Dong , Fang Han , Jianfeng Yao

How should researchers conduct causal inference when the outcome of interest is latent and measured imperfectly by multiple indicators? We develop a general nonparametric framework for identifying and estimating average treatment effects on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

One important obstacle in applying Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) is its relationship to frequencies. In particular, there exist serious difficulties in finding factorizations of belief functions from data. In probability theory…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-12-17 Andrzej Matuszewski , Mieczysław A. Kłopotek