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Dynamic link prediction is important for modeling evolving interactions in complex systems, including social, communication, financial, and transportation networks. Classical temporal graph models capture sequential dependencies, but they…

Monitoring complex systems results in massive multivariate time series data, and anomaly detection of these data is very important to maintain the normal operation of the systems. Despite the recent emergence of a large number of anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Liwei Deng , Xuanhao Chen , Yan Zhao , Kai Zheng

In this paper we study the problem of discovering a timeline of events in a temporal network. We model events as dense subgraphs that occur within intervals of network activity. We formulate the event-discovery task as an optimization…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Polina Rozenshtein , Francesco Bonchi , Aristides Gionis , Mauro Sozio , Nikolaj Tatti

Disentangling complex causal relationships is important for accurate detection of anomalies. In multivariate time series analysis, dynamic interactions among data variables over time complicate the interpretation of causal relationships.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Wonah Kim , Jeonghyeon Park , Dongsan Jun , Jungkyu Han , Sejin Chun

Accurate time series forecasting is a fundamental challenge in data science. It is often affected by external covariates such as weather or human intervention, which in many applications, may be predicted with reasonable accuracy. We refer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Jimeng Shi , Rukmangadh Myana , Vitalii Stebliankin , Azam Shirali , Giri Narasimhan

Irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) are characterized by irregular time intervals within variables and unaligned observations across variables, posing challenges in learning temporal and variable dependencies. Many existing IMTS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Boyuan Li , Yicheng Luo , Zhen Liu , Junhao Zheng , Jianming Lv , Qianli Ma

Many scientific areas, from computer science to the environmental sciences and finance, give rise to multivariate time series which exhibit long memory, or loosely put, a slow decay in their autocorrelation structure. Efficient modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Chiara Boetti , Matthew A. Nunes , Marina I. Knight

In many application domains, time series are monitored to detect extreme events like technical faults, natural disasters, or disease outbreaks. Unfortunately, it is often non-trivial to select both a time series that is informative about…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-01 Erik Scharwächter , Emmanuel Müller

Multivariate network time series are ubiquitous in modern systems, yet existing network autoregressive models typically treat nodes as scalar processes, ignoring cross-variable spillovers. To capture these complex interactions without the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Qi Lyu , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Di Wang

Time series forecasting plays a key role in a variety of domains. In a lot of real-world scenarios, there exist multiple forecasting entities (e.g. power station in the solar system, stations in the traffic system). A straightforward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Lin Huang , Lijun Wu , Jia Zhang , Jiang Bian , Tie-Yan Liu

Research in transportation frequently involve modelling and predicting attributes of events that occur at regular intervals. The event could be arrival of a bus at a bus stop, the volume of a traffic at a particular point, the demand at a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-08-14 Narayanan U. Edakunni , Aditi Raghunathan , Abhishek Tripathi , John Handley , Fredric Roulland

Identifying patterns of relations among the units of a complex system from measurements of their activities in time is a fundamental problem with many practical applications. Here, we introduce a method that detects dependencies of any…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-09 Andrea Civilini , Fabrizio de Vico Fallani , Vito Latora

This paper addresses a multi-label predictive fault classification problem for multidimensional time-series data. While fault (event) detection problems have been thoroughly studied in literature, most of the state-of-the-art techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Wenyu Zhang , Devesh K. Jha , Emil Laftchiev , Daniel Nikovski

Time series analysis has achieved great success in cyber security such as intrusion detection and device identification. Learning similarities among multiple time series is a crucial problem since it serves as the foundation for downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Shaoyu Dou , Kai Yang , Yang Jiao , Chengbo Qiu , Kui Ren

Dynamic graphs with ordered sequences of events between nodes are prevalent in real-world industrial applications such as e-commerce and social platforms. However, representation learning for dynamic graphs has posed great computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Xinshi Chen , Yan Zhu , Haowen Xu , Mengyang Liu , Liang Xiong , Muhan Zhang , Le Song

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

We consider random-access networks with nodes representing transmitter-receiver pairs whose signals interfere with each other depending on their vicinity. Data packets arrive at the nodes over time and form queues. The nodes can be either…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Matteo Sfragara

Clinical time series are often irregularly sampled, with varying sensor frequencies, missing observations, and misaligned timestamps. Prior approaches typically address these irregularities by interpolating data into regular sequences,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Arash Hajisafi , Maria Despoina Siampou , Bita Azarijoo , Zhen Xiong , Cyrus Shahabi

A challenging problem when studying a dynamical system is to find the interdependencies among its individual components. Several algorithms have been proposed to detect directed dynamical influences between time series. Two of the most used…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-09 Alessandro Montalto , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Luca Faes , Giovanni Tessitore , Roberto Prevete , Daniele Marinazzo