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Spatiotemporal data analysis with massive zeros is widely used in many areas such as epidemiology and public health. We use a Bayesian framework to fit zero-inflated negative binomial models and employ a set of latent variables from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Qing He , Hsin-Hsiung Huang

Occupancy models are used in statistical ecology to estimate species dispersion. The two components of an occupancy model are the detection and occupancy probabilities, with the main interest being in the occupancy probabilities. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-25 Natalie Karavarsamis , Richard M. huggins

Modeling binary and categorical data is one of the most commonly encountered tasks of applied statisticians and econometricians. While Bayesian methods in this context have been available for decades now, they often require a high level of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-03 Gregor Zens , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Helga Wagner

The rapid growth of earth observation systems calls for a scalable approach to interpolate remote-sensing observations. These methods in principle, should acquire more information about the observed field as data grows. Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Weibin Chen , Azhir Mahmood , Michel Tsamados , So Takao

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

Determining spatial distributions of species and communities are key objectives of ecology and conservation. Joint species distribution models use multi-species detection-nondetection data to estimate species and community distributions.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-15 Jeffrey W. Doser , Andrew O. Finley , Sudipto Banerjee

Background: Continuous traits evolution of a group of taxa that are correlated through a phylogenetic tree is commonly modelled using parametric stochastic differential equations to represent deterministic change of trait through time,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-03 Bayu Brahmantio , Krzysztof Bartoszek , Etka Yapar

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Maximilian Soelch , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

Rapid developments in streaming data technologies have enabled real-time monitoring of human activity that can deliver high-resolution data on health variables over trajectories or paths carved out by subjects as they conduct their daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-11 Tomoya Wakayama , Sudipto Banerjee

Multivariate Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a powerful probabilistic framework to represent complex interdependent phenomena. They pose, however, significant computational challenges in high-dimensional settings, which frequently arise in…

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Predicting epidemic dynamics is of great value in understanding and controlling diffusion processes, such as infectious disease spread and information propagation. This task is intractable, especially when surveillance resources are very…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-04 Hongbin Pei , Bo Yang , Jiming Liu , Lei Dong

Phylodynamics focuses on the problem of reconstructing past population size dynamics from current genetic samples taken from the population of interest. This technique has been extensively used in many areas of biology, but is particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-23 Shiwei Lan , Julia A. Palacios , Michael Karcher , Vladimir N. Minin , Babak Shahbaba

Constructing an occupancy representation of the environment is a fundamental problem for robot autonomy. Many accurate and efficient methods exist that address this problem but most assume that the occupancy states of different elements in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-01-24 Ke Sun , Kelsey Saulnier , Nikolay Atanasov , George J. Pappas , Vijay Kumar

To study population dynamics, ecologists and wildlife biologists use relative abundance data, which are often subject to temporal preferential sampling. Temporal preferential sampling occurs when sampling effort varies across time. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Travis McDevitt-Galles

We develop new models and algorithms for learning the temporal dynamics of the topic polytopes and related geometric objects that arise in topic model based inference. Our model is nonparametric Bayesian and the corresponding inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Mikhail Yurochkin , Zhiwei Fan , Aritra Guha , Paraschos Koutris , XuanLong Nguyen

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

Bayesian hierarchical models with latent Gaussian layers have proven very flexible in capturing complex stochastic behavior and hierarchical structures in high-dimensional spatial and spatio-temporal data. Whereas simulation-based Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-10 Thomas Opitz

In this article, we develop fully Bayesian, copula-based, spatial-statistical models for large, noisy, incomplete, and non-Gaussian spatial data. Our approach includes novel constructions of copulas that accommodate a spatial-random-effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Alan Pearse , David Gunawan , Noel Cressie

In dynamic topic modeling, the proportional contribution of a topic to a document depends on the temporal dynamics of that topic's overall prevalence in the corpus. We extend the Dynamic Topic Model of Blei and Lafferty (2006) by explicitly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-13 Chris Glynn , Surya T. Tokdar , David L. Banks , Brian Howard