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This paper describes a novel approach to planning which takes advantage of decision theory to greatly improve robustness in an uncertain environment. We present an algorithm which computes conditional plans of maximum expected utility. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Stephen G. Pimentel , Lawrence M. Brem

This paper studies the robust optimal gain selection problem for financial trading systems, formulated within a \emph{double linear policy} framework, which allocates capital across long and short positions. The key objective is to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-20 Chung-Han Hsieh

Many of the successes of machine learning are based on minimizing an averaged loss function. However, it is well-known that this paradigm suffers from robustness issues that hinder its applicability in safety-critical domains. These issues…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Alexander Robey , Luiz F. O. Chamon , George J. Pappas , Hamed Hassani

This paper is concerned with portfolio optimization models for creating high-quality lists of recommended items to balance the accuracy and diversity of recommendations. However, the statistics (i.e., expectation and covariance of ratings)…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Tomoya Yanagi , Shunnosuke Ikeda , Yuichi Takano

We study a discrete-time portfolio selection problem with partial information and maxi\-mum drawdown constraint. Drift uncertainty in the multidimensional framework is modeled by a prior probability distribution. In this Bayesian framework,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-02 Carmine De Franco , Johann Nicolle , Huyên Pham

This paper studies a discrete-time mean-variance model based on reinforcement learning. Compared with its continuous-time counterpart in \cite{zhou2020mv}, the discrete-time model makes more general assumptions about the asset's return…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-27 Xiangyu Cui , Xun Li , Yun Shi , Si Zhao

In this paper, we study an insurer's reinsurance-investment problem under a mean-variance criterion. We show that excess-loss is the unique equilibrium reinsurance strategy under a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy insurance model when the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-22 Danping Li , Dongchen Li , Virginia R. Young

This paper studies a variation of the continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection where a tracking-error penalization is added to the mean-variance criterion. The tracking error term penalizes the distance between the allocation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-21 William Lefebvre , Gregoire Loeper , Huyên Pham

The Sharpe ratio is a way to compare the excess returns (over the risk free asset) of portfolios for each unit of volatility that is generated by a portfolio. In this paper we introduce a robust Sharpe ratio portfolio under the assumption…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-28 Juan F. Monge , Mercedes Landete , José L. Ruiz

In portfolio optimization, decision makers face difficulties from uncertainties inherent in real-world scenarios. These uncertainties significantly influence portfolio outcomes in both classical and multi-objective Markowitz models. To…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-07 Yannick Becker , Pascal Halffmann , Anita Schöbel

We consider the problem of robustly maximizing the growth rate of investor wealth in the presence of model uncertainty. Possible models are all those under which the assets' region $E$ and instantaneous covariation $c$ are known, and where…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-22 Constantinos Kardaras , Scott Robertson

In this paper, we consider an adaptive approach to address optimization problems with uncertain cost parameters. Here, the decision maker selects an initial decision, observes the realization of the uncertain cost parameters, and then is…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2013-12-17 Ebrahim Nasrabadi , James B. Orlin

In robust combinatorial optimization, we would like to find a solution that performs well under all realizations of an uncertainty set of possible parameter values. How we model this uncertainty set has a decisive influence on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Marc Goerigk , Mohammad Khosravi

We introduce a universal framework for mean-covariance robust risk measurement and portfolio optimization. We model uncertainty in terms of the Gelbrich distance on the mean-covariance space, along with prior structural information about…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-02 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafiee , Damir Filipović , Daniel Kuhn

This paper presents a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework for dynamic portfolio optimization under market uncertainty and risk. The proposed model integrates a Sharpe ratio-based reward function with direct risk control mechanisms,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-17 Emmanuel Lwele , Sabuni Emmanuel , Sitali Gabriel Sitali

In several applications such as clinical trials and financial portfolio optimization, the expected value (or the average reward) does not satisfactorily capture the merits of a drug or a portfolio. In such applications, risk plays a crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-13 Vincent Y. F. Tan , Prashanth L. A. , Krishna Jagannathan

We consider robust combinatorial optimization problems with cost uncertainty where the decision maker can prepare K solutions beforehand and chooses the best of them once the true cost is revealed. Also known as min-max-min robustness (a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz , Michael Poss

Robust optimization(RO) is an important tool for handling optimization problem with uncertainty. The main objective of RO is to solve optimization problems due to uncertainty associated with constraints satisfying all realizations of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Parthasarathi Mondal , Akshay Kumar Ojha

Index tracking is a popular form of asset management. Typically, a quadratic function is used to define the tracking error of a portfolio and the look back approach is applied to solve the index tracking problem. We argue that a forward…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-27 Spiridon Penev , Pavel Shevchenko , Wei Wu

This paper investigates a robust optimal consumption, investment, and reinsurance problem for an insurer with Epstein-Zin recursive preferences operating under model uncertainty. The insurer's surplus follows the diffusion approximation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Elizabeth Dadzie , Wilfried Kuissi-Kamdem , Marcel Ndengo
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