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Data-driven surrogate models offer quick approximations to complex numerical and experimental systems but typically lack uncertainty quantification, limiting their reliability in safety-critical applications. While Bayesian methods provide…

Deep learning methods have been exerting their strengths in long-term time series forecasting. However, they often struggle to strike a balance between expressive power and computational efficiency. Resorting to multi-layer perceptrons…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Nannan Bian , Minhong Zhu , Li Chen , Weiran Cai

Forecasting armed conflicts is a critical area of research with the potential to save lives and mitigate suffering. While existing forecasting models offer valuable point predictions, they often lack individual-level uncertainty estimates,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 David Randahl , Jonathan P. Williams , Håvard Hegre

Finding informative low-dimensional representations that can be computed efficiently in large datasets is an important problem in data analysis. Recently, contrastive Principal Component Analysis (cPCA) was proposed as a more informative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-16 Siavash Golkar , David Lipshutz , Tiberiu Tesileanu , Dmitri B. Chklovskii

Spurious correlations pose a major challenge for robust machine learning. Models trained with empirical risk minimization (ERM) may learn to rely on correlations between class labels and spurious attributes, leading to poor performance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Michael Zhang , Nimit S. Sohoni , Hongyang R. Zhang , Chelsea Finn , Christopher Ré

Deep learning models for medical imaging often exhibit overconfidence, creating safety risks in ambiguous diagnostic scenarios. While Conformal Prediction (CP) provides distribution-free statistical guarantees, standard methods such as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-14 One Octadion , Novanto Yudistira , Lailil Muflikhah

Large language models (LLMs) are empowering decision-making in several applications, including tool or API usage and answering multiple-choice questions (MCQs). However, incorrect outputs pose significant risks in high-stakes domains like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Harit Vishwakarma , Alan Mishler , Thomas Cook , Niccolò Dalmasso , Natraj Raman , Sumitra Ganesh

Hyperspectral Image Classification (HSIC) is a difficult task due to high inter and intra-class similarity and variability, nested regions, and overlapping. 2D Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) emerged as a viable network whereas, 3D CNNs…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Muhammad Ahmad

Non-parametric machine learning models, such as random forests and gradient boosted trees, are frequently used to estimate house prices due to their predictive accuracy, but a main drawback of such methods is their limited ability to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Anders Hjort , Gudmund Horn Hermansen , Johan Pensar , Jonathan P. Williams

Conformal prediction (CP) and its extension, conformal risk control (CRC), are established frameworks for quantifying uncertainty in supervised machine learning through formal guarantees. However, recent breakthroughs in artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem , Kevin Zhang , Wei Cui , Marc T. Law , Kin Kwan Leung

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical for trustworthy AI. Conformal Prediction (CP) provides prediction sets with distribution-free coverage guarantees, but its two main variants face complementary limitations. Split CP (SCP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Weicao Deng , Sangwoo Park , Min Li , Osvaldo Simeone

One of the most critical problems in e-commerce domain is the information overload problem. Usually, an enormous number of products is offered to a user. The characteristics of this domain force researchers to opt for session-based…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Miroslav Rac , Michal Kompan , Maria Bielikova

Recent contrastive methods show significant improvement in self-supervised learning in several domains. In particular, contrastive methods are most effective where data augmentation can be easily constructed e.g. in computer vision.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Konstantinos Kallidromitis , Denis Gudovskiy , Kazuki Kozuka , Iku Ohama , Luca Rigazio

Cross-sectional prediction is common in many domains such as healthcare, including forecasting tasks using electronic health records, where different patients form a cross-section. We focus on the task of constructing valid prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-04 Zhen Lin , Shubhendu Trivedi , Jimeng Sun

This paper contributes to a development of randomized methods for neural networks. The proposed learner model is generated incrementally by stochastic configuration (SC) algorithms, termed as Stochastic Configuration Networks (SCNs). In…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Dianhui Wang , Ming Li

Convolutional neural networks have become increasingly deep and complex, leading to higher computational costs. While tropical convolutional neural networks (TCNNs) reduce multiplications, they underperform compared to standard CNNs. To…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Mingbo Li , Liying Liu , Ye Luo

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

Conformal prediction (CP) provides a distribution-free approach to uncertainty quantification with finite-sample guarantees. However, applying CP to graph neural networks (GNNs) remains challenging as the combinatorial nature of graphs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Peyman Baghershahi , Fangxin Wang , Debmalya Mandal , Sourav Medya

The accurate diagnosis of pathological subtypes of lung cancer is of paramount importance for follow-up treatments and prognosis managements. Assessment methods utilizing deep learning technologies have introduced novel approaches for…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-19 Yuan Jin , Gege Ma , Geng Chen , Tianling Lyu , Jan Egger , Junhui Lyu , Shaoting Zhang , Wentao Zhu

With the rise of high-dimensional correlated data, multicollinearity poses a significant challenge to model stability, often leading to unstable estimation and reduced predictive accuracy. This work proposes the Single-Parametric Principal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-09 Ying Hu , Hu Yang