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Accurate forecasting of industrial time series requires balancing predictive accuracy with physical plausibility under non-stationary operating conditions. Existing data-driven models often achieve strong statistical performance but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yeran Zhang , Pengwei Yang , Guoqing Wang , Tianyu Li

Deriving precise system dynamic models through traditional numerical methods is often a challenging endeavor. The performance of Model Predictive Control is heavily contingent on the accuracy of the system dynamic model. Consequently, this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-14 Shuai Niu , Qing Sun , Minrui Fei , Xuqian Ju

Developing mathematical models of dynamic systems is central to many disciplines of engineering and science. Models facilitate simulations, analysis of the system's behavior, decision making and design of automatic control algorithms. Even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Erik Derner , Jiří Kubalík , Nicola Ancona , Robert Babuška

A hybrid approach, incorporating concepts of nonlinear dynamics in artificial neural networks (ANN), is proposed to model time series generated by complex dynamic systems. We introduce well known features used in the study of dynamic…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 D. R. Kulkarni , A. S. Pandya , J. C. Parikh

We propose a fundamental-lemma-free data-driven predictive control (DDPC) scheme for synthesizing model predictive control (MPC)-like policies directly from input-output data. Unlike the well-known DeePC approach and other DDPC methods that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-17 Aihui Liu , Magnus Jansson

Prediction models that capture and use the structure of state-space dynamics can be very effective. In practice, however, one rarely has access to full information about that structure, and accurate reconstruction of the dynamics from…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-01 Joshua Garland , Elizabeth Bradley

Deep learning-based multivariate and multistep-ahead traffic forecasting models are typically trained with the mean squared error (MSE) or mean absolute error (MAE) as the loss function in a sequence-to-sequence setting, simply assuming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Seongjin Choi , Nicolas Saunier , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

For the application of MPC design in on-line regulation or tracking control problems, several studies have attempted to develop an accurate model, and realize adequate uncertainty description of linear or non-linear plants of the processes.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Yuanqiang Zhou , Dewei Li , Yugeng Xi , Zhongxue Gan

Multiscale dynamical systems characterized by interacting fast and slow processes are ubiquitous across scientific domains, from climate dynamics to fluid mechanics. Accurate modeling of such systems requires capturing both the long-term…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-07 Giulio Del Felice , Ludovico Theo Giorgini

Many applications in different domains produce large amount of time series data. Making accurate forecasting is critical for many decision makers. Various time series forecasting methods exist which use linear and nonlinear models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Ümit Çavuş Büyükşahin , Şeyda Ertekin

Short-term load forecasting is one of the crucial sections in smart grid. Precise forecasting enables system operators to make reliable unit commitment and power dispatching decisions. With the advent of big data, a number of artificial…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-27 Tiantian Li , Bo Wang , Min Zhou , Junzo Watada

The recent advancement in vehicular networking technology provides novel solutions for designing intelligent and sustainable vehicle motion controllers. This work addresses a car-following task, where the feedback linearisation method is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Sheng Yu , Xiao Pan , Anastasis Georgiou , Boli Chen , Imad M. Jaimoukha , Simos A. Evangelou

This paper considers risk-sensitive model predictive control for stochastic systems with a decision-dependent distribution. This class of systems is commonly found in human-robot interaction scenarios. We derive computationally tractable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Renzi Wang , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

We develop an artificial neural network model to predict quantum heat engines working within the experimentally realized framework of electromagnetically induced transparency. We specifically focus on {\Lambda}-type alkali-based cold atomic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-01-07 Manash Jyoti Sarmah , Himangshu Prabal Goswami

In this paper we present a convex formulation of the Model Predictive Control (MPC) optimisation for energy management in hybrid electric vehicles, and an Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) algorithm for its solution. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-24 Sebastian East , Mark Cannon

Estimating the rate of rare conformational changes in molecular systems is one of the goals of Molecular Dynamics simulations. In the past decades, a lot of progress has been done in data-based approaches towards this problem. In contrast,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-06-24 Alexander Sikorski , Amir Niknejad , Marcus Weber , Luca Donati

This paper presents a new approach to accurately simulating 3D overhead cranes with friction. Although nonlinear friction dynamics has a significant impact on these systems, accurately modeling this phenomenon in simulations is a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Jorge Vicente-Martinez , Edgar Ramirez-Laboreo

This paper focuses on the speed planning problem for connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) communicating to traffic lights. The uncertainty of traffic signal timing for signalized intersections on the road is considered. The eco-driving…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-11 Chao Sun , Jacopo Guanetti , Francesco Borrelli , Scott Moura

AI weather prediction ensembles with latent noise injection and optimized with the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) have produced both accurate and well-calibrated predictions with far less computational cost compared with…