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Volatility is the language in which finance often describes risk, but it is not the language in which institutions experience risk. Allocators live through drawdowns, liquidity needs, spending rules, rebalance decisions, board oversight,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Gregory A. Fanous

We study the economics of transaction reverts on Ethereum rollups and show that they are not accidental failures but equilibrium outcomes of MEV strategies. Using execution traces from major L2s, we find that over 80% of reverted…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Krzysztof Gogol , Manvir Schneider , Claudio Tessone

The discovery of materials with tailored properties is increasingly reliant on computational methods. However, the fragmented landscape of existing software often hinders the seamless integration of large-scale structure prediction with…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-04-24 Jiexi Song , Aixian She , Changpeng Song , Diwei Shi , Fengyuan Xuan , Chongde Cao

This paper presents a general framework for the design and analysis of exchange mechanisms between two assets that unifies and enables comparisons between the two dominant paradigms for exchange, constant function market markers (CFMMs) and…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Jason Milionis , Ciamac C. Moallemi , Tim Roughgarden

The integration of cryptocurrencies into institutional portfolios necessitates the adoption of robust risk modeling frameworks. This study is a part of a series of subsequent works to fine-tune model risk analysis for cryptocurrencies.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-22 Ekleen Kaur

Sequential decisions in volatile, high-stakes settings require more than maximizing expected return; they require principled uncertainty management. This paper presents the Uncertainty-Aware Markov Decision Process (UAMDP), a unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Michal Koren , Or Peretz , Tai Dinh , Philip S. Yu

The success of deep learning is due in large part to our ability to solve certain massive non-convex optimization problems with relative ease. Though non-convex optimization is NP-hard, simple algorithms -- often variants of stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Samuel K. Ainsworth , Jonathan Hayase , Siddhartha Srinivasa

Prediction markets are powerful mechanisms for information aggregation, but existing designs are optimized for single-event contracts. In practice, traders frequently express beliefs about joint outcomes - through parlays in sports,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Ranvir Rana , Viraj Nadkarni , Niusha Moshrefi , Pramod Viswanath

This paper introduces a state-dependent momentum framework that integrates ESG regime switching with tail-risk-aware reward-risk metrics. Using a dynamic programming approach and solving a finite-horizon Bellman equation, we construct…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-02 Ayush Jha , Abootaleb Shirvani , Ali Jaffri , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

The aggregation of individual risks in large credit and insurance portfolios is guided by diversification and the law of large numbers, which formalizes the convergence of sample averages to their means. At the same time, regulatory capital…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Max Nendel

Blockchains have popularized automated market makers (AMMs). An AMM exchange is an application running on a blockchain which maintains a pool of crypto-assets and automatically trades assets with users governed by some pricing function that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-16 T-H. Hubert Chan , Ke Wu , Elaine Shi

We postulates, and then show experimentally, that liquidity deficit is the driving force of the markets. In the first part of the paper a kinematic of liquidity deficit is developed. The calculus-like approach, which is based on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-07 Vladislav Gennadievich Malyshkin , Ray Bakhramov

We analyze the infinite horizon minimax average cost Markov Control Model (MCM), for a class of controlled process conditional distributions, which belong to a ball, with respect to total variation distance metric, centered at a known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-22 Ioannis Tzortzis , Charalambos D. Charalambous , Themistoklis Charalambous

High-order entropy-stable discontinuous Galerkin (DG) methods for nonlinear conservation laws reproduce a discrete entropy inequality by combining entropy conservative finite volume fluxes with summation-by-parts (SBP) discretization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Jesse Chan , Mario J. Bencomo , David C. Del Rey Fernández

A classical problem in smooth dynamical systems is known as smooth realization problem. It asks if given a compact manifold $M$, one can construct a volume preserving diffeomorphism with prescribed ergodic properties. We study the decay of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-01 Sebastian Burgos

Minimizing a convex risk function is the main step in many basic learning algorithms. We study protocols for convex optimization which provably leak very little about the individual data points that constitute the loss function.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Di Wang , Adam Smith , Jinhui Xu

Automated market makers (AMMs) are a prime example of Web 3.0 applications. Their popularity and high trading activity led to serious scalability issues in terms of throughput and state size. In this paper, we address these challenges by…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Nicolas Michel , Mohamed E. Najd , Ghada Almashaqbeh

Graph-structured data jointly contain discrete topology and continuous geometry, which poses fundamental challenges for generative modeling due to heterogeneous distributions, incompatible noise dynamics, and the need for equivariant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Rongjian Xu , Teng Pang , Zhiqiang Dong , Guoqiang Wu

The proliferation of diverse, high-leverage trading instruments in modern financial markets presents a complex, "noisy" environment, leading to a critical question: which trading strategies are evolutionarily viable? To investigate this, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-01 Yijia Chen

We consider the market microstructure of automated market makers (AMMs) from the perspective of liquidity providers (LPs). Our central contribution is a ``Black-Scholes formula for AMMs''. We identify the main adverse selection cost…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Jason Milionis , Ciamac C. Moallemi , Tim Roughgarden , Anthony Lee Zhang