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Reliable wind speed data is crucial for applications such as estimating local (future) wind power. Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Regional Climate Models (RCMs) provide forecasts over multi-decadal periods. However, their outputs vary…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Sofia Morelli , Nina Effenberger , Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

Environmental monitoring is a task that requires to surrogate system-wide information with limited sensor readings. Under the proximity principle, an environmental monitoring system can be based on the virtual sensing logic and then rely on…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-17 M. Lambardi di San Miniato , R. Bellio , L. Grassetti , P. Vidoni

Climate change is one of the most critical challenges that our planet is facing today. Rising global temperatures are already bringing noticeable changes to Earth's weather and climate patterns with an increased frequency of unpredictable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-19 Karandeep Singh , Chaeyoon Jeong , Naufal Shidqi , Sungwon Park , Arjun Nellikkattil , Elke Zeller , Meeyoung Cha

Historical records of climate fields are often sparse due to missing measurements, especially before the introduction of large-scale satellite missions. Several statistical and model-based methods have been introduced to fill gaps and…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-31 Nils Bochow , Anna Poltronieri , Martin Rypdal , Niklas Boers

When Austrian hydropower production plummeted by 44% in early 2025 due to reduced snowpack, it exposed a critical vulnerability: standard meteorological and climatological datasets systematically fail in mountain regions that hold untapped…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-11 Irene Schicker , Marianne Bügelmayer-Blaschek , Annemarie Lexer , Katharina Baier , Kristofer Hasel , Paolo Gazzaneo

Understanding centennial scale climate variability requires data sets that are accurate, long, continuous and of broad spatial coverage. Since instrumental measurements are generally only available after 1850, temperature fields must be…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-03 Dominique Guillot , Bala Rajaratnam , Julien Emile-Geay

Climate change is a critical issue that will be in the political agenda for the next decades. While it is important for this topic to be discussed at higher levels, it is also of paramount importance that the populations became aware of the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-20 Gianpaolo Zammarchi , Paolo Maranzano

This paper highlights methods from geostatistics that are relevant to the interpretation, intercomparison, and synthesis of atmospheric model data, with a specific application to exoplanet atmospheric modeling. Climate models are…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-17 Jacob Haqq-Misra , Eric T. Wolf , Thomas J. Fauchez , Ravi K. Kopparapu

A common task in Earth Sciences is to infer climate information at local and regional scales from global climate models. Dynamical downscaling requires running expensive numerical models at high resolution which can be prohibitive due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Carlos Alberto Gomez Gonzalez

Kernel smoothers are essential tools for data analysis due to their ability to convey complex statistical information with concise graphical visualisations. Their inclusion in the base distribution and in the many user-contributed add-on…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-17 Tarn Duong

This study explores integrating reinforcement learning (RL) with idealised climate models to address key parameterisation challenges in climate science. Current climate models rely on complex mathematical parameterisations to represent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Pritthijit Nath , Henry Moss , Emily Shuckburgh , Mark Webb

Climate models often require post-processing in order to make accurate estimates of local climate risk. The most common post-processing applied is bias-correction and spatial resolution enhancement. However, the statistical methods…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-15 Tristan Ballard , Gopal Erinjippurath

We propose a novel approach for reconstructing annual temperatures in East Asia from 1368 to 1911, leveraging the Reconstructed East Asian Climate Historical Encoded Series (REACHES). The lack of instrumental data during this period poses…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Eric Sun , Kuan-hui Elaine Lin , Wan-Ling Tseng , Pao K. Wang , Hsin-Cheng Huang

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Recent developments in engineering techniques for spatial data collection such as geographic information systems have resulted in an increasing need for methods to analyze large spatial data sets. These sorts of data sets can be found in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Toshihiro Hirano

Predicting future climatic conditions at high spatial resolution is essential for many applications and impact studies in science. Here, we present monthly time series data on precipitation, minimum- and maximum temperature for four…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-27 Dirk Nikolaus Karger , Dirk R. Schmatz , Gabriel Dettling , Niklaus E. Zimmermann

Disaggregation modelling, or downscaling, has become an important discipline in epidemiology. Surveillance data, aggregated over large regions, is becoming more common, leading to an increasing demand for modelling frameworks that can deal…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-15 Anita K. Nandi , Tim C. D. Lucas , Rohan Arambepola , Peter Gething , Daniel J. Weiss

Climate projections using data driven machine learning models acting as emulators, is one of the prevailing areas of research to enable policy makers make informed decisions. Use of machine learning emulators as surrogates for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Anmol Chaure , Ashok Kumar Behera , Sudip Bhattacharya

Treeging combines the flexible mean structure of regression trees with the covariance-based prediction strategy of kriging into the base learner of an ensemble prediction algorithm. In so doing, it combines the strengths of the two primary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Gregory L. Watson , Michael Jerrett , Colleen E. Reid , Donatello Telesca

Machine learning and geostatistics are two fundamentally different frameworks for predicting and spatially mapping soil properties. Geostatistics leverages the spatial structure of soil properties, while machine learning captures the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Jonas Schmidinger , Viacheslav Barkov , Sebastian Vogel , Martin Atzmueller , Gerard B M Heuvelink