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We address the inference problem concerning regression coefficients in a classical linear regression model using least squares estimates. The analysis is conducted under circumstances where network dependency exists across units in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-03 Jing Lei , Kehui Chen , Haeun Moon

We consider a high-probability non-asymptotic confidence estimation in the $\ell^2$-regularized non-linear least-squares setting with fixed design. In particular, we study confidence estimation for local minimizers of the regularized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Ilja Kuzborskij , Yasin Abbasi Yadkori

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Mixed-effect models are very popular for analyzing data with a hierarchical structure, e.g. repeated observations within subjects in a longitudinal design, patients nested within centers in a multicenter design. However, recently, due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh , Magne Thoresen

A new semi-parametric Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation and forecasting framework is proposed. The proposed approach is based on a two-step estimation procedure. The first step involves the estimation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) at different…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-16 Giuseppe Storti , Chao Wang

Uncertainty estimation has been extensively studied in recent literature, which can usually be classified as aleatoric uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. In current aleatoric uncertainty estimation frameworks, it is often neglected that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Jing Zhang , Yuchao Dai , Mehrtash Harandi , Yiran Zhong , Nick Barnes , Richard Hartley

Estimating causal effects from observational data is inherently challenging due to the lack of observable counterfactual outcomes and even the presence of unmeasured confounding. Traditional methods often rely on restrictive, untestable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Li Chen , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

The paper discusses identification conditions, representations and relations of generalized least squares estimators of regression parameters in multivariate linear regression models such as seemingly unrelated and fixed effect panel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Harry Haupt

Motivated by the drawbacks of cloud-based federated learning (FL), cooperative federated edge learning (CFEL) has been proposed to improve efficiency for FL over mobile edge networks, where multiple edge servers collaboratively coordinate…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Zhenxiao Zhang , Zhidong Gao , Yuanxiong Guo , Yanmin Gong

We study the problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional generalized linear models, and propose an approach based on sample-weighted empirical risk minimization. Our method, Weighted ERM, encodes priors on the change points via…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Gabriel Arpino , Ramji Venkataramanan

We study causal effect estimation from a mixture of observational and interventional data in a confounded linear regression model with multivariate treatments. We show that the statistical efficiency in terms of expected squared error can…

Sparse additive modeling is a class of effective methods for performing high-dimensional nonparametric regression. This paper develops a sparse additive model focused on estimation of treatment effect-modification with simultaneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Hyung Park , Eva Petkova , Thaddeus Tarpey , R. Todd Ogden

We introduce a new small area predictor when the Fay-Herriot normal error model is fitted to a logarithmically transformed response variable, and the covariate is measured with error. This framework has been previously studied by Mosaferi…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-23 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Shonosuke Sugasawa

For statistical analysis of network data, the $\beta$-model has emerged as a useful tool, thanks to its flexibility in incorporating nodewise heterogeneity and theoretical tractability. To generalize the $\beta$-model, this paper proposes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Stefan Stein , Rui Feng , Chenlei Leng

We propose an extensive framework for additive regression models for correlated functional responses, allowing for multiple partially nested or crossed functional random effects with flexible correlation structures for, e.g., spatial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-26 Fabian Scheipl , Ana-Maria Staicu , Sonja Greven

We address the challenge of estimation in the context of constant linear effect models with dense functional responses. In this framework, the conditional expectation of the response curve is represented by a linear combination of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Pratim Guha Niyogi , Ping-Shou Zhong

We study targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) of the average treatment effect in a semiparametric regression model whose mean function is indexed by a finite-dimensional parameter, while the additive error distribution is left…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-20 Mijeong Kim

Quantiles and expectiles are determined by different loss functions: asymmetric least absolute deviation for quantiles and asymmetric squared loss for expectiles. This distinction ensures that quantile regression methods are robust to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Abdellah Atanane , Abdallah Mkhadri , Karim Oualkacha

Weighted average derivative effects (WADEs) are nonparametric estimands with uses in economics and causal inference. Debiased WADE estimators typically require learning the conditional mean outcome as well as a Riesz representer (RR) that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-10 Oliver Hines , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

Climate change impact studies inform policymakers on the estimated damages of future climate change on economic, health and other outcomes. In most studies, an annual outcome variable is observed, e.g. agricultural yield, along with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Xiaomeng Cui , Bulat Gafarov , Dalia Ghanem , Todd Kuffner