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\textbf{Background} Measles has resurged globally in the post-pandemic period as routine immunisation recovery remains below the two-dose threshold required to interrupt transmission. Bangladesh, previously nearing measles--rubella…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Md. Kamrujjaman , Faizunnesa Khondaker , Alvi Ahmed Sarker , Nuzhat Nuari Khan Rivu

Phenomenological and deterministic models are often used for the estimation of transmission parameters in an epidemic and for the prediction of its growth trajectory. Such analyses are usually based on single peak outbreak dynamics. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-20 D. P. Mahapatra , S. Triambak

In this article, we model and study the spread of COVID-19 in Germany, Japan, India and highly impacted states in India, i.e., in Delhi, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Kerala and Karnataka. We consider recorded data published in Worldometers and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-15 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos , Arindam Mishra

This paper presents a model for COVID19 in Mexico City. The data analyzed were considered from the appearance of the first case in Mexico until July 2021. In this first approximation the states considered were Susceptible, Infected,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-19 Carlos Martinez-Rodriguez

Since December 2020, variants of COVID-19 (especially Delta and Omicron) appeared with different characteristics that influenced death and transmissibility emerged around the world. To address the novel dynamics of the disease, we propose a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 Sarita Bugalia , Jai Prakash Tripathi , Hao Wang

COVID-19--a viral infectious disease--has quickly emerged as a global pandemic infecting millions of people with a significant number of deaths across the globe. The symptoms of this disease vary widely. Depending on the symptoms an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-23 Madhab Barman , Snigdhashree Nayak , Manoj K. Yadav , Soumyendu Raha , Nachiketa Mishra

According to the current perception, symptomatic, presymptomatic, and asymptomatic infectious persons can infect the healthy population susceptible to the SARS-Cov-2. More importantly, various reports indicate that the number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-24 Saptarshi Chatterjee , Apurba Sarkar , Mintu Karmakar , Swarnajit Chatterjee , Raja Paul

In the absence of neither an effective treatment or vaccine and with an incomplete understanding of the epidemiological cycle, Govt. has implemented a nationwide lockdown to reduce COVID-19 transmission in India. To study the effect of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Tridip Sardar , Sk Shahid Nadim , Sourav Rana , Joydev Chattopadhyay

The estimate of the cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 of 76% in Manaus by October 2020 by Buss et al. relies on the assumption of an exponentially-declining probability of sero-reversion over time. We present an alternative,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-26 Sarah Kadelka , Judith A Bouman , Peter Ashcroft , Roland R Regoes

In this paper, we investigate the ongoing dynamics of COVID-19 in India after its emergence in Wuhan, China in December 2019. We discuss the effect of nationwide lockdown implemented in India on March 25, 2020 to prevent the spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-15 Chintamani Pai , Ankush Bhaskar , Vaibhav Rawoot

Large scale virological testing of SARS-Cov2 is implemented since May 2020 in France. We assume that the positivity of asymptomatic people not being contact cases (ANBC) is representative of the positivity of the whole French population,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-03 Guillaume Malpuech , Anne Tournadre , Francois Berry , Laurent Gerbaud

A mathematical model of COVID-19 with minimal compartments is developed. The model is simple enough to fit data on confirmed cases, estimate the hidden infection figure and incorporate the effect of vaccination. With the effect of the new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-05 Randy L. Caga-anan , Michelle N. Raza , Grace Shelda G. Labrador , Ephrime B. Metillo

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) had caused more that 8 million infections as of middle June 2020. Recently, Brazil has become a new epicentre of COVID-19, while India and African region are potential epicentres. This study aims to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-16 Qibin Duan , Jinran Wu , Gaojun Wu , You-Gan Wang

The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has instigated unprecedented changes in many countries around the globe, putting a significant burden on the health sectors, affecting the macro economic conditions, and altering social interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-23 Dmitry Gordeev , Philipp Singer , Marios Michailidis , Mathias Müller , SriSatish Ambati

Recent re-opening policies in the US, following a period of social distancing measures, introduced a significant increase in daily COVID-19 infections, calling for a roll-back or substantial revisiting of these policies in many states. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-30 Chaoqi Yang , Ruijie Wang , Fangwei Gao , Dachun Sun , Jiawei Tang , Tarek Abdelzaher

A total of 605 eligible respondents took part in this survey (population size 1630046161 and required sample size 591) with an age range of 18 to 100. A large proportion of the respondents are aged less than 50 (82%) and male (62.15%). The…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-11-11 Sultan Mahmud , Md. Mohsin , Ijaz Ahmed Khan , Ashraf Uddin Mian , Miah Akib Zaman

A second wave of SARS-CoV-2 is unfolding in dozens of countries. However, this second wave manifests itself strongly in new reported cases, but less in death counts compared to the first wave. Over the past three months in Germany, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-28 Matthias Linden , Jonas Dehning , Sebastian B. Mohr , Jan Mohring , Michael Meyer-Hermann , Iris Pigeot , Anita Schöbel , Viola Priesemann

The severe acute respiratory syndrome of coronavirus 2 spread globally very quickly, causing great concern at the international level due to the severity of the associated respiratory disease, the so-called COVID-19. Considering Rio de…

Visualizing data plays a pivotal role in portraying important scientific information. Hence, visualization techniques aid in displaying relevant graphical interpretations from the varied structures of data, which is found otherwise. In this…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Swayamjit Saha , Kuntal Ghosh , Garga Chatterjee , J. Edward Swan

As 2021 dawns, the COVID-19 pandemic is still raging strongly as vaccines finally appear and hopes for a return to normalcy start to materialize. There is much to be learned from the pandemic's first year data that will likely remain…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Monique Chyba , Alice Koniges , Prateek Kunwar , Winnie Lau , Yuriy Mileyko , Alan Tong