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In the real world, long-tailed data distributions are prevalent, making it challenging for models to effectively learn and classify tail classes. However, we discover that in the field of drug chemistry, certain tail classes exhibit higher…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Yujia Su , Xinjie Li , Lionel Z. Wang

A method to generate new classes of random matrix ensembles is proposed. Random matrices from these ensembles are Lax matrices of classically integrable systems with a certain distribution of momenta and coordinates. The existence of an…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-09-26 E. Bogomolny , O. Giraud , C. Schmit

Heavy-tailed distributions are infamously difficult to estimate because their moments tend to infinity as the shape of the tail decay increases. Nevertheless, this study shows the utilization of a modified group of moments for estimating a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-31 Amenah AL-Najafi , Ugur Tirnakli , Kenric P. Nelson

The extent of parallel evolution at the genotypic level is quantitatively linked to the distribution of beneficial fitness effects (DBFE) of mutations. The standard view, based on light-tailed distributions (i.e. distributions with finite…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Suman G Das , Joachim Krug

Ex ante forecast outcomes should be interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), with errors as the spread between outcomes. Reapplying measurements of uncertainty about the estimation errors of the estimation errors of an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-12 Nassim N. Taleb

In transport processes across materials like glasses, living cells, and porous media, the probability density function of displacements exhibits exponential decay rather than Gaussian behavior. We show that this universal behavior of rare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-31 R. K. Singh , Stanislav Burov

We obtain general, exact formulas for the overlaps between the eigenvectors of large correlated random matrices, with additive or multiplicative noise. These results have potential applications in many different contexts, from quantum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-05 Joël Bun , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

We extend the construction principle of multivariate phase-type distributions to establish an analytically tractable class of heavy-tailed multivariate random variables whose marginal distributions are of Mittag-Leffler type with arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

One of the most profound challenges of modern machine learning is performing well on the long-tail of rare and underrepresented features. Large general-purpose models are trained for many tasks, but work best on high-frequency use cases.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Daniel D'souza , Julia Kreutzer , Adrien Morisot , Ahmet Üstün , Sara Hooker

We show how the superintegrability of certain systems can be deduced from the presence of multiple parameters in the rational Lax matrix representation. This is also related to the fact that such systems admit a separation of variables in…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2009-01-27 J. Harnad , O. Yermolayeva

We extend the construction principle of phase-type (PH) distributions to allow for inhomogeneous transition rates and show that this naturally leads to direct probabilistic descriptions of certain transformations of PH distributions. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-01 Hansjörg Albrecher , Mogens Bladt

State-of-the-art results on image recognition tasks are achieved using over-parameterized learning algorithms that (nearly) perfectly fit the training set and are known to fit well even random labels. This tendency to memorize the labels of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Vitaly Feldman

How many samples are sufficient to guarantee that the eigenvectors and eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix are close to those of the actual covariance matrix? For a wide family of distributions, including distributions with finite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-20 Andreas Loukas

A common task in physics, information theory, and other fields is the analysis of properties of subsystems of a given system. Given the covariance matrix $M$ of a system of $n$ coupled variables, the covariance matrices of the subsystems…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Alice C. Schwarze , Philip S. Chodrow , Mason A. Porter

We consider large random matrices with a general slowly decaying correlation among its entries. We prove universality of the local eigenvalue statistics and optimal local laws for the resolvent away from the spectral edges, generalizing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-01 László Erdős , Torben Krüger , Dominik Schröder

In data science, individual observations are often assumed to come independently from an underlying probability space. Kernel matrices formed from large sets of such observations arise frequently, for example during classification tasks. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-27 Mikhail Lepilov

We suggest a simple Gaussian mixture model for data generation that complies with Feldman's long tail theory (2020). We demonstrate that a linear classifier cannot decrease the generalization error below a certain level in the proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Arman Bolatov , Maxat Tezekbayev , Igor Melnykov , Artur Pak , Vassilina Nikoulina , Zhenisbek Assylbekov

Recent theoretical and empirical successes in deep learning, including the celebrated neural scaling laws, are punctuated by the observation that many objects of interest tend to exhibit some form of heavy-tailed or power law behavior. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Liam Hodgkinson , Zhichao Wang , Michael W. Mahoney

In this paper we discuss the problem of the estimation of extreme event occurrence probability for data drawn from some multifractal process. We also study the heavy (power-law) tail behavior of probability density function associated with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jean-Francois Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry , Alexey Kozhemyak
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