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Railway systems form an important means of transport across the world. However, congestions or disruptions may significantly decrease these systems' efficiencies, making predicting and understanding the resulting train delays a priority for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-14 Mark M. Dekker , Alexey N. Medvedev , Jan Rombouts , Grzegorz Siudem , Liubov Tupikina

Temporal dynamics, characterised by time-varying degree heterogeneity and homophily effects, are often exhibited in many real-world networks. As observed in an MIT Social Evolution study, the in-degree and out-degree of the nodes show…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yuguo Chen , Lianqiang Qu , Jinfeng Xu , Ting Yan , Yunpeng Zhou

Successful modeling of degradation performance data is essential for accurate reliability assessment and failure predictions of highly reliable product units. The degradation performance measurements over time are highly heterogeneous. Such…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-17 Xuxue Sun , Wenjun Cai , Qiong Zhang , Mingyang Li

Transmission lines, crucial to the power grid, are subjected to diverse environmental conditions such as wind, temperature, humidity, and pollution. While these conditions represent a consistent impact on the transmission lines, certain…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Prakash KC , Maryam Naghibolhosseini , Mohsen Zayernouri

The Dutch railway network is one of the busiest in the world, with delays being a prominent concern for the principal passenger railway operator NS. This research addresses a gap in delay prediction studies within the Dutch railway network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Merel Kampere , Ali Mohammed Mansoor Alsahag

In this paper, we conduct a simulation study with subject-level data to evaluate conventional meta-regression approaches (study-level random, fixed, and mixed effects) against seven methodology specifications new to meta-regressions that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-18 Ali Habibnia , Jonathan Gendron

We investigate the factors contributing to departure and arrival delays at a major international airport and develop predictive models to estimate both the likelihood and duration of delays. Using logistic regression, random forest, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-06 Xavier Lemay , Fabian Bastin

We develop a flexible spline-based Bayesian hidden Markov model stochastic weather generator to statistically model daily precipitation over time by season at individual locations. The model naturally accounts for missing data (considered…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Christopher J. Paciorek

Urban rail transit often operates with high service frequencies to serve heavy passenger demand during rush hours. Such operations can be delayed by two types of congestion: train congestion and passenger congestion, both of which interact…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Toru Seo , Kentaro Wada , Daisuke Fukuda

To ensure the effective and objective development of transportation networks, it is crucial to identify performance limitations across various subsystems. A timetable-independent assessment of infrastructure capacity at railway junctions is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Tamme Emunds , Nils Nießen

The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Jiawei Wang , Qinglai Guo , Haotian Zhao , Bin Wang , Hongbin Sun

Railway systems require regular manual maintenance, a large part of which is dedicated to inspecting track deformation. Such deformation might severely impact trains' runtime security, whereas such inspections remain costly for both finance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Yutao Chen , Yu Zhang , Fei Yang

Based on stochastic differential equations (SDEs), we analyse the overall performance of heterogeneous power systems network, subject to spatially distributed and correlated noise with random initial conditions. We determine bounds on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Taouba Jouini , Zhiyong Sun

Robots and other intelligent systems navigating in complex dynamic environments should predict future actions and intentions of surrounding agents to reach their goals efficiently and avoid collisions. The dynamics of those agents strongly…

We provide a model to understand how adverse weather conditions modify traffic flow dynamic. We first prove that the microscopic Free Flow Speed of the vehicles is changed and then provide a rule to model this change. For this, we consider…

Railway operations involve different types of entities (stations, trains, etc.), making the existing graph/network models with homogenous nodes (i.e., the same kind of nodes) incapable of capturing the interactions between the entities.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Zhongcan Li , Ping Huang , Chao Wen , Filipe Rodrigues

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

Railways are a key infrastructure for any modern country. The reliability and resilience of this peculiar transportation system may be challenged by different shocks such as disruptions, strikes and adverse weather conditions. These events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-19 Bernardo Monechi , Pietro Gravino , Riccardo di Clemente , Vito D. P. Servedio

The systems monitoring the location of public transport vehicles rely on wireless transmission. The location readings from GPS-based devices are received with some latency caused by periodical data transmission and temporal problems…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-02-28 Maciej Grzenda , Karolina Kwasiborska , Tomasz Zaremba