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Consumers discover their preferences through experience, yet the sequence and composition of those experiences are often designed by firms, digital platforms, or policymakers. We introduce a ``data-design'' framework for preference…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-17 Sebastiano Della Lena , Alessio Muscillo , Paolo Pin

We consider a model identification problem in which an outcome variable contains nonignorable missing values. Statistical inference requires a guarantee of the model identifiability to obtain estimators enjoying theoretically reasonable…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-06 Kenji Beppu , Kosuke Morikawa

The construction of deprivation indices is complicated by the inherent ambiguity in defining deprivation as well as the potential for partisan manipulation. Nevertheless, deprivation indices provide an essential tool for mitigating the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-22 Amin Ghafourian , Noli Brazil , Thilo Gross

Empirical researchers increasingly use upstream machine-learning (ML) methods to construct proxies for latent target variables from complex, unstructured data. A naive plug-in use of such proxies in downstream econometric models, however,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Lixiong Li

The Current Population Survey is the gold-standard data source for studying who turns out to vote in elections. However, it suffers from potentially nonignorable unit and item nonresponse. Fortunately, after elections, the total number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jiurui Tang , D. Sunshine Hillygus , Jerome P. Reiter

Standard methods in preference learning involve estimating the parameters of discrete choice models from data of selections (choices) made by individuals from a discrete set of alternatives (the choice set). While there are many models for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Kiran Tomlinson , Johan Ugander , Austin R. Benson

Determining consumer preferences and utility is a foundational challenge in economics. They are central in determining consumer behaviour through the utility-maximising consumer decision-making process. However, preferences and utilities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Marta Grzeskiewicz

We bound features of counterfactual choices in the nonparametric random utility model of demand, i.e. if observable choices are repeated cross-sections and one allows for unrestricted, unobserved heterogeneity. In this setting, tight bounds…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-21 Yuichi Kitamura , Jörg Stoye

Pairwise comparisons between alternatives are a well-established tool to decompose decision problems into smaller and more easily tractable sub-problems. However, due to our limited rationality, the subjective preferences expressed by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Matteo Brunelli

McFadden's random-utility model of multinomial choice has long been the workhorse of applied research. We establish shape-restrictions under which multinomial choice-probability functions can be rationalized via random-utility models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-20 Debopam Bhattacharya

Fashion preference is a fuzzy concept that depends on customer taste, prevailing norms in fashion product/style, henceforth used interchangeably, and a customer's perception of utility or fashionability, yet fashion e-retail relies on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Vikram Garg , Girish Sathyanarayana , Sumit Borar , Aruna Rajan

Complexity of the problem of choosing among uncertain acts is a salient feature of many of the environments in which departures from expected utility theory are observed. I propose and axiomatize a model of choice under uncertainty in which…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-17 Quitzé Valenzuela-Stookey

We examine identification of differentiated products demand when one has "micro data" linking individual consumers' characteristics and choices. Our model nests standard specifications featuring rich observed and unobserved consumer…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-03 Steven T. Berry , Philip A. Haile

Implicit bias is the unconscious attribution of particular qualities (or lack thereof) to a member from a particular social group (e.g., defined by gender or race). Studies on implicit bias have shown that these unconscious stereotypes can…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-01-27 L. Elisa Celis , Anay Mehrotra , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

We consider the task of collaborative preference completion: given a pool of items, a pool of users and a partially observed item-user rating matrix, the goal is to recover the \emph{personalized ranking} of each user over all of the items.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-11 Julian Katz-Samuels , Clayton Scott

In this paper we examine the problem of inference in Bayesian Networks with discrete random variables that have very large or even unbounded domains. For example, in a domain where we are trying to identify a person, we may have variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Rita Sharma , David L Poole

Given a consumer data-set, the axioms of revealed preference proffer a binary test for rational behaviour. A natural (non-binary) measure of the degree of rationality exhibited by the consumer is the minimum number of data points whose…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-10-29 Shant Boodaghians , Adrian Vetta

Nearly all statistical analyses that inform policy-making are based on imperfect data. As examples, the data may suffer from measurement errors, missing values, sample selection bias, or record linkage errors. Analysts have to decide how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-24 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

Unmeasured confounding is a threat to causal inference and gives rise to biased estimates. In this article, we consider the problem of individualized decision-making under partial identification. Firstly, we argue that when faced with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Yifan Cui

This paper provides a general identification approach for a wide range of nonlinear panel data models, including binary choice, ordered response, and other types of limited dependent variable models. Our approach accommodates dynamic models…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-09 Wayne Yuan Gao , Rui Wang
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