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Computer experiments can emulate the physical systems, help computational investigations, and yield analytic solutions. They have been widely employed with many engineering applications (e.g., aerospace, automotive, energy systems.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Yan Wang , Meng Wang , Areej AlBahar , Xiaowei Yue

A new approach for Bayesian model averaging (BMA) and selection is proposed, based on the mixture model approach for hypothesis testing in Kaniav et al., 2014. Inheriting from the good properties of this approach, it extends BMA to cases…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Merlin Keller , Kaniav Kamary

Most computational approaches to Bayesian experimental design require making posterior calculations repeatedly for a large number of potential designs and/or simulated datasets. This can be expensive and prohibit scaling up these methods to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-18 Dennis Prangle , Sophie Harbisher , Colin S Gillespie

Optimization strategies driven by machine learning, such as Bayesian optimization, are being explored across experimental sciences as an efficient alternative to traditional design of experiment. When combined with automated laboratory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Riley J. Hickman , Matteo Aldeghi , Florian Häse , Alán Aspuru-Guzik

In many modern applications, there is interest in analyzing enormous data sets that cannot be easily moved across computers or loaded into memory on a single computer. In such settings, it is very common to be interested in clustering.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-15 Hanyu Song , Yingjian Wang , David B. Dunson

Engineers are often faced with the decision to select the most appropriate model for simulating the behavior of engineered systems, among a candidate set of models. Experimental monitoring data can generate significant value by supporting…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-17 Antonios Kamariotis , Eleni Chatzi

We model the interaction between a user and an AI driven recommendation system. The user initiates the process by conveying preference information through a costly and noisy message. The AI assistant, acting as a Bayesian agent, interprets…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jing Dong , Prakirt Raj Jhunjhunwala , Yash Kanoria

Mixture model-based clustering has become an increasingly popular data analysis technique since its introduction over fifty years ago, and is now commonly utilized within a family setting. Families of mixture models arise when the component…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Sanjeena Subedi , Paul D. McNicholas

In optimal experimental design, the objective is to select a limited set of experiments that maximizes information about unknown model parameters based on factor levels. This work addresses the generalized D-optimal design problem, allowing…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Aditya Pillai , Gabriel Ponte , Marcia Fampa , Jon Lee , and Mohit Singh , Weijun Xie

We develop a computational framework for D-optimal experimental design for PDE-based Bayesian linear inverse problems with infinite-dimensional parameters. We follow a formulation of the experimental design problem that remains valid in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-17 Alen Alexanderian , Arvind K. Saibaba

In a mixture experiment, we study the behavior and properties of $m$ mixture components, where the primary focus is on the proportions of the components that make up the mixture rather than the total amount. Mixture-amount experiments are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Taha Hasan , Touqeer Ahmad

In this paper we consider two-stage adaptive dose-response study designs, where the study design is changed at an interim analysis based on the information collected so far. In a simulation study, two approaches will be compared for these…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-08 Emma McCallum , Björn Bornkamp

In this paper, we address the problem of designing an experimental plan with both discrete and continuous factors under fairly general parametric statistical models. We propose a new algorithm, named ForLion, to search for locally optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-24 Yifei Huang , Keren Li , Abhyuday Mandal , Jie Yang

In the problem of selecting variables in a multivariate linear regression model, we derive new Bayesian information criteria based on a prior mixing a smooth distribution and a delta distribution. Each of them can be interpreted as a fusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Haruki Kono , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Determining the optimal data mixture for large language model training remains a challenging problem with an outsized impact on performance. In practice, language model developers continue to rely on heuristic exploration since no…

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

We study posterior contraction behaviors for parameters of interest in the context of Bayesian mixture modeling, where the number of mixing components is unknown while the model itself may or may not be correctly specified. Two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Aritra Guha , Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen

Experimental (design) optimization is a key driver in designing and discovering new products and processes. Bayesian Optimization (BO) is an effective tool for optimizing expensive and black-box experimental design processes. While Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Arun Kumar A , Alistair Shilton , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Stewart Greenhill , Svetha Venkatesh

We develop a new computational approach for "focused" optimal Bayesian experimental design with nonlinear models, with the goal of maximizing expected information gain in targeted subsets of model parameters. Our approach considers…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-28 Chi Feng , Youssef M. Marzouk

The problem of constructing Bayesian optimal discriminating designs for a class of regression models with respect to the T-optimality criterion introduced by Atkinson and Fedorov (1975a) is considered. It is demonstrated that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-09 Holger Dette , Viatcheslav B. Melas , Roman Guchenko