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Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

We show that regularizing Bayesian predictive regressions provides a framework for prior sensitivity analysis. We develop a procedure that jointly regularizes expectations and variance-covariance matrices using a pair of shrinkage priors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-15 Guanhao Feng , Nicholas G. Polson

In this article, we investigate certain asymptotic optimality properties of a very broad class of one-group continuous shrinkage priors for simultaneous estimation and testing of a sparse normal mean vector. Asymptotic optimality of Bayes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-11 Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

The horseshoe prior has proven to be a noteworthy alternative for sparse Bayesian estimation, but as shown in this paper, the results can be sensitive to the prior choice for the global shrinkage hyperparameter. We argue that the previous…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

This paper studies the sparse normal mean models under the empirical Bayes framework. We focus on the mixture priors with an atom at zero and a density component centered at a data driven location determined by maximizing the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-20 Xianyang Zhang , Anirban Bhattacharya

Predictions of the mean and covariance matrix of summary statistics are critical for confronting cosmological theories with observations, not least for likelihood approximations and parameter inference. The price to pay for accurate…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-20 Nicolas Chartier , Benjamin D. Wandelt

The Cox proportional hazards model (Cox model) is a popular model for survival data analysis. When the sample size is small relative to the dimension of the model, the standard maximum partial likelihood inference is often problematic. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Weihao Li , Dongming Huang

Global-local shrinkage hierarchies are an important innovation in Bayesian estimation. We propose the use of log-scale distributions as a novel basis for generating familes of prior distributions for local shrinkage hyperparameters. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-31 Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic

Variable selection has received widespread attention over the last decade as we routinely encounter high-throughput datasets in complex biological and environment research. Most Bayesian variable selection methods are restricted to mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Hanning Li , Debdeep Pati

We present a novel control methodology to control the roughening processes of semilinear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations in one dimension, which we exemplify with the stochastic Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation. The…

Consider the problem of high dimensional variable selection for the Gaussian linear model when the unknown error variance is also of interest. In this paper, we show that the use of conjugate shrinkage priors for Bayesian variable selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Gemma E. Moran , Veronika Rockova , Edward I. George

Sparse convex clustering is to cluster observations and conduct variable selection simultaneously in the framework of convex clustering. Although a weighted $L_1$ norm is usually employed for the regularization term in sparse convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-27 Kaito Shimamura , Shuichi Kawano

Robust Bayesian methods for high-dimensional regression problems under diverse sparse regimes are studied. Traditional shrinkage priors are primarily designed to detect a handful of signals from tens of thousands of predictors in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Se Yoon Lee , Peng Zhao , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

This paper presents a new Bayesian framework for quantifying discretization errors in numerical solutions of ordinary differential equations. By modelling the errors as random variables, we impose a monotonicity constraint on the variances,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Yuto Miyatake , Kaoru Irie , Takeru Matsuda

This study proposes a novel hierarchical prior for inferring possibly low-rank matrices measured with noise. We consider three-component matrix factorization, as in singular value decomposition, and its fully Bayesian inference. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-09 Masahiro Tanaka

We develop a fully Bayesian hierarchical model for trend filtering, itself a new development in nonparametric, univariate regression. The framework more broadly applies to the generalized lasso, but focus is on Bayesian trend filtering. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-29 Edward A. Roualdes

Evaluating treatment effect heterogeneity across patient subgroups is a fundamental aspect of clinical trial analysis. Yet, these analyses have inherent limitations due to small sample sizes and the substantial number of subgroups…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Marcel Wolbers , Miriam Pedrera Gómez , Alex Ocampo , Isaac Gravestock

Turbulence is a dominant feature operating in gaseous flows across nearly all scales in astrophysical environments. Accordingly, accurately estimating the statistical properties of such flows is necessary for developing a comprehensive…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-27 Lukas Konstandin , Rahul Shetty , Philipp Girichidis , Ralf S. Klessen

We consider Bayesian inverse problems arising in data assimilation for dynamical systems governed by partial and stochastic partial differential equations. The space-time dependent field is inferred jointly with static parameters of the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-20 Baptiste Simandoux , Nikolas Kantas , Dan Crisan

High-dimensional spatially correlated covariates are common in regression models encountered in environmental sciences and other fields. In such models, the regression coefficients often exhibit a sparse structure with spatial dependence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Zihan Zhu , Xueying Tang , Shuang Zhou
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