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Pricing derivatives goes back to the acclaimed Black and Scholes model. However, such a modeling approach is known not to be able to reproduce some of the financial stylized facts, including the dynamics of volatility. In the mathematical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Giuseppe Brandi , T. Di Matteo

Monte Carlo Approaches for calculating Value-at-Risk (VaR) are powerful tools widely used by financial risk managers across the globe. However, they are time consuming and sometimes inaccurate. In this paper, a fast and accurate Monte Carlo…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-17 Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi , Hamidreza Arian

In financial engineering, prices of financial products are computed approximately many times each trading day with (slightly) different parameters in each calculation. In many financial models such prices can be approximated by means of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Sebastian Becker , Arnulf Jentzen , Marvin S. Müller , Philippe von Wurstemberger

We study the Heston-Cox-Ingersoll-Ross++ stochastic-local volatility model in the context of foreign exchange markets and propose a Monte Carlo simulation scheme which combines the full truncation Euler scheme for the stochastic volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-24 Andrei Cozma , Matthieu Mariapragassam , Christoph Reisinger

Simulation Based Calibration (SBC) is applied to analyse two commonly used, competing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for estimating the posterior distribution of a stochastic volatility model. In particular, the bespoke 'off-set…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-21 Benjamin Wee

In predictive modeling with simulation or machine learning, it is critical to accurately assess the quality of estimated values through output analysis. In recent decades output analysis has become enriched with methods that quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Kimia Vahdat , Sara Shashaani

Extreme volatility, nonlinear dependencies, and systemic fragility are characteristics of cryptocurrency markets. The assumptions of normality and centralized control in traditional financial risk models frequently cause them to miss these…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Kiarash Firouzi

In financial mathematics, it is a typical approach to approximate financial markets operating in discrete time by continuous-time models such as the Black Scholes model. Fitting this model gives rise to difficulties due to the discrete…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-11 Kathrin Hellmuth , Christian Klingenberg

The correlated stochastic volatility models constitute a natural extension of the Black and Scholes-Merton framework: here the volatility is not a constant, but a stochastic process correlated with the price log-return one. At present,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 E. Cisana , L. Fermi , G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini

In this paper we consider the simulation-based Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) models. Extending the highly efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo mixture sampler for the SV model proposed in Kim et al. (1998) and Omori…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-21 Daichi Hiraki , Siddhartha Chib , Yasuhiro Omori

In this paper we propose a novel numerical approach for the Boltzmann equation with uncertainties. The method combines the efficiency of classical direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) schemes in the phase space together with the accuracy of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Lorenzo Pareschi , Mattia Zanella

Techniques from deep learning play a more and more important role for the important task of calibration of financial models. The pioneering paper by Hernandez [Risk, 2017] was a catalyst for resurfacing interest in research in this area. In…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-26 Christian Bayer , Blanka Horvath , Aitor Muguruza , Benjamin Stemper , Mehdi Tomas

The Volterra integral-functional series is the classic approach for nonlinear black box dynamical systems modeling. It is widely employed in many domains including radiophysics, aerodynamics, electronic and electrical engineering and many…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Denis Sidorov , Aleksandr Tynda , Vladislav Muratov , Eugeny Yanitsky

We offer a simple method Monte Carlo for computation of Volterra's and spherical type multiple integrals with weak (integrable) singularities. An elimination of infinity of variance is achieved by incorporating singularities in the density,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-05-27 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We consider the problem of pricing path-dependent options on a basket of underlying assets using simulations. As an example we develop our studies using Asian options. Asian options are derivative contracts in which the underlying variable…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-04 Piergiacomo Sabino

Sparked by Al\`os, Le\'on, and Vives (2007); Fukasawa (2011, 2017); Gatheral, Jaisson, and Rosenbaum (2018), so-called rough stochastic volatility models such as the rough Bergomi model by Bayer, Friz, and Gatheral (2016) constitute the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Christian Bayer , Benjamin Stemper

In a recent paper "Deep Learning Volatility" a fast 2-step deep calibration algorithm for rough volatility models was proposed: in the first step the time consuming mapping from the model parameter to the implied volatilities is learned by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-08 Dirk Roeder , Georgi Dimitroff

Monte Carlo simulations are methods for simulating statistical systems. The aim is to generate a representative ensemble of configurations to access thermodynamical quantities without the need to solve the system analytically or to perform…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Jean-Charles Walter , Gerard Barkema

In this paper, we first establish the existence, uniqueness and H\"older continuity of the solution to stochastic Volterra integral equations with weakly singular kernels. Then, we propose a $\theta$-Euler-Maruyama scheme and a Milstein…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-13 Min Li , Chengming Huang , Yaozhong Hu

Simulation of rough volatility models involves discretization of stochastic integrals where the integrand is a function of a (correlated) fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index $H \in (0,1/2)$. We obtain results on the rate of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-07 Paul Gassiat
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