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We present a conformal inference method for constructing lower prediction bounds for survival times from right-censored data, extending recent approaches designed for more restrictive type-I censoring scenarios. The proposed method imputes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

Medical investigations focusing on patient survival often generate not only a failure time for each patient but also a sequence of measurements on patient health at annual or semi-annual check-ups while the patient remains alive. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-18 Peter McCullagh , Walter Dempsey

Conventional survival analysis methods are typically ineffective to characterize heterogeneity in the population while such information can be used to assist predictive modeling. In this study, we propose a hybrid survival analysis method,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Bojian Hou , Hongming Li , Zhicheng Jiao , Zhen Zhou , Hao Zheng , Yong Fan

Dependent survival data arise in many contexts. One context is clustered survival data, where survival data are collected on clusters such as families or medical centers. Dependent survival data also arise when multiple survival times are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Malka Gorfine , David M. Zucker

Survival analysis is an integral part of the statistical toolbox. However, while most domains of classical statistics have embraced deep learning, survival analysis only recently gained some minor attention from the deep learning community.…

The Cox model, which remains as the first choice in analyzing time-to-event data even for large datasets, relies on the proportional hazards (PH) assumption. When survival data arrive sequentially in chunks, a fast and minimally storage…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Yishu Xue , HaiYing Wang , Jun Yan , Elizabeth D. Schifano

We propose a constrained maximum partial likelihood estimator for dimension reduction in integrative (e.g., pan-cancer) survival analysis with high-dimensional covariates. We assume that for each population in the study, the hazard function…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Aaron J. Molstad , Rohit K. Patra

Stacking is a widely used model averaging technique that asymptotically yields optimal predictions among linear averages. We show that stacking is most effective when model predictive performance is heterogeneous in inputs, and we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-29 Yuling Yao , Gregor Pirš , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

We explore whether survival model performance in underrepresented high- and low-risk subgroups - regions of the prognostic spectrum where clinical decisions are most consequential - can be improved through targeted restructuring of the…

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

Frailty models are often the model of choice for heterogeneous survival data. A frailty model contains both random effects and fixed effects, with the random effects accommodating for the correlation in the data. Different estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Oodally Ajmal , Luc Duchateau , Estelle Kuhn

A new modification of the Neural Additive Model (NAM) called SurvNAM and its modifications are proposed to explain predictions of the black-box machine learning survival model. The method is based on applying the original NAM to solving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Lev V. Utkin , Egor D. Satyukov , Andrei V. Konstantinov

The interpretation of the results of survival analysis often benefits from latent factor representations of baseline covariates. However, existing methods, such as Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF), do not incorporate survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Paul Fogel , Christophe Geissler , George Luta

The Cox regression, a semi-parametric method of survival analysis, is extremely popular in biomedical applications. The proportional hazards assumption is a key requirement in the Cox model. To accommodate non-proportional hazards, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Alexander Begun , Elena Kulinskaya

Due to their flexibility and superior performance, machine learning models frequently complement and outperform traditional statistical survival models. However, their widespread adoption is hindered by a lack of user-friendly tools to…

Longitudinal and high-dimensional measurements have become increasingly common in biomedical research. However, methods to predict survival outcomes using covariates that are both longitudinal and high-dimensional are currently missing. In…

An approach to evolutionary ensemble learning for classification is proposed in which boosting is used to construct a stack of programs. Each application of boosting identifies a single champion and a residual dataset, i.e. the training…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Zhilei Zhou , Ziyu Qiu , Brad Niblett , Andrew Johnston , Jeffrey Schwartzentruber , Nur Zincir-Heywood , Malcolm Heywood

Classification models are a fundamental component of physical-asset management technologies such as structural health monitoring (SHM) systems and digital twins. Previous work introduced risk-based active learning, an online approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Aidan J. Hughes , Lawrence A. Bull , Paul Gardner , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

Survival analysis aims to predict the timing of future events across various fields, from medical outcomes to customer churn. However, the integration of clustering into survival analysis, particularly for precision medicine, remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Gabriel Buginga , Edmundo de Souza e Silva

One of the central goals in precision health is the understanding and interpretation of high-dimensional biological data to identify genes and markers associated with disease initiation, development, and outcomes. Though significant effort…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-18 Zhi Huang , Paul Salama , Wei Shao , Jie Zhang , Kun Huang