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In this work, we compare the direct and indirect approaches to data-driven predictive control of stochastic linear time-invariant systems. The distinction between the two approaches lies in the fact that the indirect approach involves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Vishaal Krishnan , Fabio Pasqualetti

A new framework for asset price dynamics is introduced in which the concept of noisy information about future cash flows is used to derive the price processes. In this framework an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. Each cash flow…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We study whether liquidity and volatility proxies of a core set of cryptoassets generate spillovers that forecast market-wide risk. Our empirical framework integrates three statistical layers: (A) interactions between core liquidity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Yimeng Qiu , Feihuang Fang

Accurate forecasting in the e-commerce finance domain is particularly challenging due to irregular invoice schedules, payment deferrals, and user-specific behavioral variability. These factors, combined with sparse datasets and short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Abhishek Sharma , Anat Parush , Sumit Wadhwa , Amihai Savir , Anne Guinard , Prateek Srivastava

We model investor heterogeneity using different required returns on an investment and evaluate the impact on the valuation of an investment. By assuming no disagreement on the cash flows, we emphasize how risk preferences in particular, but…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-13 Carol Alexander , Xi Chen , Charles Ward

Cross-market portfolio optimization has become increasingly complex with the globalization of financial markets and the growth of high-frequency, multi-dimensional datasets. Traditional artificial neural networks, while effective in certain…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Amarendra Mohan , Ameer Tamoor Khan , Shuai Li , Xinwei Cao , Zhibin Li

This article introduces a novel hybrid regime identification-forecasting framework designed to enhance multi-asset portfolio construction by integrating asset-specific regime forecasts. Unlike traditional approaches that focus on broad…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-19 Yizhan Shu , Chenyu Yu , John M. Mulvey

We present a simulation-and-regression method for solving dynamic portfolio allocation problems in the presence of general transaction costs, liquidity costs and market impacts. This method extends the classical least squares Monte Carlo…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-05 Rongju Zhang , Nicolas Langrené , Yu Tian , Zili Zhu , Fima Klebaner , Kais Hamza

We predict asset returns and measure risk premia using a prominent technique from artificial intelligence -- deep sequence modeling. Because asset returns often exhibit sequential dependence that may not be effectively captured by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Lin William Cong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang , Yang Zhang

The real options approach is now considered an effective alternative to the corporate DCF model for a feasibility study. The current paper offers a practical methodology employing binomial trees and real options techniques for evaluating…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Volodymyr Savchuk

In this study, we explore the application of an artificial recurrent neural network (RNN) called Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) as an alternative to a turbulent Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) model. The LSTM models are utilized to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-27 Hugo D. Pasinato , Nicólas F. Moguilner Reh

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic volatility (SV) modeling by utilizing nonparametric techniques that enhance our ability to capture the volatility of financial time series data, with a particular emphasis on the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

This paper presents a novel approach to optimizing profit margins in non-life insurance markets through a gradient descent-based method, targeting three key objectives: 1) maximizing profit margins, 2) ensuring conversion rates, and 3)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Vincent Grari , Marcin Detyniecki

We present a neural network (NN) approach to fit and predict implied volatility surfaces (IVSs). Atypically to standard NN applications, financial industry practitioners use such models equally to replicate market prices and to value other…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 Damien Ackerer , Natasa Tagasovska , Thibault Vatter

Accurate financial volatility forecasting is crucial but challenged by the non-linear, highly correlated nature of market data. Recently, quantum computing has emerged as a promising paradigm for solving complex high-dimensional sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Yixiong Chen

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

This manuscript introduces deep learning models that simultaneously describe the dynamics of several yield curves. We aim to learn the dependence structure among the different yield curves induced by the globalization of financial markets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Ronald Richman , Salvatore Scognamiglio

Financial time-series forecasting remains a challenging task due to complex temporal dependencies and market fluctuations. This study explores the potential of hybrid quantum-classical approaches to assist in financial trend prediction by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Prashant Kumar Choudhary , Nouhaila Innan , Muhammad Shafique , Rajeev Singh

Spillover of economic outcomes often arises over multiple networks, and distinguishing their separate roles is important in empirical research. For example, the direction of spillover between two groups (such as banks and industrial sectors…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-17 Clemens Possnig , Andreea Rotărescu , Kyungchul Song

The scope for the accurate calculation of the Loss Given Default (LGD) parameter is comprehensive in terms of financial data. In this research, we aim to explore methods for improving the approximation of realized LGD in conditions of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Zuzanna Kostecka , Robert Ślepaczuk