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In this work we introduce the lag irreversibility function as a method to assess time-irreversibility in discrete time series. It quantifies the degree of time-asymmetry for the joint probability function of the state variable under study…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-08-01 Nazul Merino Negrete , Cesar Maldonado , Raúl Salgado-García

Evaluating robustness under temporal distribution shift remains an open challenge. Existing metrics quantify the average decline in performance, but fail to capture how models adapt to evolving data. As a result, temporal degradation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Lorenzo Iovine , Giacomo Ziffer , Emanuele Della Valle

Among existing subgrid scale models for large-eddy simulation (LES) some are time-reversible in the sense that the dynamics evolve backwards in time after a transformation $\bm u \rightarrow -\bm u$ at every point in space. In practice,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-03 Le Fang , Wouter Bos , Liang Shao , Jean-Pierre Bertoglio

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

Thermodynamic irreversibility is a fundamental concept in statistical physics, yet its experimental measurement remains challenging, especially for complex systems. We introduce a novel random coarse-graining framework to identify…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-25 Ruicheng Bao , Naruo Ohga , Sosuke Ito

Multivariate time series is a very active topic in the research community and many machine learning tasks are being used in order to extract information from this type of data. However, in real-world problems data has missing values, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Samuel Arcadinho , Paulo Mateus

Many methods of estimating causal models do not provide estimates of confidence in the resulting model. In this work, a metric is proposed for validating the output of a causal model fit; the robustness of the model structure with resampled…

This paper deals with the factor modeling for high-dimensional time series based on a dimension-reduction viewpoint. Under stationary settings, the inference is simple in the sense that both the number of factors and the factor loadings are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-05 Clifford Lam , Qiwei Yao

This work presents an introduction to feature-based time-series analysis. The time series as a data type is first described, along with an overview of the interdisciplinary time-series analysis literature. I then summarize the range of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Ben D. Fulcher

In this article, we analyze three classes of time-reversal of a Markov process with Gaussian noise on a manifold. We first unveil a commutativity constraint for the most general of these time-reversals to be well defined. Then we give a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-09 Jérémy O'Byrne , Michael E. Cates

A novel method to solve inverse problems for the wave equation is introduced. The method is a combination of the boundary control method and an iterative time reversal scheme, leading to adaptive imaging of coefficient functions of the wave…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Kenrick Bingham , Yaroslav Kurylev , Matti Lassas , Samuli Siltanen

Unsupervised anomaly detection in time-series has been extensively investigated in the literature. Notwithstanding the relevance of this topic in numerous application fields, a comprehensive and extensive evaluation of recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Nesryne Mejri , Laura Lopez-Fuentes , Kankana Roy , Pavel Chernakov , Enjie Ghorbel , Djamila Aouada

The growing popularity of wearable sensors has generated large quantities of temporal physiological and activity data. Ability to analyze this data offers new opportunities for real-time health monitoring and forecasting. However, temporal…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-02 Nazgol Tavabi , Kristina Lerman

We propose a new asymptotic test to assess the stationarity of a time series' mean that is applicable in the presence of both heteroscedasticity and short-range dependence. Our test statistic is composed of Gini's mean difference of local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Sara Kristin Schmidt

Multivariate time series are ubiquitous objects in signal processing. Measuring a distance or similarity between two such objects is of prime interest in a variety of applications, including machine learning, but can be very difficult as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-02 Titouan Vayer , Romain Tavenard , Laetitia Chapel , Nicolas Courty , Rémi Flamary , Yann Soullard

Temporal irreversibility, often referred to as the arrow of time, is a fundamental concept in statistical mechanics. Markers of irreversibility also provide a powerful characterisation of information processing in biological systems.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-11 Andrea I Luppi , Fernando E. Rosas , Gustavo Deco , Morten L. Kringelbach , Pedro A. M. Mediano

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

We propose directed time series regression, a new approach to estimating parameters of time-series models for use in certainty equivalent model predictive control. The approach combines merits of least squares regression and empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Yi-Hao Kao , Benjamin Van Roy

Permutation entropy measures the complexity of deterministic time series via a data symbolic quantization consisting of rank vectors called ordinal patterns or just permutations. The reasons for the increasing popularity of this entropy in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-08 José M. Amigó , Roberto Dale , Piergiulio Tempesta

Spherically embedded time series are time series with values naturally residing on or can be equivalently mapped to the sphere. Despite their ubiquity in diverse scientific fields, these data frequently exhibit complex non-stationarity…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Jiazhen Xu , Han Lin Shang
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