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In this paper we introduce a multi-agent deep-learning method which trades in the Futures markets based on the US S&P 500 index. The method (referred to as Model A) is an innovation founded on existing well-established machine-learning…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-22 CJ Finnegan , James F. McCann , Salissou Moutari

Stock trend analysis has been an influential time-series prediction topic due to its lucrative and inherently chaotic nature. Many models looking to accurately predict the trend of stocks have been based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs).…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-25 Harsimrat Kaeley , Ye Qiao , Nader Bagherzadeh

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar

This paper presents a cross-domain trend analysis that aims to identify and analyze the relationships between stock prices, stock news on Twitter, and users' behaviors on e-commerce websites. The analysis is based on three datasets: a US…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-02 Aditya Pandey , Haseeba Fathiya , Nivedita Patel

This paper investigates whether short-term market overreactions can be systematically predicted and monetized as momentum signals using high-frequency emotional information and modern machine learning methods. Focusing on Apple Inc. (AAPL),…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Szymon Lis , Robert Ślepaczuk , Paweł Sakowski

Rather than directly predicting future prices or returns, we follow a more recent trend in asset management and classify the state of a market based on labels. We use numerous standard labels and even construct our own ones. The labels rely…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Michal Balcerak , Thomas Schmelzer

Stock price prediction is influenced by a variety of factors, including technical indicators, which makes Feature selection crucial for identifying the most relevant predictors. This study examines the impact of feature selection on stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-17 Fatemeh Moodi , Amir Jahangard-Rafsanjani

Forecasting stock prices can be interpreted as a time series prediction problem, for which Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks are often used due to their architecture specifically built to solve such problems. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Akash Doshi , Alexander Issa , Puneet Sachdeva , Sina Rafati , Somnath Rakshit

The stock market has been a popular topic of interest in the recent past. The growth in the inflation rate has compelled people to invest in the stock and commodity markets and other areas rather than saving. Further, the ability of Deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Priyank Sonkiya , Vikas Bajpai , Anukriti Bansal

Financial market analysis has focused primarily on extracting signals from accounting, stock price, and other numerical hard data reported in P&L statements or earnings per share reports. Yet, it is well-known that the decision-makers…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-24 Sourav Medya , Mohammad Rasoolinejad , Yang Yang , Brian Uzzi

The prediction of a stock price has always been a challenging issue, as its volatility can be affected by many factors such as national policies, company financial reports, industry performance, and investor sentiment etc.. In this paper,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Qiao Zhou , Ningning Liu

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

As the number of publicly traded companies as well as the amount of their financial data grows rapidly, it is highly desired to have tracking, analysis, and eventually stock selections automated. There have been few works focusing on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-04 Sercan Arik , Sukru Burc Eryilmaz , Adam Goldberg

Predicting the future price trends of stocks is a challenging yet intriguing problem given its critical role to help investors make profitable decisions. In this paper, we present a collaborative temporal-relational modeling framework for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Chaoran Cui , Xiaojie Li , Juan Du , Chunyun Zhang , Xiushan Nie , Meng Wang , Yilong Yin

This project aims to predict short-term and long-term upward trends in the S&P 500 index using machine learning models and feature engineering based on the "101 Formulaic Alphas" methodology. The study employed multiple models, including…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-17 Shasha Yu , Qinchen Zhang , Yuwei Zhao

This article presents a comprehensive methodology for processing financial datasets of Apple Inc., encompassing quarterly income and daily stock prices, spanning from March 31, 2009, to December 31, 2023. Leveraging 60 observations for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-14 Kevin Ungar , Camelia Oprean-Stan

Data augmentation methods in combination with deep neural networks have been used extensively in computer vision on classification tasks, achieving great success; however, their use in time series classification is still at an early stage.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-29 Elizabeth Fons , Paula Dawson , Xiao-jun Zeng , John Keane , Alexandros Iosifidis

The aim of this paper is the analysis and selection of stock trading systems that combine different models with data of different nature, such as financial and microeconomic information. Specifically, based on previous work by the authors…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Juan C. King , Jose M. Amigo

The paper focuses on predicting the Nifty 50 Index by using 8 Supervised Machine Learning Models. The techniques used for empirical study are Adaptive Boost (AdaBoost), k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN), Linear Regression (LR), Artificial Neural…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-21 Gurjeet Singh

Understanding temporal patterns in online search behavior is crucial for real-time marketing and trend forecasting. Google Trends offers a rich proxy for public interest, yet the high dimensionality and noise of its time-series data present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Pola Bereta , Ioannis Diamantis