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Noise-contrastive estimation (NCE) is a statistically consistent method for learning unnormalized probabilistic models. It has been empirically observed that the choice of the noise distribution is crucial for NCE's performance. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Bingbin Liu , Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

We propose a novel and computationally efficient approach for nonparametric conditional density estimation in high-dimensional settings that achieves dimension reduction without imposing restrictive distributional or functional form…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-14 Jianhua Mei , Fu Ouyang , Thomas T. Yang

The estimation of probability density functions is a fundamental problem in science and engineering. However, common methods such as kernel density estimation (KDE) have been demonstrated to lack robustness, while more complex methods have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Anna Mészáros , Julian F. Schumann , Javier Alonso-Mora , Arkady Zgonnikov , Jens Kober

Density estimation and inference methods are widely used in empirical work. When the underlying distribution has compact support, conventional kernel-based density estimators are no longer consistent near or at the boundary because of their…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-24 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

Modes and ridges of the probability density function behind observed data are useful geometric features. Mode-seeking clustering assigns cluster labels by associating data samples with the nearest modes, and estimation of density ridges…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-03 Hiroaki Sasaki , Takafumi Kanamori , Aapo Hyvärinen , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

We propose a variant of the classical conditional gradient method for sparse inverse problems with differentiable measurement models. Such models arise in many practical problems including superresolution, time-series modeling, and matrix…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Nicholas Boyd , Geoffrey Schiebinger , Benjamin Recht

This paper discusses the R package lpcde, which stands for local polynomial conditional density estimation. It implements the kernel-based local polynomial smoothing methods introduced in Cattaneo, Chandak, Jansson, Ma (2024) for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-11 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

Boosting techniques from the field of statistical learning have grown to be a popular tool for estimating and selecting predictor effects in various regression models and can roughly be separated in two general approaches, namely gradient…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-16 Colin Griesbach , Andreas Groll , Elisabeth Waldmann

We propose a fast probabilistic framework for identifying differential equations governing the dynamics of observed data. We recast the SINDy method within a Bayesian framework and use Gaussian approximations for the prior and likelihood to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Lloyd Fung , Urban Fasel , Matthew P. Juniper

Density level sets are mainly estimated using one of three methodologies: plug-in, excess mass, or a hybrid approach. The plug-in methods are based on replacing the unknown density by some nonparametric estimator, usually the kernel. Thus,…

In this work, we explore the theoretical properties of conditional deep generative models under the statistical framework of distribution regression where the response variable lies in a high-dimensional ambient space but concentrates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Shivam Kumar , Yun Yang , Lizhen Lin

We present a new variable selection method based on model-based gradient boosting and randomly permuted variables. Model-based boosting is a tool to fit a statistical model while performing variable selection at the same time. A drawback of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-16 Janek Thomas , Tobias Hepp , Andreas Mayr , Bernd Bischl

Predicting how a dynamical unit evolves over time - how an individual ages, an epidemic spreads, or a physical system degrades - typically requires dense longitudinal tracking. When only extremely sparse or entirely cross-sectional data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Christian Lagemann , Kai Lagemann , Steven L. Brunton , Sach Mukherjee

Multivariate density estimation is a popular technique in statistics with wide applications including regression models allowing for heteroskedasticity in conditional variances. The estimation problems become more challenging when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Zhen Li , Lili Wu , Weilian Zhou , Sujit Ghosh

One of the popular measures of central tendency that provides better representation and interesting insights of the data compared to the other measures like mean and median is the metric mode. If the analytical form of the density function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Chandramouli Kamanchi , Raghuram Bharadwaj Diddigi , Prabuchandran K. J. , Shalabh Bhatnagar

Estimating the density of a continuous random variable X has been studied extensively in statistics, in the setting where n independent observations of X are given a priori and one wishes to estimate the density from that. Popular methods…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-09 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer

This paper introduces an algorithm to select demonstration examples for in-context learning of a query set. Given a set of $n$ examples, how can we quickly select $k$ out of $n$ to best serve as the conditioning for downstream inference?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ziniu Zhang , Zhenshuo Zhang , Dongyue Li , Lu Wang , Jennifer Dy , Hongyang R. Zhang

Joint distributions over many variables are frequently modeled by decomposing them into products of simpler, lower-dimensional conditional distributions, such as in sparsely connected Bayesian networks. However, automatically learning such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore

We introduce RNADE, a new model for joint density estimation of real-valued vectors. Our model calculates the density of a datapoint as the product of one-dimensional conditionals modeled using mixture density networks with shared…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-10 Benigno Uria , Iain Murray , Hugo Larochelle

The histogram method is a powerful non-parametric approach for estimating the probability density function of a continuous variable. But the construction of a histogram, compared to the parametric approaches, demands a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hideaki Kim , Hiroshi Sawada
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