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Uncertainty quantification (UQ) includes the characterization, integration, and propagation of uncertainties that result from stochastic variations and a lack of knowledge or data in the natural world. Monte Carlo (MC) method is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Jiaxin Zhang

Among the algorithms that are likely to play a major role in future exascale computing, the fast multipole method (FMM) appears as a rising star. Our previous recent work showed scaling of an FMM on GPU clusters, with problem sizes in the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2012-10-30 Rio Yokota , Lorena Barba

This study introduces a computationally efficient algorithm, delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo (DA-MCMC), designed to improve posterior simulation in quasi-Bayesian inference. Quasi-Bayesian methods, which do not require fully…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-16 Masahiro Tanaka

We study the performance of an automated hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) approach for conditional simulation of a recently proposed, single-parameter Gibbs Markov random field (Gibbs MRF). The MRF is based on a modified version of the planar…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-08 Milan Žukovič , Dionissios T. Hristopulos

Deep architecture such as hierarchical semi-Markov models is an important class of models for nested sequential data. Current exact inference schemes either cost cubic time in sequence length, or exponential time in model depth. These costs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-07 Truyen Tran , Dinh Phung , Svetha Venkatesh , Hung H. Bui

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful tool for sampling from complex probability distributions. Despite its versatility, MCMC often suffers from strong autocorrelation and the negative sign problem, leading to slowing down the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-05 Synge Todo

Posterior inference with an intractable likelihood is becoming an increasingly common task in scientific domains which rely on sophisticated computer simulations. Typically, these forward models do not admit tractable densities forcing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Joeri Hermans , Volodimir Begy , Gilles Louppe

Quantum algorithms present a quadratically improved complexity over classical ones for certain sampling tasks. For instance, the Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) algorithm promises to speedup the estimation of the mean of certain…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-13 Baptiste Claudon , Sergi Ramos-Calderer , Jean-Philip Piquemal

In this work, we propose a new flow-matching Markov chain Monte Carlo (FM-MCMC) algorithm for estimating the orbital parameters of exoplanetary systems, especially for those only one exoplanet is involved. Compared to traditional methods…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-10 Bo Liang , Hanlin Song , Chang Liu , Tianyu Zhao , Yuxiang Xu , Zihao Xiao , Manjia Liang , Minghui Du , Wei-Liang Qian , Li-e Qiang , Peng Xu , Ziren Luo

Neural networks are a commonly used approach to replace physical models with computationally cheap surrogates. Parametric uncertainty quantification can be included in training, assuming that an accurate prior distribution of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Heikki Haario , Zhi-Song Liu , Martin Simon , Hendrik Weichel

We present an efficient algorithm for the inference of stochastic block models in large networks. The algorithm can be used as an optimized Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, with a fast mixing time and a much reduced susceptibility to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-01-14 Tiago P. Peixoto

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

Sampling from Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRFs), that is multivariate Gaussian ran- dom vectors that are parameterised by the inverse of their covariance matrix, is a fundamental problem in computational statistics. In this paper, we…

In this contribution, we propose a new computationally efficient method to combine Variational Inference (VI) with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). This approach can be used with generic MCMC kernels, but is especially well suited to…

Quantum computation is expected to accelerate certain computational task over classical counterpart. Its most primitive advantage is its ability to sample from classically intractable probability distributions. A promising approach to make…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-07-26 Yuichiro Nakano , Hideaki Hakoshima , Kosuke Mitarai , Keisuke Fujii

Continuous normalizing flows (CNFs) learn the probability path between a reference distribution and a target distribution by modeling the vector field generating said path using neural networks. Recently, Lipman et al. (2022) introduced a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Alberto Cabezas , Louis Sharrock , Christopher Nemeth

Markov Random Fields (MRFs) are a popular model for several pattern recognition and reconstruction problems in robotics and computer vision. Inference in MRFs is intractable in general and related work resorts to approximation algorithms.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Siyi Hu , Luca Carlone

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms have important applications in counting problems and in machine learning problems, settings that involve estimating quantities that are difficult to compute exactly. How much can quantum computers speed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-02-10 Aram W. Harrow , Annie Y. Wei

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a computational approach to fundamental problems such as inference, integration, optimization, and simulation. The field has developed a broad spectrum of algorithms, varying in the way they are motivated,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Kirill Neklyudov , Max Welling , Evgenii Egorov , Dmitry Vetrov

While Markov Random Fields (MRFs) are widely used in computer vision, they present a quite challenging inference problem. MRF inference can be accelerated by pre-processing techniques like Dead End Elimination (DEE) or QPBO-based approaches…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-08-10 Chen Wang , Charles Herrmann , Ramin Zabih