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Large language models (LLMs) exhibit probabilistic output characteristics, yet conventional evaluation frameworks rely on deterministic scalar metrics. This study introduces a Bayesian approach for LLM capability assessment that integrates…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Xiao Xiao , Yu Su , Sijing Zhang , Zhang Chen , Yadong Chen , Tian Liu

In latent variable models the parameter estimation can be implemented by using the joint or the marginal likelihood, based on independence or conditional independence assumptions. The same dilemma occurs within the Bayesian framework with…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-18 Silia Vitoratou , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Irini Moustaki

In this work, we study the use of logistic regression in manufacturing failures detection. As a data set for the analysis, we used the data from Kaggle competition Bosch Production Line Performance. We considered the use of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-31 B. Pavlyshenko

The problem of constructing a dataset for MLIP development which gives the maximum quality in the minimum amount of compute time is complex, and can be approached in a number of ways. We introduce a ``Bayesian selection" approach for…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-06-23 Thomas Rocke , James Kermode

Beta regression models are a suitable choice for continuous response variables on the unity interval. Random effects add further flexibility to the models and accommodate data structures such as hierarchical, repeated measures and…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner H. Bonat , Paulo J. Ribeiro , Walmes Marque Zeviani

In life sciences, the experts generally use empirical knowledge to recode variables, choose interactions and perform selection by classical approach. The aim of this work is to perform automatic learning algorithm for variables selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-05 Bienvenue Kouwayè , Noël Fonton , Fabrice Rossi

We tackle the problem of multiscale regression for predictors that are spatially or temporally indexed, or with a pre-specified multiscale structure, with a Bayesian modular approach. The regression function at the finest scale is expressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

A statistical model is a mathematical representation of an often simplified or idealised data-generating process. In this paper, we focus on a particular type of statistical model, called linear mixed models (LMMs), that is widely used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-23 Emi Tanaka , Francis K. C. Hui

Deciding what to sense is a crucial task, made harder by dependencies and by a nonadditive utility function. We develop approximation algorithms for selecting an optimal set of measurements, under a dependency structure modeled by a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Yan Radovilsky , Solomon Eyal Shimony

Several classification methods assume that the underlying distributions follow tree-structured graphical models. Indeed, trees capture statistical dependencies between pairs of variables, which may be crucial to attain low classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-31 Yaniv Tenzer , Amit Moscovich , Mary Frances Dorn , Boaz Nadler , Clifford Spiegelman

Multiple imputation (MI) has been widely applied to missing value problems in biomedical, social and econometric research, in order to avoid improper inference in the downstream data analysis. In the presence of high-dimensional data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Zhiqi Bu , Zongyu Dai , Yiliang Zhang , Qi Long

We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-18 Alexander Buchholz , Daniel Ahfock , Sylvia Richardson

Many psychological theories can be operationalized as linear inequality constraints on the parameters of multinomial distributions (e.g., discrete choice analysis). These constraints can be described in two equivalent ways: Either as the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Daniel W. Heck , Clintin P. Davis-Stober

Mixtures of linear mixed models (MLMMs) are useful for clustering grouped data and can be estimated by likelihood maximization through the EM algorithm. The conventional approach to determining a suitable number of components is to compare…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-26 Siew Li Tan , David J. Nott

Model selection is a necessary step in unsupervised machine learning. Despite numerous criteria and metrics, model selection remains subjective. A high degree of subjectivity may lead to questions about repeatability and reproducibility of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Wanyi Chen , Mary L. Cummings

We pursue tractable Bayesian analysis of generalized linear models (GLMs) for categorical data. Thus far, GLMs are difficult to scale to more than a few dozen categories due to non-conjugacy or strong posterior dependencies when using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-02 Michael T. Wojnowicz , Shuchin Aeron , Eric L. Miller , Michael C. Hughes

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Training modern large language models (LLMs) has become a veritable smorgasbord of algorithms and datasets designed to elicit particular behaviors, making it critical to develop techniques to understand the effects of datasets on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Ishaq Aden-Ali , Noah Golowich , Allen Liu , Abhishek Shetty , Ankur Moitra , Nika Haghtalab

Mixed linear regression is a well-studied problem in parametric statistics and machine learning. Given a set of samples, tuples of covariates and labels, the task of mixed linear regression is to find a small list of linear relationships…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Avishek Ghosh , Arya Mazumdar

Mixtures of Linear Regressions (MLR) is an important mixture model with many applications. In this model, each observation is generated from one of the several unknown linear regression components, where the identity of the generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Yuanzhi Li , Yingyu Liang