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Increasing the thinking budget of AI models can significantly improve accuracy, but not all questions warrant the same amount of reasoning. Users may prefer to allocate different amounts of reasoning effort depending on how they value…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Michael Kleinman , Matthew Trager , Alessandro Achille , Wei Xia , Stefano Soatto

Multi-arm bandit experimental designs are increasingly being adopted over standard randomized trials due to their potential to improve outcomes for study participants, enable faster identification of the best-performing options, and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Brian M Cho , Aurélien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus

When designing experimental studies with human participants, experimenters must decide how many trials each participant will complete, as well as how many participants to test. Most discussion of statistical power (the ability of a study…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-30 Daniel H. Baker , Greta Vilidaite , Freya A. Lygo , Anika K. Smith , Tessa R. Flack , Andre D. Gouws , Timothy J. Andrews

In the problem of composite hypothesis testing, identifying the potential uniformly most powerful (UMP) unbiased test is of great interest. Beyond typical hypothesis settings with exponential family, it is usually challenging to prove the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tianyu Zhan , Jian Kang

Dose-finding trials are a key component of the drug development process and rely on a statistical design to help inform dosing decisions. Triallists wishing to choose a design require knowledge of operating characteristics of competing…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-11 Michael Sweeting , Daniel Slade , Dan Jackson , Kristian Brock

A common problem in health research is that we have a large database with many variables measured on a large number of individuals. We are interested in measuring additional variables on a subsample; these measurements may be newly…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Thomas Lumley , Tong Chen

This paper presents some ideas to reduce the computational cost of evidence-based robust design optimization. Evidence Theory crystallizes both the aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in the design parameters, providing two quantitative…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-07-17 Massimiliano Vasile , Edmondo Minisci , Quirien Wijnands

To increase statistical efficiency in a randomized experiment, researchers often use stratification (i.e., blocking) in the design stage. However, conventional practices of stratification fail to exploit valuable information about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Zikai Li

Computer simulations that demonstrate the valueof novel approaches are crucial to developing more flexibleand robust power systems operations with high penetrations ofrenewable energy at multiple geographic and temporal scales.However,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-01 Jose Daniel Lara , Jonathan T. Lee , Duncan Callaway , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Contemporary testing problems in statistics are increasingly complex, i.e., high-dimensional. Tests based on the $2$- and $\infty$-norm have received considerable attention in such settings, as they are powerful against dense and sparse…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-23 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer

Replicability analysis aims to identify the findings that replicated across independent studies that examine the same features. We provide powerful novel replicability analysis procedures for two studies for FWER and for FDR control on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-01 Marina Bogomolov , Ruth Heller

This study develops a framework for testing hypotheses on structural parameters in incomplete models. Such models make set-valued predictions and hence do not generally yield a unique likelihood function. The model structure, however,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-03 Hiroaki Kaido , Yi Zhang

The standard paradigm for confirmatory clinical trials is to compare experimental treatments with a control, for example the standard of care or a placebo. However, it is not always the case that a suitable control exists. Efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Thomas Burnett , Thomas Jaki

Much of science is (rightly or wrongly) driven by hypothesis testing. Even in situations where the hypothesis testing paradigm is correct, the common practice of basing inferences solely on p-values has been under intense criticism for over…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 M. J. Bayarri , Daniel J. Benjamin , James O. Berger , Thomas M. Sellke

In the experimental sciences, statistical power analyses are often used before data collection to determine the required sample size. However, traditional power analyses can be costly when data are difficult or expensive to collect. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Peiye Zhuang , Bliss Chapman , Ran Li , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Multiple testing problems are a staple of modern statistical analysis. The fundamental objective of multiple testing procedures is to reject as many false null hypotheses as possible (that is, maximize some notion of power), subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Saharon Rosset , Ruth Heller , Amichai Painsky , Ehud Aharoni

High dimensional hypothesis test deals with models in which the number of parameters is significantly larger than the sample size. Existing literature develops a variety of individual tests. Some of them are sensitive to the dense and small…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Cheng Zhou , Xinsheng Zhang , Wenxin Zhou , Han Liu

Adaptive seamless designs combine confirmatory testing, a domain of phase III trials, with features such as treatment or subgroup selection, typically associated with phase II trials. They promise to increase the efficiency of development…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-25 Tim Friede , Nigel Stallard , Nicholas Parsons

In nonstandard testing environments, researchers often derive ad hoc tests with correct (asymptotic) size, but their optimality properties are typically unknown a priori and difficult to assess. This paper develops a numerical framework for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-24 Philipp Ketz , Adam McCloskey , Jan Scherer

The study of experimental design offers tremendous benefits for answering causal questions across a wide range of applications, including agricultural experiments, clinical trials, industrial experiments, social experiments, and digital…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Jinglong Zhao