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We introduce Hyper-Trees as a novel framework for modeling time series data using gradient boosted trees. Unlike conventional tree-based approaches that forecast time series directly, Hyper-Trees learn the parameters of a target time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Alexander März , Kashif Rasul

Symbolic regression is a machine learning technique, and it has seen many advancements in recent years, especially in genetic programming approaches (GPSR). Furthermore, it has been known for many years that constant optimization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-04 L. G. A dos Reis , V. L. P. S. Caminha , T. J. P. Penna

Gradient boosting is a state-of-the-art prediction technique that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of simple predictors---typically decision trees---by solving an infinite-dimensional convex optimization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre

Random Forest's performance can be matched by a single slow-growing tree (SGT), which uses a learning rate to tame CART's greedy algorithm. SGT exploits the view that CART is an extreme case of an iterative weighted least square procedure.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-15 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

The reduced basis method (RBM) empowers repeated and rapid evaluation of parametrized partial differential equations through an offline-online decomposition, a.k.a. a learning-execution process. A key feature of the method is a greedy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Jiahua Jiang , Yanlai Chen

This paper focuses on the development of novel greedy techniques for distributed learning under sparsity constraints. Greedy techniques have widely been used in centralized systems due to their low computational requirements and at the same…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Symeon Chouvardas , Gerasimos Mileounis , Nicholas Kalouptsidis , Sergios Theodoridis

Time series forecasting involves collecting and analyzing past observations to develop a model to extrapolate such observations into the future. Forecasting of future events is important in many fields to support decision making as it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Igor Ilic , Berk Gorgulu , Mucahit Cevik , Mustafa Gokce Baydogan

In learning to rank area, industry-level applications have been dominated by gradient boosting framework, which fits a tree using least square error principle. While in classification area, another tree fitting principle, weighted least…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-09-16 Tian Xia , Shaodan Zhai , Shaojun Wang

We present a representation for describing transition models in complex uncertain domains using relational rules. For any action, a rule selects a set of relevant objects and computes a distribution over properties of just those objects in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Victoria Xia , Zi Wang , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

This paper is a follow up to the previous author's paper on convex optimization. In that paper we began the process of adjusting greedy-type algorithms from nonlinear approximation for finding sparse solutions of convex optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-05 V. N. Temlyakov

Boosted decision trees are a very powerful machine learning technique. After introducing specific concepts of machine learning in the high-energy physics context and describing ways to quantify the performance and training quality of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-06-22 Yann Coadou

We study the problem of scheduling sensors in a resource-constrained linear dynamical system, where the objective is to select a small subset of sensors from a large network to perform the state estimation task. We formulate this problem as…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-05 Abolfazl Hashemi , Mahsa Ghasemi , Haris Vikalo , Ufuk Topcu

Decision trees are important both as interpretable models amenable to high-stakes decision-making, and as building blocks of ensemble methods such as random forests and gradient boosting. Their statistical properties, however, are not well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-20 Yan Shuo Tan , Abhineet Agarwal , Bin Yu

Tree-boosting is a widely used machine learning technique for tabular data. However, its out-of-sample accuracy is critically dependent on multiple hyperparameters. In this article, we empirically compare several popular methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Floris Jan Koster , Fabio Sigrist

Test-time data augmentation$-$averaging the predictions of a machine learning model across multiple augmented samples of data$-$is a widely used technique that improves the predictive performance. While many advanced learnable data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-23 Dmitry Molchanov , Alexander Lyzhov , Yuliya Molchanova , Arsenii Ashukha , Dmitry Vetrov

This paper extends recent work on boosting random forests to model non-Gaussian responses. Given an exponential family $\mathbb{E}[Y|X] = g^{-1}(f(X))$ our goal is to obtain an estimate for $f$. We start with an MLE-type estimate in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Indrayudh Ghosal , Giles Hooker

We propose a new method for learning deep neural network models that is based on a greedy learning approach: we add one basis function at a time, and a new basis function is generated as a non-linear activation function applied to a linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Daria Fokina , Ivan Oseledets

In this paper we tackle the problem of point and probabilistic forecasting by describing a blending methodology of machine learning models that belong to gradient boosted trees and neural networks families. These principles were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Ioannis Nasios , Konstantinos Vogklis

We consider the problem of learning a forest of nonlinear decision rules with general loss functions. The standard methods employ boosted decision trees such as Adaboost for exponential loss and Friedman's gradient boosting for general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-01 Rie Johnson , Tong Zhang

Gradient boosted decision trees are a popular machine learning technique, in part because of their ability to give good accuracy with small models. We describe two extensions to the standard tree boosting algorithm designed to increase this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-01 Natalia Ponomareva , Thomas Colthurst , Gilbert Hendry , Salem Haykal , Soroush Radpour
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