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Hazard functions play a central role in survival analysis, providing insight into the underlying risk dynamics of time-to-event data, with broad applications in medicine, epidemiology, and related fields. First-order ordinary differential…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-02 Dananjani Liyanage , Mahmudul Bari Hridoy , Fahad Mostafa

The lifetime behaviour of loans is notoriously difficult to model, which can compromise a bank's financial reserves against future losses, if modelled poorly. Therefore, we present a data-driven comparative study amongst three techniques in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Arno Botha , Tanja Verster , Roland Breedt

The finite sensitivity of instruments or detection methods means that data sets in many areas of astronomy, for example cosmological or exoplanet surveys, are necessarily systematically incomplete. Such data sets, where the population being…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 Adam B. Mantz

The use of neural networks has been very successful in a wide variety of applications. However, it has recently been observed that it is difficult to generalize the performance of neural networks under the condition of distributional shift.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Dangxing Chen

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of $n$ independent random variables. Our approach is based on a family of candidate probabilities that we shall call a model and which is chosen to either contain the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Yannick Baraud

Truncated conditional expectation functions are objects of interest in a wide range of economic applications, including income inequality measurement, financial risk management, and impact evaluation. They typically involve truncating the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-14 Tomasz Olma

The present paper discusses the statistical distribution for the estimator of Rosenthal's 'Fail-Safe' number NR, which is an estimator of unpublished studies in meta-analysis. We calculate the probability distribution function of NR. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-25 Konstantinos C. Fragkos , Michail Tsagris , Christos C. Frangos

It is well known that if the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process does not have a compact support, data sampled from that process at any uniform sampling rate leads to biased and inconsistent spectrum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

Load-sharing systems arise in many different reliability applications, for instance, when modeling tensile strength of fibrous composites in textile industry or lifetimes of redundant technical systems in engineering. Sequential order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Stefan Bedbur , Johann Köhne , Fabian Mies

In performative prediction, predictions guide decision-making and hence can influence the distribution of future data. To date, work on performative prediction has focused on finding performatively stable models, which are the fixed points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 John Miller , Juan C. Perdomo , Tijana Zrnic

In this paper, an alternative Discrete skew Logistic distribution is proposed, which is derived by using the general approach of discretizing a continuous distribution while retaining its survival function. The properties of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-07 Deepesh Bhati , Subrata Chakraborty , Snober Gowhar Lateef

Consider discrete values of functions shifted by unobserved translation effects, which are independent realizations of a random variable with unknown distribution $\mu$, modeling the variability in the response of each individual. Our aim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Ismael Castillo , Jean-Michel Loubes

In this paper we estimate the mean-variance portfolio in the high-dimensional case using the recent results from the theory of random matrices. We construct a linear shrinkage estimator which is distribution-free and is optimal in the sense…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

To accommodate numerous practical scenarios, in this paper we extend statistical inference for smoothed quantile estimators from finite domains to infinite domains. We accomplish the task with the help of a newly designed truncation…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-07 Daoping Yu , Vytaras Brazauskas , Ricardas Zitikis

The regression function is one of the key objects of binary classification, since it not only determines a Bayes optimal classifier, hence, defines an optimal decision boundary, but also encodes the conditional distribution of the output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

In data analysis problems where we are not able to rely on distributional assumptions, what types of inference guarantees can still be obtained? Many popular methods, such as holdout methods, cross-validation methods, and conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Yonghoon Lee , Rina Foygel Barber

Statistical inference for discrete time observations of an affine stochastic delay differential equation is considered. The main focus is on maximum pseudo-likelihood estimators, which are easy to calculate in practice. A more general class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Uwe Küchler , Michael Sørensen

A robust estimator is proposed for the parameters that characterize the linear regression problem. It is based on the notion of shrinkages, often used in Finance and previously studied for outlier detection in multivariate data. A thorough…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Elisa Cabana , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado

The problem of nonparametric inference on a monotone function has been extensively studied in many particular cases. Estimators considered have often been of so-called Grenander type, being representable as the left derivative of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Ted Westling , Marco Carone

This paper studies distribution-free inference in settings where the data set has a hierarchical structure -- for example, groups of observations, or repeated measurements. In such settings, standard notions of exchangeability may not hold.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Yonghoon Lee , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett