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Related papers: Human Trajectory Prediction via Counterfactual Ana…

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In this paper, we present Goal-GAN, an interpretable and end-to-end trainable model for human trajectory prediction. Inspired by human navigation, we model the task of trajectory prediction as an intuitive two-stage process: (i) goal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Patrick Dendorfer , Aljoša Ošep , Laura Leal-Taixé

Methods to find counterfactual explanations have predominantly focused on one step decision making processes. In this work, we initiate the development of methods to find counterfactual explanations for decision making processes in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Stratis Tsirtsis , Abir De , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Counterfactual inference is a powerful tool, capable of solving challenging problems in high-profile sectors. To perform counterfactual inference, one requires knowledge of the underlying causal mechanisms. However, causal mechanisms cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Athanasios Vlontzos , Bernhard Kainz , Ciaran M. Gilligan-Lee

Human trajectory anomaly detection has become increasingly important across a wide range of applications, including security surveillance and public health. However, existing trajectory anomaly detection methods are primarily focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Yueyang Liu , Lance Kennedy , Hossein Amiri , Andreas Züfle

Human movement is goal-directed and influenced by the spatial layout of the objects in the scene. To plan future human motion, it is crucial to perceive the environment -- imagine how hard it is to navigate a new room with lights off.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-03 Zhe Cao , Hang Gao , Karttikeya Mangalam , Qi-Zhi Cai , Minh Vo , Jitendra Malik

Predictive models are being increasingly used to support consequential decision making at the individual level in contexts such as pretrial bail and loan approval. As a result, there is increasing social and legal pressure to provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-02 Amir-Hossein Karimi , Gilles Barthe , Borja Balle , Isabel Valera

Work in Counterfactual Explanations tends to focus on the principle of "the closest possible world" that identifies small changes leading to the desired outcome. In this paper we argue that while this approach might initially seem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Rafael Poyiadzi , Kacper Sokol , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Tijl De Bie , Peter Flach

The paper proposes summarized attribution-based post-hoc explanations for the detection and identification of bias in data. A global explanation is proposed, and a step-by-step framework on how to detect and test bias is introduced. Since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Agnieszka Mikołajczyk , Michał Grochowski , Arkadiusz Kwasigroch

Transport policy assessment often involves causal questions, yet the causal inference capabilities of traditional travel behavioural models are at best limited. We present the deep CAusal infeRence mOdel for traveL behavIour aNAlysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Kimia Kamal , Bilal Farooq

This research introduces two efficient methods to estimate the collision risk of planned trajectories in autonomous driving under uncertain driving conditions. Deterministic collision checks of planned trajectories are often inaccurate or…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Marc Kaufeld , Johannes Betz

Predictive models can fail to generalize from training to deployment environments because of dataset shift, posing a threat to model reliability and the safety of downstream decisions made in practice. Instead of using samples from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-10 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Suchi Saria

We address counterfactual analysis in empirical models of games with partially identified parameters, and multiple equilibria and/or randomized strategies, by constructing and analyzing the counterfactual predictive distribution set (CPDS).…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-17 Brendan Kline , Elie Tamer

Probabilistic vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for robust safety of autonomous driving. Current methods for long-term trajectory prediction cannot guarantee the physical feasibility of predicted distribution. Moreover, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Chen Tang , Jianyu Chen , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Long-term human trajectory prediction is a challenging yet critical task in robotics and autonomous systems. Prior work that studied how to predict accurate short-term human trajectories with only unimodal features often failed in long-term…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Zhitian Zhang , Anjian Li , Angelica Lim , Mo Chen

Pedestrian trajectory forecasting is a fundamental task in multiple utility areas, such as self-driving, autonomous robots, and surveillance systems. The future trajectory forecasting is multi-modal, influenced by physical interaction with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Jiashi Gao , Xinming Shi , James J. Q. Yu

Recently, the proliferation of omni-channel platforms has attracted interest in customer journeys, particularly regarding their role in developing marketing strategies. However, few efforts have been taken to quantitatively study or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Keita Kinjo

Understanding causes and effects in mechanical systems is an essential component of reasoning in the physical world. This work poses a new problem of counterfactual learning of object mechanics from visual input. We develop the CoPhy…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fabien Baradel , Natalia Neverova , Julien Mille , Greg Mori , Christian Wolf

Automated planning traditionally assumes that all aspects of a planning task (initial state, goals, and available actions) are fully specified in advance, an approach well-suited to domains with fixed rules and deterministic execution.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Alberto Pozanco , Daniel Borrajo , Manuela Veloso

Trajectory prediction is essential for autonomous vehicles (AVs) to plan correct and safe driving behaviors. While many prior works aim to achieve higher prediction accuracy, few study the adversarial robustness of their methods. To bridge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Yulong Cao , Chaowei Xiao , Anima Anandkumar , Danfei Xu , Marco Pavone

Counterfactual reasoning is pivotal in human cognition and especially important for providing explanations and making decisions. While Judea Pearl's influential approach is theoretically elegant, its generation of a counterfactual scenario…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Guang-Yuan Hao , Jiji Zhang , Biwei Huang , Hao Wang , Kun Zhang