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Let $X^{(\mu)}(ds)$ be an $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued homogeneous independently scattered random measure over $\mathbb{R}$ having $\mu$ as the distribution of $X^{(\mu)}((t,t+1])$. Let $f(s)$ be a nonrandom measurable function on an open interval…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-05 Ken-iti Sato

Nonlinear regression problem is one of the most popular and important statistical tasks. The first methods like least squares estimation go back to Gauss and Legendre. Recent models and developments in statistics and machine learning like…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Vladimir Spokoiny

We consider the error distribution in functional linear models with scalar response and functional covariate. Different asymptotic expansions of the empirical distribution function and the empirical characteristic function based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

We study the problem of robustly estimating the mean of a $d$-dimensional distribution given $N$ examples, where most coordinates of every example may be missing and $\varepsilon N$ examples may be arbitrarily corrupted. Assuming each…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Lunjia Hu , Omer Reingold

Within the study of uncertain dynamical systems, iterated random functions are a key tool. There, one samples a family of functions according to a stationary distribution. Here, we introduce an extension, where one sample functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Ramen Ghosh , Jakub Marecek , Robert Shorten

We describe a new approach for managing aleatoric uncertainty in the Reinforcement Learning (RL) paradigm. Instead of selecting actions according to a single statistic, we propose a distributional method based on the second-order stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 John D. Martin , Michal Lyskawinski , Xiaohu Li , Brendan Englot

Residual-based analysis is generally considered a cornerstone of statistical methodology. For a special case of indirect regression, we investigate the residual-based empirical distribution function and provide a uniform expansion of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Nicolai Bissantz , Justin Chown , Holger Dette

We study the estimation of distributional parameters when samples are shown only if they fall in some unknown set $S \subseteq \mathbb{R}^d$. Kontonis, Tzamos, and Zampetakis (FOCS'19) gave a $d^{\mathrm{poly}(1/\varepsilon)}$ time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Jane H. Lee , Anay Mehrotra , Manolis Zampetakis

This article develops the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of the model parameters in periodicvector autoregressive time series models (hereafter PVAR) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations. When theinnovations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Eugen Ursu

Residuals in normal regression are used to assess a model's goodness-of-fit (GOF) and discover directions for improving the model. However, there is a lack of residuals with a characterized reference distribution for censored regression. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Longhai Li , Tingxuan Wu , Cindy Feng

Consider a nonparametric regression model with one-sided errors and regression function in a general H\"older class. We estimate the regression function via minimization of the local integral of a polynomial approximation. We show uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-12 Holger Drees , Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

We study a stochastic program where the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is unknown and only indirectly observed via finitely many correlated samples generated by an unknown Markov chain with $d$ states. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Mengmeng Li , Tobias Sutter , Daniel Kuhn

Estimating the innovation probability density is an important issue in any regression analysis. This paper focuses on functional autoregressive models. A residual-based kernel estimator is proposed for the innovation density. Asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-07 Nadine Hilgert , Bruno Portier

This article describes a new class of prior distributions for nonparametric function estimation. The unknown function is modeled as a limit of weighted sums of kernels or generator functions indexed by continuous parameters that control…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-15 Robert L. Wolpert , Merlise A. Clyde , Chong Tu

Random forest (RF) is one of the most popular methods for estimating regression functions. The local nature of the RF algorithm, based on intra-node means and variances, is ideal when errors are i.i.d. For dependent error processes like…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-29 Arkajyoti Saha , Sumanta Basu , Abhirup Datta

This paper deals with a new epidemiological model of SIRS with stochastic perturbations. The primary objective is to establish the existence of a unique non-negative nonlocal solution. Using the basic reproduction number $\mathscr{R}_0$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Matthias Ehrhardt

Hyperbolic balance laws with uncertain (random) parameters and inputs are ubiquitous in science and engineering. Quantification of uncertainty in predictions derived from such laws, and reduction of predictive uncertainty via data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Francesca Boso , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

We analyze the efficiency of parallelization and restart mechanisms for stochastic simulations in model-free settings, where the underlying system dynamics are unknown. Such settings are common in Reinforcement Learning (RL) and rare event…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Ernesto Garcia , Paola Bermolen , Matthieu Jonckheere , Seva Shneer

Asymptotically linear estimators in semiparametric models are usually studied through a von Mises expansion in which first-order inference is based on the influence-function variance. This reduction is valid only when the second-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lin Li

Examining residuals such as Pearson and deviance residuals, is a standard tool for assessing normal regression. However, for discrete response, these residuals cluster on lines corresponding to distinct response values. Their distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Cindy Feng , Alireza Sadeghpour , Longhai Li