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This paper focuses on a class of variational inequalities (VIs), where the map defining the VI is given by the component-wise conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of a random function. We focus on solving the VI using sample average…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-25 Ashish Cherukuri

We propose a new risk-constrained reformulation of the standard Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) problem. Our framework is motivated by the fact that the classical (risk-neutral) LQR controller, although optimal in expectation, might be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-30 Anastasios Tsiamis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Luiz F. O. Chamon , Alejandro Ribeiro , George J. Pappas

We present a method based on program analysis and formal verification to identify conditionally relevant variables (CRVs) - variables which could lead to violation of safety properties in control software when affected by single event…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Ganesha , Sujit Kumar Chakrabarti

In this paper, we consider the nonconvex minimization problem of the value-at-risk (VaR) that arises from financial risk analysis. By considering this problem as a special linear program with linear complementarity constraints (a bilevel…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Jong-Shi Pang , Sven Leyffer

In this paper, we study a novel episodic risk-sensitive Reinforcement Learning (RL) problem, named Iterated CVaR RL, which aims to maximize the tail of the reward-to-go at each step, and focuses on tightly controlling the risk of getting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Yihan Du , Siwei Wang , Longbo Huang

Rerandomization utilizes modern computing ability to improve covariate balance while adhering to the randomization principle originally advocated by RA Fisher. Affinely invariant rerandomization has the ``Equal Percent Variance Reducing''…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-03 Zhen Zhong , Donald B. Rubin

In this paper, a new way to integrate volatility information for estimating value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) of a portfolio is suggested. The new method is developed from the perspective of Bayesian statistics and it…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Taras Bodnar , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y. The unknown signal and observation are modeled as random vectors whose joint probability distribution is unknown,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

We present an adaptive approach for valuing the European call option on assets with stochastic volatility. The essential feature of the method is a reduction of uncertainty in latent volatility due to a Bayesian learning procedure. Starting…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

The Solvency II Directive and Solvency Assessment and Management (the South African equivalent) give a Solvency Capital Requirement which is based on a 99.5% Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculation. This calculation involves aggregating individual…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-06 Sean van der Merwe , Darren Steven , Martinette Pretorius

Expected Shortfall (ES) is the average return on a risky asset conditional on the return being below some quantile of its distribution, namely its Value-at-Risk (VaR). The Basel III Accord, which will be implemented in the years leading up…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-18 Andrew J. Patton , Johanna F. Ziegel , Rui Chen

This paper studies the safe and resilient control of Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) operating in mixed traffic environments where they must interact with Human-Driven Vehicles (HDVs) under uncertain dynamics and exponentially…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Yi Zhang , Yichao Wang , Wei Xiao , Mohamadamin Rajabinezhad , Shan Zuo

We consider the sequential decision problem faced by the manager of an electric vehicle (EV) charging station, who aims to satisfy the charging demand of the customer while minimizing cost. Since the total time needed to charge the EV up to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Daniel R. Jiang , Warren B. Powell

Policy-gradient methods in Reinforcement Learning(RL) are very universal and widely applied in practice but their performance suffers from the high variance of the gradient estimate. Several procedures were proposed to reduce it including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Maxim Kaledin , Alexander Golubev , Denis Belomestny

In safety-critical applications of reinforcement learning such as healthcare and robotics, it is often desirable to optimize risk-sensitive objectives that account for tail outcomes rather than expected reward. We prove the first regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 O. Bastani , Y. J. Ma , E. Shen , W. Xu

This paper studies continuous-time risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) under the entropy-regularized, exploratory diffusion process formulation with the exponential-form objective. The risk-sensitive objective arises either as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Yanwei Jia

We propose a methodology for performing risk-averse quadratic regulation of partially observed Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) systems disturbed by process and output noise. To compensate against the induced variability due to both types of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Nikolas Koumpis , Anastasios Tsiamis , Dionysios Kalogerias

In this work, we tackle the problem of minimising the Conditional-Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of output quantities of complex differential models with random input data, using gradient-based approaches in combination with the Multi-Level Monte…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Sundar Ganesh , Fabio Nobile

The comparative statics of the optimal portfolios across individuals is carried out for a continuous-time complete market model, where the risky assets price process follows a joint geometric Brownian motion with time-dependent and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-04 Jianming Xia

We study risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in finite discounted MDPs, where a generative model of the MDP is assumed to be available. We consider a family or risk measures called the optimized certainty equivalent (OCE), which includes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Oliver Mortensen , Mohammad Sadegh Talebi