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Data-driven prediction and physics-agnostic machine-learning methods have attracted increased interest in recent years achieving forecast horizons going well beyond those to be expected for chaotic dynamical systems. In a separate strand of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-19 Georg A. Gottwald , Sebastian Reich

The accuracy of simulation-based forecasting in chaotic systems is heavily dependent on high-quality estimates of the system state at the time the forecast is initialized. Data assimilation methods are used to infer these initial conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Michael McCabe , Jed Brown

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

Data assimilation (DA) aims at forecasting the state of a dynamical system by combining a mathematical representation of the system with noisy observations taking into account their uncertainties. State of the art methods are based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Pierre Boudier , Anthony Fillion , Serge Gratton , Selime Gürol , Sixin Zhang

This paper is a contribution in the context of variational data assimilation combined with statistical learning. The framework of data assimilation traditionally uses data collected at sensor locations in order to bring corrections to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Amina Benaceur , Barbara Verfürth

Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

We consider the problem of data-assisted forecasting of chaotic dynamical systems when the available data is in the form of noisy partial measurements of the past and present state of the dynamical system. Recently there have been several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Alexander Wikner , Jaideep Pathak , Brian R. Hunt , Istvan Szunyogh , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott

The task of modelling and forecasting a dynamical system is one of the oldest problems, and it remains challenging. Broadly, this task has two subtasks - extracting the full dynamical information from a partial observation; and then…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Tyrus Berry , Suddhasattwa Das

In many practical scenarios, the dynamical system is not available and standard data assimilation methods are not applicable. Our objective is to construct a data-driven model for state estimation without the underlying dynamics. Instead of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Ziyi Wang , Lijian Jiang

We develop a methodology to learn finitely generated random iterated function systems from time-series of partial observations using delay embeddings. We obtain a minimal model representation for the observed dynamics, using a hidden…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Emilia Gibson , Jeroen S. W. Lamb

Data assimilation (DA) is integrated with machine learning in order to perform entirely data-driven online state estimation. To achieve this, recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are implemented as surrogate models to replace key components of…

This paper considers the problem of data-driven prediction of partially observed systems using a recurrent neural network. While neural network based dynamic predictors perform well with full-state training data, prediction with partial…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-07 Debdipta Goswami

A novel method, based on the combination of data assimilation and machine learning is introduced. The new hybrid approach is designed for a two-fold scope: (i) emulating hidden, possibly chaotic, dynamics and (ii) predicting their future…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-27 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

We present a representation learning algorithm that learns a low-dimensional latent dynamical system from high-dimensional \textit{sequential} raw data, e.g., video. The framework builds upon recent advances in amortized inference methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Jung-Su Ha , Young-Jin Park , Hyeok-Joo Chae , Soon-Seo Park , Han-Lim Choi

Reduced-order modelling and low-dimensional surrogate models generated using machine learning algorithms have been widely applied in high-dimensional dynamical systems to improve the algorithmic efficiency. In this paper, we develop a…

Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

Decomposing a deep neural network's learned representations into interpretable features could greatly enhance its safety and reliability. To better understand features, we adopt a geometric perspective, viewing them as a learned coordinate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Aryeh Brill

Variational data assimilation and deep learning share many algorithmic aspects in common. While the former focuses on system state estimation, the latter provides great inductive biases to learn complex relationships. We here design a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Arthur Filoche , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Dominique Béréziat

Data assimilation is widely used in many disciplines such as meteorology, oceanography, and robotics to estimate the state of a dynamical system from noisy observations. In this work, we propose a lightweight and general method to perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Thomas Savary , François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

With the increasing availability of large scale datasets, computational power and tools like automatic differentiation and expressive neural network architectures, sequential data are now often treated in a data-driven way, with a dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Anthony Frion , Lucas Drumetz , Mauro Dalla Mura , Guillaume Tochon , Abdeldjalil Aïssa El Bey
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