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Hawkes processes are a popular framework to model the occurrence of sequential events, i.e., occurrence dynamics, in several fields such as social diffusion. In real-world scenarios, the inter-arrival time among events is irregular.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Minju Jo , Seungji Kook , Noseong Park

Learning the causal-interaction network of multivariate Hawkes processes is a useful task in many applications. Maximum-likelihood estimation is the most common approach to solve the problem in the presence of long observation sequences.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-04 Farnood Salehi , William Trouleau , Matthias Grossglauser , Patrick Thiran

An essential step toward understanding neural circuits is linking their structure and their dynamics. In general, this relationship can be almost arbitrarily complex. Recent theoretical work has, however, begun to identify some broad…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-10 Gabriel Koch Ocker , Yu Hu , Michael A. Buice , Brent Doiron , Krešimir Josić , Robert Rosenbaum , Eric Shea-Brown

Hawkes (1971) introduced a powerful multivariate point process model of mutually exciting processes to explain causal structure in data. In this paper it is shown that the Granger causality structure of such processes is fully encoded in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Michael Eichler , Rainer Dahlhaus , Johannes Dueck

The Hawkes process and its extensions effectively model self-excitatory phenomena including earthquakes, viral pandemics, financial transactions, neural spike trains and the spread of memes through social networks. The usefulness of these…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-21 Andrew J. Holbrook , Charles E. Loeffler , Seth R. Flaxman , Marc A. Suchard

We propose a novel modeling framework for time-evolving networks allowing for long-term dependence in network features that update in continuous time. Dynamic network growth is functionally parameterized via the conditional intensity of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Duncan A Clark , Conor J. Kresin , Charlotte M. Jones-Todd

In this article, we review a class of neuro-mimetic computational models that we place under the label of spiking predictive coding. Specifically, we review the general framework of predictive processing in the context of neurons that emit…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-10 Antony W. N'dri , William Gebhardt , Céline Teulière , Fleur Zeldenrust , Rajesh P. N. Rao , Jochen Triesch , Alexander Ororbia

A multivariate Hawkes process enables self- and cross-excitations through a triggering matrix that behaves like an asymmetrical covariance structure, characterizing pairwise interactions between the event types. Full-rank estimation of all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-26 Myrl G. Marmarelis , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Energy efficiency and low latency are crucial requirements for designing wearable AI-empowered human activity recognition systems, due to the hard constraints of battery operations and closed-loop feedback. While neural network models have…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Sizhen Bian , Michele Magno

Network cascade refers to diffusion processes in which outcome changes within part of an interconnected population trigger a sequence of changes across the entire network. These cascades are governed by underlying diffusion networks, which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Yubai Yuan , Siyu Huang , Abdul Basit Adeel

This work proposes a two-dimensional electrophysiological model for describing neuronal responses to external electric stimuli under patch-clamped conditions. Our proposed model successfully captures the key features of the Hodgkin-Huxley…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-13 Lízia Maria Gonçalves Branco , Rui Manuel Agostinho Dilão

Permutation tests have been proposed by Albert et al. (2015) to detect dependence between point processes, modeling in particular spike trains, that is the time occurrences of action potentials emitted by neurons. Our present work focuses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Josué Tchouanti , Éva Löcherbach , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Etienne Tanré

Generalized linear models are one of the most efficient paradigms for predicting the correlated stochastic activity of neuronal networks in response to external stimuli, with applications in many brain areas. However, when dealing with…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-11-17 Gabriel Mahuas , Giulio Isacchini , Olivier Marre , Ulisse Ferrari , Thierry Mora

Hawkes processes are often applied to model dependence and interaction phenomena in multivariate event data sets, such as neuronal spike trains, social interactions, and financial transactions. In the nonparametric setting, learning the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

We propose a scalable semiparametric Bayesian model to capture dependencies among multiple neurons by detecting their co-firing (possibly with some lag time) patterns over time. After discretizing time so there is at most one spike at each…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-22 Babak Shahbaba , Bo Zhou , Shiwei Lan , Hernando Ombao , David Moorman , Sam Behseta

The Hawkes process has garnered attention in recent years for its suitability to describe the behavior of online information cascades. Here, we present a fully tractable approach to analytically describe the distribution of the number of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-22 Joseph D. O'Brien , Alberto Aleta , Yamir Moreno , James P. Gleeson

Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

We continue the work of a series of previous studies of a mathematical model that describes the mean-field limit behavior of a homogeneous network of excitatory point spiking neurons. Contrary to other models, here noise is intrinsic to the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-20 Guillem Via

Inferring synaptic connectivity from neural population activity is a fundamental challenge in computational neuroscience, complicated by partial observability and mismatches between inference models and true circuit dynamics. In this study,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-28 Kijung Yoon

There is growing interest in understanding how the structural interconnections among brain regions change with the occurrence of neurological diseases. Diffusion weighted MRI imaging has allowed researchers to non-invasively estimate a…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-20 Daniele Durante , Madelaine Daianu , Neda Jahanshad , Paul M. Thompson , David B. Dunson