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Penalized regression methods, such as $L_1$ regularization, are routinely used in high-dimensional applications, and there is a rich literature on optimality properties under sparsity assumptions. In the Bayesian paradigm, sparsity is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-27 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Natesh S. Pillai , David B. Dunson

We investigate predictive densities for multivariate normal models with unknown mean vectors and known covariance matrices. Bayesian predictive densities based on shrinkage priors often have complex representations, although they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Michiko Okudo , Fumiyasu Komaki

Synthetic control (SC) methods are widely used to estimate the effects of policy interventions, especially those targeting specific geographic regions, referred to as units. These methods construct a weighted combination of untreated units,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Esteban Fernández-Morales , Arman Oganisian , Youjin Lee

Shrinkage prior has gained great successes in many data analysis, however, its applications mostly focus on the Bayesian modeling of sparse parameters. In this work, we will apply Bayesian shrinkage to model high dimensional parameter that…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-31 Qifan Song , Guang Cheng

Variable selection over a potentially large set of covariates in a linear model is quite popular. In the Bayesian context, common prior choices can lead to a posterior expectation of the regression coefficients that is a sparse (or nearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Debamita Kundu , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Multi-group covariance estimation for matrix-variate data with small within group sample sizes is a key part of many data analysis tasks in modern applications. To obtain accurate group-specific covariance estimates, shrinkage estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-08 Elizabeth Bersson , Peter D. Hoff

This paper explores a class of empirical Bayes methods for level-dependent threshold selection in wavelet shrinkage. The prior considered for each wavelet coefficient is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Iain M. Johnstone , Bernard W. Silverman

Signal denoising---also known as non-parametric regression---is often performed through shrinkage estimation in a transformed (e.g., wavelet) domain; shrinkage in the transformed domain corresponds to smoothing in the original domain. A key…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 Zhengrong Xing , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens

We study diffusion control problems under parameter uncertainty. Controllers based on plug-in estimation can be brittle due to potential distribution shifts. Bayesian control with a prior on the parameters offers a formulation with beliefs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Jose Blanchet , Jiayi Cheng , Yuewei Ling , Hao Liu , Yang Liu

This work affords new insights into Bayesian CART in the context of structured wavelet shrinkage. The main thrust is to develop a formal inferential framework for Bayesian tree-based regression. We reframe Bayesian CART as a g-type prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Ismael Castillo , Veronika Rockova

Bayesian nonparametric regression with dependent wavelets has dual shrinkage properties: there is shrinkage through a dependent prior put on functional differences, and shrinkage through the setting of most of the wavelet coefficients to…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-22 James Berger , William H. Jefferys , Peter Müller

We forecast S&P 500 excess returns using a flexible Bayesian econometric state space model with non-Gaussian features at several levels. More precisely, we control for overparameterization via novel global-local shrinkage priors on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-07 Florian Huber , Gregor Kastner , Michael Pfarrhofer

In Bayesian regression models with categorical predictors, constraints are needed to ensure identifiability when using all $K$ levels of a factor. The sum-to-zero constraint is particularly useful as it allows coefficients to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Zhi Ling , Shozen Dan

We consider a Bayesian approach to variable selection in the presence of high dimensional covariates based on a hierarchical model that places prior distributions on the regression coefficients as well as on the model space. We adopt the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Naveen Naidu Narisetty , Xuming He

We consider inverse problems in Hilbert spaces under correlated Gaussian noise and use a Bayesian approach to find their regularised solution. We focus on mildly ill-posed inverse problems with the noise being generalised derivative of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Natalia Bochkina , Jenovah Rodrigues

Prior distributions for high-dimensional linear regression require specifying a joint distribution for the unobserved regression coefficients, which is inherently difficult. We instead propose a new class of shrinkage priors for linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yan Dora Zhang , Brian P. Naughton , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

Use of continuous shrinkage priors -- with a "spike" near zero and heavy-tails towards infinity -- is an increasingly popular approach to induce sparsity in parameter estimates. When the parameters are only weakly identified by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Akihiko Nishimura , Marc A. Suchard

We consider estimation of a normal mean matrix under the Frobenius loss. Motivated by the Efron--Morris estimator, a generalization of Stein's prior has been recently developed, which is superharmonic and shrinks the singular values towards…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Takeru Matsuda , Fumiyasu Komaki , William E. Strawderman

This paper extends the idea of decoupling shrinkage and sparsity for continuous priors to Bayesian Quantile Regression (BQR). The procedure follows two steps: In the first step, we shrink the quantile regression posterior through state of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-20 David Kohns , Tibor Szendrei

During the past decade, shrinkage priors have received much attention in Bayesian analysis of high-dimensional data. This paper establishes the posterior consistency for high-dimensional linear regression with a class of shrinkage priors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Qifan Song , Faming Liang