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Networks capture our intuition about relationships in the world. They describe the friendships between Facebook users, interactions in financial markets, and synapses connecting neurons in the brain. These networks are richly structured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-14 Scott W. Linderman , Ryan P. Adams

The Hawkes process is a model for counting the number of arrivals to a system which exhibits the self-exciting property - that one arrival creates a heightened chance of further arrivals in the near future. The model, and its…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-20 Patrick J. Laub , Young Lee , Philip K. Pollett , Thomas Taimre

The self-exciting Hawkes process is widely used to model events which occur in bursts. However, many real world data sets contain missing events and/or noisily observed event times, which we refer to as data distortion. The presence of such…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-03 Isabella Deutsch , Gordon J. Ross

Data extracted from social media platforms, such as Twitter, are both large in scale and complex in nature, since they contain both unstructured text, as well as structured data, such as time stamps and interactions between users. A key…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-11-17 Donggeng Xia , Shawn Mankad , George Michailidis

Monitoring news content automatically is an important problem. The news content, unlike traditional text, has a temporal component. However, few works have explored the combination of natural language processing and dynamic system models.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Honggen Zhang , June Zhang

Twitter updates now represent an enormous stream of information originating from a wide variety of formal and informal sources, much of which is relevant to real-world events. In this paper we adapt existing bio-surveillance algorithms to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-04-10 Nicholas Thapen , Donal Simmie , Chris Hankin

We have witnessed a boosted demand for graph analytics at Twitter in recent years, and graph analytics has become one of the key parts of Twitter's large-scale data analytics and machine learning for driving engagement, serving the most…

The Hawkes process is a class of point processes whose future depends on their own history. Previous theoretical work on the Hawkes process is limited to a special case in which a past event can only increase the occurrence of future…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-21 Shizhe Chen , Ali Shojaie , Eric Shea-Brown , Daniela Witten

Micro-blogging systems such as Twitter expose digital traces of social discourse with an unprecedented degree of resolution of individual behaviors. They offer an opportunity to investigate how a large-scale social system responds to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-04-24 Janette Lehmann , Bruno Gonçalves , José J. Ramasco , Ciro Cattuto

Information diffusion occurs on microblogging platforms like Twitter as retweet cascades. When a tweet is posted, it may be retweeted and henceforth further retweeted, and the retweeting process continues iteratively and indefinitely. A…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-20 Feng Chen , Wai Hong Tan

The proliferation of social media such as real time microblogging and online reputation systems facilitate real time sensing of social patterns and behavior. In the last decade, sensing and decision making in social networks have witnessed…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-07 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Omid Namvar Gharehshiran , Maziyar Hamdi

The Hawkes model is suitable for describing self and mutually exciting random events. In addition, the exponential decay in the Hawkes process allows us to calculate the moment properties in the model. However, due to the complexity of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

There is a large amount of interest in understanding users of social media in order to predict their behavior in this space. Despite this interest, user predictability in social media is not well-understood. To examine this question, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-08-27 David Darmon , Jared Sylvester , Michelle Girvan , William Rand

Online social networks are a dominant medium in everyday life to stay in contact with friends and to share information. In Twitter, users can connect with other users by following them, who in turn can follow back. In recent years,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Christoph Schweimer , Christine Gfrerer , Florian Lugstein , David Pape , Jan A. Velimsky , Robert Elsässer , Bernhard C. Geiger

In this paper we propose an overview of the recent academic literature devoted to the applications of Hawkes processes in finance. Hawkes processes constitute a particular class of multivariate point processes that has become very popular…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 Emmanuel Bacry , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-François Muzy

Social networks represent complex ecosystems where the interactions between users or groups play a pivotal role in information dissemination, opinion formation, and social interactions. Effectively harnessing event sequence data within…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Zizhuo Meng , Ke Wan , Yadong Huang , Zhidong Li , Yang Wang , Feng Zhou

Online social media such as Twitter, Facebook, Wikis and Linkedin have made a great impact on the way we consume information in our day to day life. Now it has become increasingly important that we come across appropriate content from the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-08-17 Anusha A. , Sanjay Singh

The Hawkes process is used to model point process data where events occur in clusters and bursts. In a standard multivariate Hawkes process, every event that occurs in a dimension has an equal impact on the process intensity. However, this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Gordon J Ross , Isabella Deutsch

Twitter has become one of the main sources of news for many people. As real-world events and emergencies unfold, Twitter is abuzz with hundreds of thousands of stories about the events. Some of these stories are harmless, while others could…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Soroush Vosoughi , Deb Roy

Twitter stream has become a large source of information for many people, but the magnitude of tweets and the noisy nature of its content have made harvesting the knowledge from Twitter a challenging task for researchers for a long time.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-06-21 Øystein Repp , Heri Ramampiaro
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