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``Online" data assimilation (DA) is used to generate a new seasonal-resolution reanalysis dataset over the last millennium by combining forecasts from an ocean--atmosphere--sea-ice coupled linear inverse model with climate proxy records.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-27 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Eric J. Steig

Feature selection is an important and active research area in statistics and machine learning. The Elastic Net is often used to perform selection when the features present non-negligible collinearity or practitioners wish to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-09 Tobia Boschi , Matthew Reimherr , Francesca Chiaromonte

In this paper, we put forth a long short-term memory (LSTM) nudging framework for the enhancement of reduced order models (ROMs) of fluid flows utilizing noisy measurements. We build on the fact that in a realistic application, there are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Shady Ahmed , Suraj Pawar , Omer San , Adil Rasheed

A complete understanding of physical systems requires models that are accurate and obeys natural conservation laws. Recent trends in representation learning involve learning Lagrangian from data rather than the direct discovery of governing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-10 Tapas Tripura , Souvik Chakraborty

Common modal decomposition techniques for flowfield analysis, data-driven modeling and flow control, such as proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) and dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) are usually performed in an Eulerian (fixed) frame of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-12-25 Vilas J. Shinde , Datta V. Gaitonde

Advances in data assimilation (DA) methods have greatly improved the accuracy of Earth system predictions. To fuse multi-source data and reconstruct the nonlinear evolution missing from observations, geoscientists are developing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-19 Qingyu Zheng , Guijun Han , Wei Li , Lige Cao , Gongfu Zhou , Haowen Wu , Qi Shao , Ru Wang , Xiaobo Wu , Xudong Cui , Hong Li , Xuan Wang

Variational data assimilation in ocean models depends on the ability to model general correlation operators in the presence of coastlines. Grid-point filters based on diffusion operators are widely used for this purpose, but come with a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-12-11 Folke K Skrunes , Mayeul Destouches , Anthony Weaver , Guillaume Coulaud , Olivier Goux , Corentin Lapeyre

A variety of complex biological, natural and man-made systems exhibit non-Markovian dynamics that can be modeled through fractional order differential equations, yet, we lack sample comlexity aware system identification strategies. Towards…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-23 Xiaole Zhang , Vijay Gupta , Paul Bogdan

The nudging data assimilation algorithm is a powerful tool used to forecast phenomena of interest given incomplete and noisy observations. Machine learning is becoming increasingly popular in data assimilation given its ease of computation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-24 Harbir Antil , Rainald Löhner , Randy Price

Numerical simulations of the air in the atmosphere and water in the oceans are essential for numerical weather prediction. The state-of-the-art for performing these fluid simulations relies on an Eulerian viewpoint, in which the fluid…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-12 Philip Caplan , Otis Milliken , Toby Pouler , Zeyi Tong , Col McDermott , Sam Millay

We analyze characteristics of drifter trajectories from the Adriatic Sea with recently introduced nonlinear dynamics techniques. We discuss how in quasi-enclosed basins, relative dispersion as function of time, a standard analysis tool in…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Guglielmo Lacorata , Erik Aurell , Angelo Vulpiani

Modeling non-Markovian time series is a recent topic of research in many fields such as climate modeling, biophysics, molecular dynamics, or finance. The generalized Langevin equation (GLE), given naturally by the Mori-Zwanzig projection…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-07-25 Clemens Willers , Oliver Kamps

Simulating turbulent fluid flows is a computationally prohibitive task, as it requires the resolution of fine-scale structures and the capture of complex nonlinear interactions across multiple scales. This is particularly the case in direct…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ismaël Zighed , Nicolas Thome , Patrick Gallinari , Taraneh Sayadi

Data assimilation is uniquely challenging in weather forecasting due to the high dimensionality of the employed models and the nonlinearity of the governing equations. Although current operational schemes are used successfully, our…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-09 Lea Oljača , Jochen Bröcker , Tobias Kuna

The URANS equations provide a computationally efficient tool to simulate unsteady turbulent flows for a wide range of applications. To account for the errors introduced by the turbulence closure model, recent works have adopted data…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-22 Justin Plogmann , Oliver Brenner , Patrick Jenny

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling complex signals, but scale cubically with data, assume static targets, and are brittle to outliers, limiting their applicability in large-scale problems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Fernando Llorente , Daniel Waxman , Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Susan E. Minkoff

In-situ ocean wave observations are critical to improve model skill and validate remote sensing wave measurements. Historically, such observations are extremely sparse due to the large costs and complexity of traditional wave buoys and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-11 Pieter B. Smit , Isabel A. Houghton , Kalina Jordanova , Thomas Portwood , Evan Shapiro , David Clark , Michael Sosa , Tim T. Janssen

A sequential estimator based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter for Data Assimilation of fluid flows is presented in this research work. The main feature of this estimator is that the Kalman filter update, which relies on the determination of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Gabriel Moldovan , Guillame Lehnasch , Laurent Cordier , Marcello Meldi

Simulating physical systems governed by Lagrangian dynamics often entails solving partial differential equations (PDEs) over high-resolution spatial domains, leading to significant computational expense. Reduced-order modeling (ROM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Hrishikesh Viswanath , Yue Chang , Aleksey Panas , Julius Berner , Peter Yichen Chen , Aniket Bera

We propose an efficient retraining strategy for a parameterized Reduced Order Model (ROM) that attains accuracy comparable to full retraining while requiring only a fraction of the computational time and relying solely on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Ismaël Zighed , Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri , Taraneh Sayadi