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The Bayesian analysis of infectious disease surveillance data from multiple locations typically involves building and fitting a spatio-temporal model of how the disease spreads in the structured population. Here we present new generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Matthew Adeoye , Xavier Didelot , Simon EF Spencer

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

We introduce a comprehensive Bayesian multivariate predictive inference framework. The basis for our framework is a hierarchical Bayesian model, that is a mixture of finite Polya trees corresponding to multiple dyadic partitions of the unit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Daniel Yekutieli

This paper develops a Bayesian continuous 3D semantic occupancy map from noisy point clouds by generalizing the Bayesian kernel inference model for building occupancy maps, a binary problem, to semantic maps, a multi-class problem. The…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Lu Gan , Ray Zhang , Jessy W. Grizzle , Ryan M. Eustice , Maani Ghaffari

Count data with complex features arise in many disciplines, including ecology, agriculture, criminology, medicine, and public health. Zero inflation, spatial dependence, and non-equidispersion are common features in count data. There are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Bokgyeong Kang , John Hughes , Murali Haran

Diffusion models have recently driven significant breakthroughs in generative modeling. While state-of-the-art models produce high-quality samples on average, individual samples can still be low quality. Detecting such samples without human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Metod Jazbec , Eliot Wong-Toi , Guoxuan Xia , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick , Stephan Mandt

Understanding how stochastic gene expression is regulated in biological systems using snapshots of single-cell transcripts requires state-of-the-art methods of computational analysis and statistical inference. A Bayesian approach to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-10 Yen Ting Lin , Nicolas E. Buchler

Data collected from arrays of sensors are essential for informed decision-making in various systems. However, the presence of anomalies can compromise the accuracy and reliability of insights drawn from the collected data or information…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-19 Katie Buchhorn , Kerrie Mengersen , Edgar Santos-Fernandez , James McGree

This paper presents the development of a spatial block-Nearest Neighbor Gaussian process (block-NNGP) for location-referenced large spatial data. The key idea behind this approach is to divide the spatial domain into several blocks which…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-08 Zaida C. Quiroz , Marcos O. Prates , Dipak K. Dey , Håvard Rue

In large venues like shopping malls and airports, knowledge on the indoor populations fuels applications such as business analytics, venue management, and safety control. In this work, we provide means of modeling populations in partitions…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Xiao Li , Huan Li , Hua Lu , Christian S. Jensen

Spatiotemporal processes have the potential to be one of the most influential factors governing how fisheries targeting sedentary species respond to harvesting. Despite this, management strategy evaluation often fails to account for space…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-07 Christopher D. Nottingham , Russell B. Millar

Spatiotemporal data consisting of timestamps, GPS coordinates, and IDs occurs in many settings. Modeling approaches for this type of data must address challenges in terms of sensor noise, uneven sampling rates, and non-persistent IDs. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Pranay Pherwani , Nicholas Hass , Anna K. Yanchenko

It is well known that the integration among different data-sources is reliable because of its potential of unveiling new functionalities of the genomic expressions which might be dormant in a single source analysis. Moreover, different…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Arnab Kumar Maity , Sang Chan Lee , Bani K. Mallick , Tapasree Roy Sarkar

Energy conservation in buildings is a paramount concern to combat greenhouse gas emissions and combat climate change. The efficient management of room occupancy, involving actions like lighting control and climate adjustment, is a pivotal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Siqi Mao , Yaping Yuan , Yinpu Li , Ziren Wang , Yuanxin Yao , Yixin Kang

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful approach to sample-efficient optimization of black-box functions. However, in settings with very few function evaluations, a successful application of BO may require transferring information from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Aryan Deshwal , Sait Cakmak , Yuhou Xia , David Eriksson

While Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for reasoning under uncertainty, its widespread adoption is limited by the intractability of exact posterior computation, necessitating the use of approximate inference. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 George Whittle , Juliusz Ziomek , Jacob Rawling , Maike A. Osborne

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

To understand biological diversification, it is important to account for large-scale processes that affect the evolutionary history of groups of co-distributed populations of organisms. Such events predict temporally clustered divergences…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-11 Jamie R. Oaks

Accurate information on patterns of introduction and spread of non-native species is essential for making predictions and management decisions. In many cases, estimating unknown rates of introduction and spread from observed data requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-05 Oksana A. Chkrebtii , Erin K. Cameron , David A. Campbell , Erin M. Bayne

Advances in cellular imaging technologies, especially those based on fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) now allow detailed visualization of the spatial organization of human or bacterial cells. Quantifying this spatial organization…