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Interim analyses are vital in clinical trials for early decision-making. While frequentist implications are well-established, the consequences of repeated Bayesian interim monitoring for efficacy, specifically regarding multiplicity, remain…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Suyu Liu , Beibei Guo , Laura Thompson , Lei Nie , Ying Yuan

In studies based on electronic health records (EHR), the frequency of covariate monitoring can vary by covariate type, across patients, and over time. This can lead to major challenges: first, the difference in monitoring protocols may…

In the setting of multi-armed trials, adaptive designs are a popular way to increase estimation efficiency, identify optimal treatments, or maximize rewards to individuals. Recent work has considered the case of estimating the effects of K…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Kristen B. Hunter

Treatment switching is a common occurrence in the management of Multiple Sclerosis (MS), where patients transition across various disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) due to heterogeneous treatment responses, differences in disease…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Beomchang Kim , Zongqi Xia , Priyam Das

Mobile health is a rapidly developing field in which behavioral treatments are delivered to individuals via wearables or smartphones to facilitate health-related behavior change. Micro-randomized trials (MRT) are an experimental design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-13 Tianchen Qian , Predrag Klasnja , Susan A. Murphy

With the uptake of targeted therapies, instead of the "one-fits-all" approach, modern randomized clinical trials (RCTs) often aim to develop treatments that target a subgroup of patients. Motivated by analyzing the Age-Related Eye Disease…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-25 Yue Wei , Jason C. Hsu , Wei Chen , Emily Y. Chew , Ying Ding

Stabilized dynamic treatment regimes are sequential decision rules for individual patients that not only adaptive throughout the disease progression but also remain consistent over time in format. The estimation of stabilized dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-05 Ying-Qi Zhao , Ruoqing Zhu , Guanhua Chen , Yingye Zheng

A platform trial is an innovative clinical trial design that uses a master protocol to evaluate multiple treatments, where patients are often assigned to different subsets of treatment arms based on individual characteristics, enrollment…

Intercurrent events, common in clinical trials and observational studies, affect the existence or interpretation of final outcomes. Principal stratification addresses this challenge by defining local average treatment effect estimands…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Jiaqi Tong , Brennan Kahan , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li

We present Scalable Multi-Agent Realistic Testbed (SMART), a realistic and efficient software tool for evaluating Multi-Agent Path Finding (MAPF) algorithms. MAPF focuses on planning collision-free paths for a group of robots. While…

We study the problem of estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) in adaptive experiments where treatment can only be encouraged -- rather than directly assigned -- via a binary instrumental variable. Building on semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Miruna Oprescu , Brian M Cho , Nathan Kallus

We introduce the Stochastic Monotone Aggregated Root-Finding (SMART) algorithm, a new randomized operator-splitting scheme for finding roots of finite sums of operators. These algorithms are similar to the growing class of incremental…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-13 Damek Davis

We propose a dynamic allocation procedure that increases power and efficiency when measuring an average treatment effect in sequential randomized trials. Subjects arrive iteratively and are either randomized or paired via a matching…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-23 Adam Kapelner , Abba Krieger

The delivery and assessment of quality health care is complex with many interacting and interdependent components. In terms of research design and statistical analysis, this complexity and interdependency makes it difficult to assess the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-03 Maricela Cruz , Daniel L. Gillen , Miriam Bender , Hernando Ombao

In this paper, we introduce an alternative approach to enhancing Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) through the integration of domain knowledge and attention-based policy mechanisms. Our methodology focuses on the incorporation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Andre R Kuroswiski , Annie S Wu , Angelo Passaro

Recently, there has been great interest in estimating the conditional average treatment effect using flexible machine learning methods. However, in practice, investigators often have working hypotheses about effect heterogeneity across…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a flexible machine learning algorithm capable of capturing nonlinearities between an outcome and covariates and interaction among covariates. We extend BART to a semiparametric regression…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-13 Bret Zeldow , Vincent Lo Re , Jason Roy

Modern longitudinal studies collect multiple outcomes as the primary endpoints to understand the complex dynamics of the diseases. Oftentimes, especially in clinical trials, the joint variations among the multidimensional responses play a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Salil Koner , Sheng Luo

Acute stress alters cognitive performance, yet competing models make divergent predictions regarding the mechanisms, scope, and temporal dynamics of these effects. This large-scale randomized controlled trial tested predications from three…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Lisa Weckesser , Charlotte Grosskopf , Benjamin Weber , Selen Soylu , Tanja Endrass , Robert Miller

Given a fixed-sample-size test that controls the error probabilities under two specific, but arbitrary, distributions, a 3-stage and two 4-stage tests are proposed and analyzed. For each of them, a novel, concrete, non-asymptotic,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Yiming Xing , Georgios Fellouris