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The railpad is a key element in railway infrastructures that plays an essential role in the train-track dynamics. Presence of worn or defective railpads along railway track may lead to large wheel/rail interaction forces, and a high rate of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-08 Pegah Barkhordari , Roberto Galeazzi , Mogens Blanke

Motivated by the study of pollution trends in the city of Bergen, we introduce a flexible statistical framework for modeling multivariate air pollution data via a nonhomogeneous Hidden Semi-Markov Vector Auto-Regression. The hidden process…

Nonlinear regression is a useful statistical tool, relating observed data and a nonlinear function of unknown parameters. When the parameter-dependent nonlinear function is computationally intensive, a straightforward regression analysis by…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-26 Dorin Drignei , Chris E. Forest , Doug Nychka

We optimize the operation of a fuel cell hybrid train using convex optimization. The main objective is to minimize hydrogen fuel consumption for a target journey time while considering battery thermal constraints. The state trajectories:…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-18 Rabee Jibrin , Stuart Hillmansen , Clive Roberts

The paper develops a method that quantifies the effect of weather conditions on the prediction of bike station counts in the San Francisco Bay Area Bike Share System. The Random Forest technique was used to rank the predictors that were…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Huthaifa I. Ashqar , Mohammed Elhenawy , Hesham A. Rakha

Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini

This study develops a statistical conditional approach to evaluate climate model performance in wind speed and direction and to project their future changes under the representative concentration pathway 8.5 scenario over inland and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-09 Qiuyi Wu , Julie Bessac , Whitney Huang , Jiali Wang

In this work, a system subject to different deterioration processes is analysed. The arrival of the degradation processes to the system is modelled using a shot-noise Cox process. The degradation processes grow according to an homogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-18 L. Bautista , Inma T. Castro , L. Landesa

In this work, we consider a finite-state inhomogeneous-time Markov chain whose probabilities of transition from one state to another tend to decrease over time. This can be seen as a cooling of the dynamics of an underlying Markov chain. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Florian Bouguet , Bertrand Cloez

Long memory and circulation patterns are potential sources of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions. Here, we infer one-dimensional nonlinear stochastic models of daily temperature which capture both long memory and external driving by the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-08 Johannes A. Kassel , Holger Kantz

Actively monitoring machine learning models during production operations helps ensure prediction quality and detection and remediation of unexpected or undesired conditions. Monitoring models already deployed in big data environments brings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Bradley Eck , Duygu Kabakci-Zorlu , Yan Chen , France Savard , Xiaowei Bao

Many critical infrastructure systems have network structure and are under stress. Despite their national importance, the complexity of large-scale transport networks means we do not fully understand their vulnerabilities to cascade…

This paper is concerned with the study of scalability in nonlinear heterogeneous networks affected by communication delays and disturbances. After formalizing the notion of scalability, we give two sufficient conditions to assess this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-15 Shihao Xie , Giovanni Russo , Richard Middleton

The possible unavailability of urban rail-based transport services due to planned maintenance activities may have significant consequences on the perceived quality of service, thus affecting railway attractiveness. To cope with the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-07 A lice Consilvio , Lorenzo Calabrò , Angela Di Febbraro , Nicola Sacco

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

Understanding and modeling snow particle dynamics in the atmosphere remains a significant challenge for atmospheric scientists, hydrologists, and glaciologists. Temporally and spatially varying rates of snow transport, deposition, and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-26 Nikolas O. Aksamit , Alex P. Encinas-Bartos , Holt Hancock , Alexander Prokop

Stop-and-go waves in road traffic are complex collective phenomena with significant implications for traffic engineering, safety and the environment. Despite decades of research, understanding and controlling these dynamics remains…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-15 Matthias Ehrhardt , Antoine Tordeux

In highly renewable power systems the increased weather dependence can result in new resilience challenges, such as renewable energy droughts, or a lack of sufficient renewable generation at times of high demand. The weather conditions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-21 Aleksander Grochowicz , Koen van Greevenbroek , Hannah C. Bloomfield

Disruptions are an inherent feature of transportation systems, occurring unpredictably and with varying durations. Even after an incident is reported as resolved, disruptions can induce irregular train operations that generate substantial…

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