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Metamodeling of complex numerical systems has recently attracted the interest of the mathematical programming community. Despite the progress in high performance computing, simulations remain costly, as a matter of fact, the assessment of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-11-13 Soumaya Azzi , Yuanyuan Huang , Bruno Sudret , Joe Wiart

State-space models are ubiquitous in the statistical literature since they provide a flexible and interpretable framework for analyzing many time series. In most practical applications, the state-space model is specified through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet

We propose a novel method for fast and scalable evaluation of periodic solutions of systems of ordinary differential equations for a given set of parameter values and initial conditions. The equations governing the system dynamics are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-30 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban , T. A. Tyukina , J. Al Ameri , Yu. A. Korablev

Animal swarms displaying a variety of typical flocking patterns would not exist without underlying safe, optimal and stable dynamics of the individuals. The emergence of these universal patterns can be efficiently reconstructed with…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-17 Csaba Virágh , Gábor Vásárhelyi , Norbert Tarcai , Tamás Szörényi , Gergő Somorjai , Tamás Nepusz , Tamás Vicsek

Agent-based models capture heterogeneity among individuals in a population and are widely used in studies of multi-cellular systems, disease, epidemics and demography to name a few. However, existing frameworks consider discrete time-step…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-03 Paul Piho , Philipp Thomas

When simulating multiscale stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in high-dimensions, separation of timescales, stochastic noise and high-dimensionality can make simulations prohibitively expensive. The computational cost is dictated by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Miles Crosskey , Mauro Maggioni

Agent-based modeling plays an essential role in gaining insights into biology, sociology, economics, and other fields. However, many existing agent-based simulation platforms are not suitable for large-scale studies due to the low…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Lukas Breitwieser , Ahmad Hesam , Fons Rademakers , Juan Gómez Luna , Onur Mutlu

Taking agent-based models (ABM) closer to the data is an open challenge. This paper explicitly tackles parameter space exploration and calibration of ABMs combining supervised machine-learning and intelligent sampling to build a surrogate…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Francesco Lamperti , Andrea Roventini , Amir Sani

Mathematical models are vital interpretive and predictive tools used to assist in the understanding of cell migration. There are typically two approaches to modelling cell migration: either micro-scale, discrete or macro-scale, continuum.…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-16 Enrico Gavagnin , Christian A. Yates

Renewable energy projects, such as large offshore wind farms, are critical to achieving low-emission targets set by governments. Stochastic computer models allow us to explore future scenarios to aid decision making whilst considering the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Jack C. Kennedy , Daniel A. Henderson , Kevin J. Wilson

We analyse the efficiency of several simulation methods which we have recently proposed for calculating rate constants for rare events in stochastic dynamical systems, in or out of equilibrium. We derive analytical expressions for the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Rosalind J. Allen , Daan Frenkel , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

Discrete time, spatially extended models play an important role in ecology, modelling population dynamics of species ranging from micro-organisms to birds. An important question is how 'bottom up', individual-based models can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-20 Linnéa Gyllingberg , David J. T. Sumpter , Åke Brännström

Multi-agent systems are prevalent in a wide range of domains including power systems, vehicular networks, and robotics. Two important problems to solve in these types of systems are how the intentions of non-coordinating agents can be…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Benjamin Alcorn , Eman Hammad

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Complex behaviour in many systems arises from the stochastic interactions of spatially distributed particles or agents. Stochastic reaction-diffusion processes are widely used to model such behaviour in disciplines ranging from biology to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-23 David Schnoerr , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

In this paper we consider the problem of finding the most probable set of events that could have led to a set of partial, noisy observations of some dynamical system. In particular, we consider the case of a dynamical system that is a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-05-06 Daniel Tang

Agent-based modeling is a paradigm of modeling dynamic systems of interacting agents that are individually governed by specified behavioral rules. Training a model of such agents to produce an emergent behavior by specification of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-11 Karan K. Budhraja , Hang Gao , Tim Oates

Multiscale stochastic dynamical systems have been widely adopted to a variety of scientific and engineering problems due to their capability of depicting complex phenomena in many real world applications. This work is devoted to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-02 Lingyu Feng , Ting Gao , Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan

Evolutionary game theory is a successful mathematical framework geared towards understanding the selective pressures that affect the evolution of the strategies of agents engaged in interactions with potential conflicts. While a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-01 Christoph Adami , Jory Schossau , Arend Hintze

We present an algorithm for the stochastic simulation of gene expression and heterogeneous population dynamics. The algorithm combines an exact method to simulate molecular-level fluctuations in single cells and a constant-number Monte…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-08-24 Daniel A. Charlebois , Jukka Intosalmi , Dawn Fraser , Mads Kaern