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Simulation-based inference techniques are indispensable for parameter estimation of mechanistic and simulable models with intractable likelihoods. While traditional statistical approaches like approximate Bayesian computation and Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-08 Ryan P. Kelly , David J. Nott , David T. Frazier , David J. Warne , Chris Drovandi

This study examines the use of a recurrent neural network for estimating the parameters of a Hawkes model based on high-frequency financial data, and subsequently, for computing volatility. Neural networks have shown promising results in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-25 Kyungsub Lee

There has been an ever-increasing interest in multidisciplinary research on representing and reasoning with imperfect data. Possibilistic networks present one of the powerful frameworks of interest for representing uncertain and imprecise…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-14 Maroua Haddad , Philippe Leray , Nahla Ben Amor

Increasingly sophisticated mathematical modelling processes from Machine Learning are being used to analyse complex data. However, the performance and explainability of these models within practical critical systems requires a rigorous and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Xingyu Zhao , Alec Banks , James Sharp , Valentin Robu , David Flynn , Michael Fisher , Xiaowei Huang

The general approach taken when training deep learning classifiers is to save the parameters after every few iterations, train until either a human observer or a simple metric-based heuristic decides the network isn't learning anymore, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 J. K. Terry , Mario Jayakumar , Kusal De Alwis

We argue that the vulnerability of model parameters is of crucial value to the study of model robustness and generalization but little research has been devoted to understanding this matter. In this work, we propose an indicator to measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Xu Sun , Zhiyuan Zhang , Xuancheng Ren , Ruixuan Luo , Liangyou Li

We present a novel optimization strategy for training neural networks which we call "BitNet". The parameters of neural networks are usually unconstrained and have a dynamic range dispersed over all real values. Our key idea is to limit the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Aswin Raghavan , Mohamed Amer , Sek Chai , Graham Taylor

Model-based methods and deep neural networks have both been tremendously successful paradigms in machine learning. In model-based methods, problem domain knowledge can be built into the constraints of the model, typically at the expense of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-21 John R. Hershey , Jonathan Le Roux , Felix Weninger

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

We consider numerical approaches for deterministic, finite-dimensional optimal control problems whose dynamics depend on unknown or uncertain parameters. We seek to amortize the solution over a set of relevant parameters in an offline stage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Deepanshu Verma , Nick Winovich , Lars Ruthotto , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

Deep learning has demonstrated the power of detailed modeling of complex high-order (multivariate) interactions in data. For some learning tasks there is power in learning models that are not only Deep but also Broad. By Broad, we mean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-07 Nayyar A. Zaidi , Geoffrey I. Webb , Mark J. Carman , Francois Petitjean

To predict rare extreme events using deep neural networks, one encounters the so-called small data problem because even long-term observations often contain few extreme events. Here, we investigate a model-assisted framework where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Anna Asch , Ethan Brady , Hugo Gallardo , John Hood , Bryan Chu , Mohammad Farazmand

Modern machine learning algorithms, especially deep learning based techniques, typically involve careful hyperparameter tuning to achieve the best performance. Despite the surge of intense interest in practical techniques like Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Maria-Florina Balcan , Anh Tuan Nguyen , Dravyansh Sharma

Progressive Neural Network Learning is a class of algorithms that incrementally construct the network's topology and optimize its parameters based on the training data. While this approach exempts the users from the manual task of designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Dat Thanh Tran , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Many types of physics-informed neural network models have been proposed in recent years as approaches for learning solutions to differential equations. When a particular task requires solving a differential equation at multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Filipe de Avila Belbute-Peres , Yi-fan Chen , Fei Sha

Model-based algorithms are deeply rooted in modern control and systems theory. However, they usually come with a critical assumption - access to an accurate model of the system. In practice, models are far from perfect. Even precisely tuned…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-06 Sebastian Schlor , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

Active learning methods for neural networks are usually based on greedy criteria which ultimately give a single new design point for the evaluation. Such an approach requires either some heuristics to sample a batch of design points at one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Evgenii Tsymbalov , Sergei Makarychev , Alexander Shapeev , Maxim Panov

We consider the problem of estimating the expected value of information (the knowledge gradient) for Bayesian learning problems where the belief model is nonlinear in the parameters. Our goal is to maximize some metric, while simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-23 Xinyu He , Warren B. Powell

Most uses of machine learning today involve training a model from scratch for a particular task, or sometimes starting with a model pretrained on a related task and then fine-tuning on a downstream task. Both approaches offer limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Andrea Gesmundo , Jeff Dean

Capturing aleatoric uncertainty is a critical part of many machine learning systems. In deep learning, a common approach to this end is to train a neural network to estimate the parameters of a heteroscedastic Gaussian distribution by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Maximilian Seitzer , Arash Tavakoli , Dimitrije Antic , Georg Martius