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This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell

This study investigates how variations in freestream turbulence (FST) and the thrust coefficient ($C_T$) influence wind turbine wakes. Wakes generated at $C_T \in \{0.5, 0.7,0.9\}$ are exposed to turbulent inflows with varying FST intensity…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-31 Martin Bourhis , Thomas Messmer , Michael Hölling , Oliver R. H. Buxton

This study assesses global offshore wind energy resources, wake-induced losses, array layout optimisation potential and climate change impacts. Global offshore ambient potential is first mapped based on reanalysis data. Wake-induced losses…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Simon C Warder , Matthew D Piggott

The increasing integration of renewable energy resources in evolving bulk power system (BPS) is impacting the system inertia. Type-5 wind turbine generation has the potential to behave like a traditional synchronous generator and can help…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-25 Tanveer Hussain , Juan Gallego-Calderon , S M Shafiul Alam

A systematic and full description of the theory for a dissipation mechanism of wind wave energy in a spectral representation is given. As a basis of the theory, the fundamental is stated that the most general dissipation mechanism for wind…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-06-21 Vladislav G. Polnikov

As the availability of weather-dependent, zero marginal cost resources such as wind and solar power increases, a variety of flexible electricity loads, or `demand sinks', could be deployed to use intermittently available low-cost…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-09 Sam van der Jagt , Neha Patankar , Jesse Jenkins

The power generation with non-renewable energy sources has very harmful effects on the environment as well as these sources are depleting. On the other side the renewable energy sources are quite unpredictable source of power. The best…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-30 Naresh Kumari , A. N. Jha , Nitin Malik

We present a new stochastic approach to describe and remodel the conversion process of a wind farm at a sampling frequency of 1Hz. When conditioning on various wind direction sectors, the dynamics of the conversion process appear as a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-11 Patrick Milan , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke

Wind turbine wakes play a central role in determining wind farm performance, yet their spatial organization remains only partially understood. Here, we apply a spatially localized multifractal analysis to quantify the strength of…

This work focuses on the validation of the dynamic wake meandering (DWM) model against large eddy simulation (LES). The wake deficit, mean deflection, and meandering under different wind turbine misalignment angles in yaw and tilt, for the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-03 Irene Rivera-Arreba , Zhaobin Li , Xiaolei Yang , Erin E. Bachynski-Polić

Due to the fluctuating nature of the wind and the increasing use of wind energy as a power source, wind power will have an increasing negative influence on the stability of the power grid. In this paper, a model predictive control strategy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-14 Valentijn van de Scheur , Sjoerd Boersma

Contemporary theories and models for electric power system stability are predicated on a widely held assumption that the mechanical inertia of the rotating mass of synchronous generators provides the sole contribution to stable and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-31 Amirhossein Sajadi , Bri-Mathias Hodge

As wind energy expands worldwide, the demand of reliable, fast, cost-efficient wind turbine wake models is growing. This is a significant challenge as wind turbines face various inflow conditions, that include turbulence,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-09-13 I. Neunaber , M. Hölling , M . Obligado

This study demonstrates how wind farm flow physics influence noise generation and downstream propagation through numerical simulations. The flow field is modeled using large-eddy simulations (LES), and the time-averaged output serves as…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-20 J. Colas , A. Emmanuelli , D. Dragna , R. J. A. M. Stevens

Previous work has resulted in the development of an energy model able to calculate wind and solar fleet efficiencies. However, for investment planning purposes, it is necessary to calculate from the lowest economically acceptable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-15 Anthony D Stephens , David R Walwyn

We study effects of winds on the time evolution of isothermal, self-gravitating accretion discs by adopting a radius dependent mass loss rate because of the existence of the wind. Our similarity and semi-analytical solution describes time…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Mohsen Shadmehri

As the United Kingdom wind fleet increases in size, wind lulls and slews will increasingly challenge the stability of its electricity system. The paper describes the use of models based on real time records and including solar slews, to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-25 Anthony D Stephens , David R Walwyn

This paper presents a reliability life analysis and preventive maintenance schedule for ducted wind turbines. Ducted wind turbines (DWT) are an emerging segment of the renewable energy industry with innovations that promise reliable,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-18 Shafat Sharar , Carl D. Hoover

Turbulence is a chaotic flow regime filled by irregular flows. The dissipation of turbulence is a fundamental problem in the realm of physics. Theoretically, dissipation cannot be ultimately achieved without collisions, and so how turbulent…

Space Physics · Physics 2016-01-01 Y. Wang , F. S. Wei , X. S. Feng , X. J. Xu , J. Zhang , T. R. Sun , P. B. Zuo

Turbine wake and local blockage effects are known to alter wind farm power production in two different ways: (1) by changing the wind speed locally in front of each turbine; and (2) by changing the overall flow resistance in the farm and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-05 Andrew Kirby , François-Xavier Briol , Thomas D. Dunstan , Takafumi Nishino
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