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This paper provides an analytical methodology to compute the sensitivities with respect to system parameters for any second order hybrid Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) system. The hybrid ODE system is characterized by discontinuities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Sebastien Corner , Corina Sandu , Adrian Sandu

In many scientific fields, the generation and evolution of data are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) which are typically informed by established physical laws at the macroscopic level to describe general and predictable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Ziyuan Chen , Shunxing Yan , Fang Yao

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) are a new class of models that transform data continuously through infinite-depth architectures. The continuous nature of NODEs has made them particularly suitable for learning the dynamics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Alexander Norcliffe , Cristian Bodnar , Ben Day , Nikola Simidjievski , Pietro Liò

This paper addresses the data-driven identification of latent dynamical representations of partially-observed systems, i.e., dynamical systems for which some components are never observed, with an emphasis on forecasting applications,…

Accurate aircraft trajectory prediction is critical for air traffic management, airline operations, and environmental assessment. This paper introduces NODE-FDM, a Neural Ordinary Differential Equations-based Flight Dynamics Model trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Gabriel Jarry , Ramon Dalmau , Xavier Olive , Philippe Very

The hazard function represents one of the main quantities of interest in the analysis of survival data. We propose a general approach for parametrically modelling the dynamics of the hazard function using systems of autonomous ordinary…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-19 J. A. Christen , F. J. Rubio

Turbulent dynamical systems characterized by both a high-dimensional phase space and a large number of instabilities are ubiquitous among many complex systems in science and engineering. The existence of a strange attractor in the turbulent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-02-23 Andrew J. Majda , Di Qi

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to model dynamical behavior of systems. It is important to perform identifiability analysis prior to estimating unknown parameters in ODEs (a.k.a. inverse problem), because if a system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-11 Xing Qiu , Tao Xu , Babak Soltanalizadeh , Hulin Wu

We present here a novel statistical learning approach for detection and attribution (D&A) of climate change. Traditional optimal D&A studies try to directly model the observations from model simulations, but practically this is challenging…

This paper focuses on the identification of dynamical systems with tailor-made model structures, where neural networks are used to approximate uncertain components and domain knowledge is retained, if available. These model structures are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

In this paper we define a discrete dynamical system that governs the evolution of a population of agents. From the dynamical system, a variant of Differential Evolution is derived. It is then demonstrated that, under some assumptions on the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Massimiliano Vasile , Edmondo Minisci , Marco Locatelli

In the last decade, the scientific community has devolved its attention to the deployment of data-driven approaches in scientific research to provide accurate and reliable analysis of a plethora of phenomena. Most notably, Physics-informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Mattia Silvestri , Federico Baldo , Eleonora Misino , Michele Lombardi

We propose an algorithm based on online convex optimization for controlling discrete-time linear dynamical systems. The algorithm is data-driven, i.e., does not require a model of the system, and is able to handle a priori unknown and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Marko Nonhoff , Matthias A. Müller

We study the evolution of observables of dynamical systems. For linear systems, we show that observables satisfy a closed differential equation whose minimal order is determined by the dynamical system and observation operator. This yields…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Xinyu Liu , Dongbin Xiu

In this study, we introduce a refined method for ascertaining error estimations in numerical simulations of dynamical systems via an innovative application of composition techniques. Our approach involves a dual application of a basic…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Ahmad Deeb , Denys Dutykh

Forecasting high-dimensional dynamical systems is a fundamental challenge in various fields, such as geosciences and engineering. Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs), which combine the power of neural networks and numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Seung Whan Chung , Troy Arcomano , Romit Maulik

Many real-world systems, such as moving planets, can be considered as multi-agent dynamic systems, where objects interact with each other and co-evolve along with the time. Such dynamics is usually difficult to capture, and understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Zijie Huang , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang

We consider parameter estimation of ordinary differential equation (ODE) models from noisy observations. For this problem, one conventional approach is to fit numerical solutions (e.g., Euler, Runge--Kutta) of ODEs to data. However, such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-01 Takeru Matsuda , Yuto Miyatake

Accurate reporting and forecasting of PM2.5 concentration are important for improving public health. In this paper, we propose a daily prediction method of PM2.5 concentration by using data-driven ordinary differential equation (ODE)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-14 Yufang Wang , Haiyan Wang , Shuhua Zhang

Chemical kinetics mechanisms are essential for understanding, analyzing, and simulating complex combustion phenomena. In this study, a Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (Neural ODE) framework is employed to optimize kinetics parameters…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Xingyu Su , Weiqi Ji , Jian An , Zhuyin Ren , Sili Deng , Chung K. Law