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We consider maximin and Bayesian $D$-optimal designs for nonlinear regression models. The maximin criterion requires the specification of a region for the nonlinear parameters in the model, while the Bayesian optimality criterion assumes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Dietrich Braess , Holger Dette

Cumulative link models have been widely used for ordered categorical responses. Uniform allocation of experimental units is commonly used in practice, but often suffers from a lack of efficiency. We consider D-optimal designs with ordered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Jie Yang , Liping Tong , Abhyuday Mandal

Performing optimal Bayesian design for discriminating between competing models is computationally intensive as it involves estimating posterior model probabilities for thousands of simulated datasets. This issue is compounded further when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Markus Hainy , David J. Price , Olivier Restif , Christopher Drovandi

Microplastics contamination is one of the most rapidly growing research topics. However, monitoring microplastics contamination in the environment presents both logistical and statistical challenges, particularly when constrained resources…

Bayesian optimal design is a well-established approach to planning experiments. A distribution for the responses, i.e. a statistical model, is assumed which is dependent on unknown parameters. A utility function is then specified giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Antony M. Overstall , Jacinta Holloway-Brown , James M. McGree

Complex system design problems, such as those involved in aerospace engineering, require the use of numerically costly simulation codes in order to predict the performance of the system to be designed. In this context, these codes are often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent

We consider optimal designs for general multinomial logistic models, which cover baseline-category, cumulative, adjacent-categories, and continuation-ratio logit models, with proportional odds, non-proportional odds, or partial proportional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Xianwei Bu , Dibyen Majumdar , Jie Yang

An early phase clinical trial is the first step in evaluating the effects in humans of a potential new anti-disease agent or combination of agents. Usually called "phase I" or "phase I/II" trials, these experiments typically have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 Peter F. Thall

We study Bayesian estimation of finite mixture models in a general setup where the number of components is unknown and allowed to grow with the sample size. An assumption on growing number of components is a natural one as the degree of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Ilsang Ohn , Lizhen Lin

Plant breeding programs use data obtained from multi-environment selection experiments to produce improved varieties with the ultimate aim of maintaining high levels of genetic gain. Selection accuracy can be improved with the use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Brian R Cullis , Alison B Smith , David GD Hughes , David Butler

Hierarchical random effect models are used for different purposes in clinical research and other areas. In general, the main focus is on population parameters related to the expected treatment effects or group differences among all units of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-07 Maryna Prus , Norbert Benda , Rainer Schwabe

Aims: Combinations of treatments can offer additional benefit over the treatments individually. However, trials of these combinations are lower priority than the development of novel therapies, which can restrict funding, timelines and…

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

We introduce Bayesian optimization, a technique developed for optimizing time-consuming engineering simulations and for fitting machine learning models on large datasets. Bayesian optimization guides the choice of experiments during…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-22 Peter I. Frazier , Jialei Wang

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a sub-field of statistics focused on developing methods to make efficient use of experimental resources. Any potential design is evaluated in terms of a utility function, such as the (theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Noble Kennamer , Steven Walton , Alexander Ihler

In paired comparison experiments respondents usually evaluate pairs of competing options. For this situation we introduce an appropriate model and derive optimal designs in the presence of second-order interactions when all attributes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-24 Eric Nyarko , Rainer Schwabe

We consider the optimal experimental design problem of allocating subjects to treatment or control when subjects participate in multiple, separate controlled experiments within a short time-frame and subject covariate information is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 William Fisher , Qiong Zhang , Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng

DuMouchel and Jones (1994) proposed the Bayesian D criterion by modifying the D-optimality approach to reduce dependence of the selected design on an assumed model. This criterion has been applied to select various single-stratum designs…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-30 Chang-Yun Lin

Interval designs are a class of phase I trial designs for which the decision of dose assignment is determined by comparing the observed toxicity rate at the current dose with a prespecified (toxicity tolerance) interval. If the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-20 Suyu Liu , Ying Yuan

In experiments to estimate parameters of a parametric model, Bayesian experiment design allows measurement settings to be chosen based on utility, which is the predicted improvement of parameter distributions due to modeled measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 Robert D. McMichael , Sean M. Blakley