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We propose a novel approach to sufficient dimension reduction in regression, based on estimating contour directions of small variation in the response. These directions span the orthogonal complement of the minimal space relevant for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Bing Li , Hongyuan Zha , Francesca Chiaromonte

High-dimensional sparse modeling via regularization provides a powerful tool for analyzing large-scale data sets and obtaining meaningful, interpretable models. The use of nonconvex penalty functions shows advantage in selecting important…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Zemin Zheng , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

Expectiles define the only law-invariant, coherent and elicitable risk measure apart from the expectation. The popularity of expectile-based risk measures is steadily growing and their properties have been studied for independent data, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-13 Anthony C. Davison , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

We propose a novel approach to sufficient dimension reduction in regression, based on estimating contour directions of negligible variation for the response surface. These directions span the orthogonal complement of the minimal space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-15 Bing Li , Hongyuan Zha , Francesca Chiaromonte

Using tail bounds, we introduce a new probabilistic condition for function estimation in stochastic derivative-free optimization which leads to a reduction in the number of samples and eases algorithmic analyses. Moreover, we develop simple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Francesco Rinaldi , Luis Nunes Vicente , Damiano Zeffiro

We consider the framework of non-stationary Online Convex Optimization where a learner seeks to control its dynamic regret against an arbitrary sequence of comparators. When the loss functions are strongly convex or exp-concave, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Dheeraj Baby , Hilaf Hasson , Yuyang Wang

Determining the causes of extreme events is a fundamental question in many scientific fields. An important aspect when modelling multivariate extremes is the tail dependence. In application, the extreme dependence structure may…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Juraj Bodik , Linda Mhalla , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

The extreme values theory presents specific tools for modeling and predicting extreme phenomena. In particular, risk assessment is often analyzed through measures for tail dependence and high values clustering. Despite technological…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-23 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

In our recent research endeavors, we have delved into the realm of tail bounds problems concerning bivariate random tensor means. In this context, tensors are treated as finite-dimensional operators. However, the longstanding challenge of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Shih-Yu Chang

We introduce the \textsc{Tailed-Uniform} proposal distribution for generating training simulations in simulation-based inference. Instead of sampling parameters uniformly within bounded regions, we extend the distribution beyond prior…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-27 Chaipat Tirapongprasert , Matthew Ho

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

We introduce a new regression method that relates the mean of an outcome variable to covariates, under the "adverse condition" that a distress variable falls in its tail. This allows to tailor classical mean regressions to adverse…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 Timo Dimitriadis , Yannick Hoga

The effectiveness of supervised learning techniques has made them ubiquitous in research and practice. In high-dimensional settings, supervised learning commonly relies on dimensionality reduction to improve performance and identify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-11 Chang Liu , Bo Li , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik , Alina Oprea

We present a method for computing reduced-order models of parameterized partial differential equation solutions. The key analytical tool is the singular value expansion of the parameterized solution, which we approximate with a singular…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Paul G. Constantine , David F. Gleich , Yangyang Hou , Jeremy Templeton

We study random design linear regression with no assumptions on the distribution of the covariates and with a heavy-tailed response variable. In this distribution-free regression setting, we show that boundedness of the conditional second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Jaouad Mourtada , Tomas Vaškevičius , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

High-dimensional time series has diverse applications in econometrics and finance. Recent models for capturing temporal dependence have employed a bilinear representation for matrix time series, or the Tucker-decomposition based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Debika Ghosh , Samrat Roy , Nilanjana Chakraborty

In applications involving ordinal predictors, common approaches to reduce dimensionality are either extensions of unsupervised techniques such as principal component analysis, or variable selection procedures that rely on modeling the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Liliana Forzani , Rodrigo García Arancibia , Pamela Llop , Diego Tomassi
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