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Optimal design facilitates intelligent data collection. In this paper, we introduce a fully Bayesian design approach for spatial processes with complex covariance structures, like those typically exhibited in natural ecosystems. Coordinate…

This work presents a non-parametric spatio-temporal model for mapping human activity by mobile autonomous robots in a long-term context. Based on Variational Gaussian Process Regression, the model incorporates prior information of spatial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Marvin Stuede , Moritz Schappler

Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) methods are developed for Casual Inference. Generative methods are simulation-based methods that use a large training dataset to represent posterior distributions as a map (a.k.a. optimal transport) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Maria Nareklishvili , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

We propose a practical and scalable Gaussian process model for large-scale nonlinear probabilistic regression. Our mixture-of-experts model is conceptually simple and hierarchically recombines computations for an overall approximation of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-10 Jun Wei Ng , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Prediction is a classic challenge in spatial statistics and the inclusion of spatial covariates can greatly improve predictive performance when incorporated into a model with latent spatial effects. It is desirable to develop flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Jon Wakefield

We propose a Gaussian variational inference framework for the motion planning problem. In this framework, motion planning is formulated as an optimization over the distribution of the trajectories to approximate the desired trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Hongzhe Yu , Yongxin Chen

How might a smooth probability distribution be estimated, with accurately quantified uncertainty, from a limited amount of sampled data? Here we describe a field-theoretic approach that addresses this problem remarkably well in one…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-24 Wei-Chia Chen , Ammar Tareen , Justin B. Kinney

This study focuses on the design and development of methods for generating cargo distribution plans for large-scale logistics networks. It uses data from three large logistics operators while focusing on cross border logistics operations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Luka Stopar , Luka Bradesko , Tobias Jacobs , Azur Kurbašić , Miha Cimperman

Porous and heterogeneous materials are found in many applications from composites, membranes, chemical reactors, and other engineered materials to biological matter and natural subsurface structures. In this work we propose an integrated…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-15 Gianluca Boccardo , Eleonora Crevacore , Alberto Passalacqua , Matteo Icardi

We study the dynamics of micron-sized particles on a layer of motile cells. This cell carpet acts as an active bath that propels passive tracer particles via direct mechanical contact. The resulting nonequilibrium transport shows a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-02-27 Robert Großmann , Lara S. Bort , Ted Moldenhawer , Setareh Sharifi Panah , Ralf Metzler , Carsten Beta

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Maximilian Soelch , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

Spherical regression, in which both covariates and responses lie on the sphere, arises in many scientific applications and has attracted considerable methodological attention in recent years. Despite this progress, constructing flexible and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Tin Lok James Ng , Kwok-Kun Kwong , Jiakun Liu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

We provide a method to solve optimization problem when objective function is a complex stochastic simulator of an urban transportation system. To reach this goal, a Bayesian optimization framework is introduced. We show how the choice of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-15 Laura Schultz , Vadim Sokolov

Autonomous vehicles are expected to navigate in complex traffic scenarios with multiple surrounding vehicles. The correlations between road users vary over time, the degree of which, in theory, could be infinitely large, thus posing a great…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Yaohui Guo , Vinay Varma Kalidindi , Mansur Arief , Wenshuo Wang , Jiacheng Zhu , Huei Peng , Ding Zhao

This paper develops a set of empirically tractable and flexible sieve estimators for semi-nonparametric multidimensional matching models with transferable utility, focusing on worker-job matching. We generalize the parametric…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-25 Dongwoo Kim , Young Jun Lee

We introduce a Bayesian approach for multivariate spatio-temporal prediction for high-dimensional count-valued data. Our primary interest is when there are possibly millions of data points referenced over different variables, geographic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-24 Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

We provide theoretical procedures and practical recipes to simulate non-Gaussian correlated, homogeneous random fields with prescribed marginal distributions and cross-correlation structure, either in a N-dimensional Cartesian space or on…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Vio , P. Andreani , L. Tenorio , W. Wamsteker

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

Recent statistical methods fitted on large-scale GPS data can provide accurate estimations of the expected travel time between two points. However, little is known about the distribution of travel time, which is key to decision-making…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Mohamad Elmasri , Aurelie Labbe , Denis Larocque , Laurent Charlin