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Recent research has generated hope that inference scaling, such as resampling solutions until they pass verifiers like unit tests, could allow weaker models to match stronger ones. Beyond inference, this approach also enables training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Benedikt Stroebl , Sayash Kapoor , Arvind Narayanan

The genetic basis of multiple phenotypes such as gene expression, metabolite levels, or imaging features is often investigated by testing a large collection of hypotheses, probing the existence of association between each of the traits and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-04-06 Christine Peterson , Marina Bogomolov , Yoav Benjamini , Chiara Sabatti

Multiple testing adjustments, such as the Benjamini and Hochberg (1995) step-up procedure for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), are typically applied to families of tests that control significance level in the classical sense: for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Timothy B. Armstrong

The search for a scientific theory of consciousness should result in theories that are falsifiable. However, here we show that falsification is especially problematic for theories of consciousness. We formally describe the standard…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-29 Johannes Kleiner , Erik Hoel

Is it possible for a large sequence of measurements or observations, which support a hypothesis, to counterintuitively decrease our confidence? Can unanimous support be too good to be true? The assumption of independence is often made in…

The higher criticism of a family of tests starts with the individual uncorrected p-values of each test. It then requires a procedure for deciding whether the collection of p-values indicates the presence of a real effect and if possible…

Multiple hypothesis testing practices vary widely, without consensus on which are appropriate when. This paper provides an economic foundation for these practices designed to capture leading examples, such as regulatory approval on the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-19 Davide Viviano , Kaspar Wuthrich , Paul Niehaus

We report an inconsistency found in probability theory (also referred to as measure-theoretic probability). For probability measures induced by real-valued random variables, we deduce an "equality" such that one side of the "equality" is a…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2017-03-01 Guang-Liang Li , Victor O. K. Li

Confidence limits are common place in physics analysis. Great care must be taken in their calculation and use, especially in cases of limited statistics when often one-sided limits are quoted. In order to estimate the stability of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Rajendran Raja

The topic of multiple hypotheses testing now has a potpourri of novel theories and ubiquitous applications in diverse scientific fields. However, the universal utility of this field often hinders the possibility of having a generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Monitirtha Dey , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Online testing procedures aim to control the extent of false discoveries over a sequence of hypothesis tests, allowing for the possibility that early-stage test results influence the choice of hypotheses to be tested in later stages.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Aaron Fisher

In many fields of research null hypothesis significance tests and p values are the accepted way of assessing the degree of certainty with which research results can be extrapolated beyond the sample studied. However, there are very serious…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Michael Wood

A large fraction of papers in the climate literature includes erroneous uses of significance tests. A Bayesian analysis is presented to highlight the meaning of significance tests and why typical misuse occurs. It is concluded that a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-24 Maarten H. P. Ambaum

This paper presents a survey on some recent advances for the type I error rate control in multiple testing methodology. We consider the problem of controlling the $k$-family-wise error rate (kFWER, probability to make $k$ false discoveries…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-15 Etienne Roquain

Nonparametric generalized likelihood ratio test is popularly used for model checking for regressions. However, there are two issues that may be the barriers for its powerfulness. First, the bias term in its liming null distribution causes…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-23 Cuizhen Niu , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

Controlling false discovery rate (FDR) while leveraging the side information of multiple hypothesis testing is an emerging research topic in modern data science. Existing methods rely on the test-level covariates while ignoring possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-26 Lin Qiu , Nils Murrugarra-Llerena , Vítor Silva , Lin Lin , Vernon M. Chinchilli

The influential claim that most published results are false raised concerns about the trustworthiness and integrity of science. Since then, there have been numerous attempts to examine the rate of false-positive results that have failed to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-19 Ulrich Schimmack , František Bartoš

Complex large-scale studies, such as those related to microarray data and fMRI studies, often involve testing multiple hierarchically ordered hypotheses. However, most existing false discovery rate (FDR) controlling procedures do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-15 Gavin Lynch , Wenge Guo

Multiple hypothesis testing is a core problem in statistical inference and arises in almost every scientific field. Given a set of null hypotheses $\mathcal{H}(n) = (H_1,\dotsc, H_n)$, Benjamini and Hochberg introduced the false discovery…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

This paper explores the multiple testing problem for sparse high-dimensional data with binary outcomes. We propose novel empirical Bayes multiple testing procedures based on a spike-and-slab posterior and then evaluate their performance in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Yu-Chien Bo Ning
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