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The statistical modeling of multivariate count data observed on a space-time lattice has generally focused on using a hierarchical modeling approach where space-time correlation structure is placed on a continuous, latent, process. The…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-16 Nicholas J Clark , Philip M. Dixon

The paper revisits the $\alpha$--regression framework for compositional data. The model uses a flexible power transformation parameterized by $\alpha$ to interpolate between raw data analysis and log--ratio methods, naturally handling zeros…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Michail Tsagris , Yannis Pantazis

Compositional observations are an increasingly prevalent data source in spatial statistics. Analysis of such data is typically done on log-ratio transformations or via Dirichlet regression. However, these approaches often make unnecessarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Nicholas M. Calzada , Timothy H. Keitt

Aiming to deliver improved precipitation simulations for hydrological impact assessment studies, we develop a methodology for modelling and simulating high-dimensional spatial precipitation extremes, focusing on both their marginal…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-01 Silius M. Vandeskog , Raphaël Huser , Oddbjørn Bruland , Sara Martino

Data fusion models are widely used in air quality monitoring to integrate in situ and large-scale gridded products, offering spatially complete and temporally detailed estimates. However, traditional Gaussian-based models often…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-18 M. Daniela Cuba , Craig Wilkie , Marian Scott , Daniela Castro-Camilo

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

High-dimensional spatially correlated covariates are common in regression models encountered in environmental sciences and other fields. In such models, the regression coefficients often exhibit a sparse structure with spatial dependence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Zihan Zhu , Xueying Tang , Shuang Zhou

We study how temporal correlations in the data can make certain sparse learning problems efficiently learnable by gradient-based methods. Our focus is on Boolean k-juntas, a canonical sparse learning problem known to pose barriers for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Elisabetta Cornacchia , Dan Mikulincer , Elchanan Mossel

The Lasso is an attractive technique for regularization and variable selection for high-dimensional data, where the number of predictor variables $p_n$ is potentially much larger than the number of samples $n$. However, it was recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Nicolai Meinshausen , Bin Yu

There exists a correlation between geospatial activity temporal patterns and type of land use. A novel self-supervised approach is proposed to stratify landscape based on mobility activity time series. First, the time series signal is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Yi Cao , Swetava Ganguli , Vipul Pandey

Spatial autocorrelation analysis is the basis for spatial autoregressive modeling. However, the relationships between spatial correlation coefficients and spatial regression models are not yet well clarified. The paper is devoted to explore…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-15 Yanguang Chen

Spatio-temporal areal data can be seen as a collection of time series which are spatially correlated according to a specific neighboring structure. Incorporating the temporal and spatial dimension into a statistical model poses challenges…

There has been considerable advance in understanding the properties of sparse regularization procedures in high-dimensional models. In time series context, it is mostly restricted to Gaussian autoregressions or mixing sequences. We study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

Traditional spatio-temporal models for areal data typically begin with spatial structure imposed at the level of random effects and later extend to include temporal dynamics. We propose an alternative hierarchical modeling framework that…

Recovering continuous-time dynamics from discrete observations is difficult because local supervision (e.g., pointwise regression targets, derivative approximations, or equation residuals) loses fidelity as the observation interval grows.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yuxiang Luo , Andrew Perrault

We introduce an extension of R-vine copula models for the purpose of spatial dependency modeling and model based prediction at unobserved locations. The newly derived spatial R-vine model combines the flexibility of vine copulas with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-17 Tobias Michael Erhardt , Claudia Czado , Ulf Schepsmeier

We develop a Fisher-consistent redescending robust estimator for the spatial scalar-on-function regression model, where a scalar response depends on both a functional predictor and a spatial autoregressive lag. Existing estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Muge Mutis , Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

While the vast majority of the literature on models for temporal networks focuses on binary graphs, often one can associate a weight to each link. In such cases the data are better described by a weighted, or valued, network. An important…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-02 Domenico Di Gangi , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

A functional (lagged) time series regression model involves the regression of scalar response time series on a time series of regressors that consists of a sequence of random functions. In practice, the underlying regressor curve time…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo