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In statistical modeling area, the Akaike information criterion AIC, is a widely known and extensively used tool for model choice. The {\phi}-divergence test statistic is a recently developed tool for statistical model selection. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-10-28 Papa Ngom , Bertrand Ntep

To make progress in understanding the issue of memory loss and history dependence in evolving complex systems, we consider the mixing rate that specifies how fast the future states become independent of the initial condition. We propose a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-19 Miroslav Kramar , Lenka Kovalcinova , Konstantin Mischaikow , Lou Kondic

We propose a measure of divergence of probability distributions for quantifying the dissimilarity of two chaotic attractors. This measure is defined in terms of a generalized entropy. We illustrate our procedure by considering the effect of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Luis Diambra

The purpose of this dissertation is to introduce a version of Stein's method of exchangeable pairs to solve problems in measure concentration. We specifically target systems of dependent random variables, since that is where the power of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Sourav Chatterjee

We study concentrated binary colloidal suspensions, a model system which has a glass transition as the volume fraction $\phi$ of particles is increased. We use confocal microscopy to directly observe particle motion within dense samples…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-05-20 Takayuki Narumi , Scott V. Franklin , Kenneth W. Desmond , Michio Tokuyama , Eric R. Weeks

In this article we survey properties of mixed Poisson distributions and probabilistic aspects of the Stirling transform: given a non-negative random variable $X$ with moment sequence $(\mu_s)_{s\in\mathbb{N}}$ we determine a discrete random…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Markus Kuba , Alois Panholzer

The main purpose of the paper is to investigate the possibility of applying Chen-Stein approach to estimate the $\chi^2$ distance between Poisson distribution and a sum of independent indicators. Earlier results concerning $\chi^2$ distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Vytas Zacharovas

It is well known that open dynamical systems can admit an uncountable number of (absolutely continuous) conditionally invariant measures (ACCIMs) for each prescribed escape rate. We propose and illustrate a convex optimisation based…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-22 Christopher Bose , Rua Murray

Motivated by the recent contribution \cite{BB17} we study the scaling limit behavior of a class of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations which has a unique attracting point subject to a small additional repulsive perturbation.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Martin Kolb , Matthias Liesenfeld

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Determining the total variation mixing time of Kac's random walk on the special orthogonal group $\mathrm{SO}(n)$ has been a long-standing open problem. In this paper, we construct a novel non-Markovian coupling for bounding this mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-27 Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Random walks on expander graphs were thoroughly studied, with the important motivation that, under some natural conditions, these walks mix quickly and provide an efficient method of sampling the vertices of a graph. Alon, Benjamini,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Noga Alon , Eyal Lubetzky

The chaotic diffusion for a family of Hamiltonian mappings whose angles diverge in the limit of vanishingly action is investigated by using the solution of the diffusion equation. The system is described by a two-dimensional mapping for the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-12-06 Edson D. Leonel , Célia M. Kuwana

We show that a compound Poisson distribution holds for scaled exceedances of observables $\phi$ uniquely maximized at a periodic point $\zeta$ in a variety of two-dimensional hyperbolic dynamical systems with singularities $(M,T,\mu)$,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Meagan Carney , Matthew Nicol , Hong-Kun Zhang

We investigate three different methods for systematically approximating the diffusion coefficient of a deterministic random walk on the line which contains dynamical correlations that change irregularly under parameter variation. Capturing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-28 Georgie Knight , Rainer Klages

We analyse collective motion that occurs during rare (large deviation) events in systems of active particles, both numerically and analytically. We discuss the associated dynamical phase transition to collective motion, which occurs when…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-10 Yann-Edwin Keta , Étienne Fodor , Frédéric van Wijland , Michael E. Cates , Robert L. Jack

Variational time discretization schemes are getting of increasing importance for the accurate numerical approximation of transient phenomena. The applicability and value of mixed finite element methods (MFEM) in space for simulating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-06 Markus Bause , Florin A. Radu , Uwe Köcher

Starting from the kinetic approach for a mixture of reacting gases whose particles interact through elastic scattering and a bimolecular reversible chemical reaction, the equations that govern the dynamics of the system are obtained by…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Rossani , A. M. Scarfone

Gaussian mixture filters for nonlinear systems usually rely on severe approximations when calculating mixtures in the prediction and filtering step. Thus, offline approximations of noise densities by Gaussian mixture densities to reduce the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-02 Ondŕej Straka , Uwe D. Hanebeck

We study systems of particles on a line which have a maximum, are locally finite and evolve with independent increments. ``Quasi-stationary states'' are defined as probability measures, on the \sigma-algebra generated by the gap variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anastasia Ruzmaikina , Michael Aizenman