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There is currently a great deal of interest in the 4D-Var data assimilation scheme, in which one uses observational data to find the optimal initial condition for a differential equation by minimizing a cost function over the set of all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-07-20 Graham Cox

The four-dimensional variational data assimilation methodology for assimilating noisy observations into a deterministic model has been the workhorse of forecasting centers for over three decades. While this method provides a computationally…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Shady E Ahmed , Omer San , Sivaramakrishnan Lakshmivarahan , John M Lewis

This paper provides a detailed theoretical analysis of methods to approximate the solutions of high-dimensional (>10^6) linear Bayesian problems. An optimal low-rank projection that maximizes the information content of the Bayesian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-10-28 Nicolas Bousserez , Daven K. Henze

This study demonstrates how the incremental 4D-Var data assimilation method can be applied efficiently preconditione d in an application to an oceanographic problem. The approach consists in performing a few iterations of the reduced-order…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-09-19 Céline Robert , Eric Blayo , Jacques Verron

Data assimilation techniques, developed in the last two decades mainly for weather prediction, produce better forecasts by taking advantage of both theoretical/numerical models and real-time observations. In this paper, we explore the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Bélanger , Alain Vincent , Paul Charbonneau

In this article we develop further an algorithm for data assimilation based upon a shadowing refinement technique [de Leeuw et al., SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Sys., 17 (2018)] to take partial observations into account. Our method is based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Bart de Leeuw , Svetlana Dubinkina

Data Assimilation is the process in which we improve the representation of the state of a physical system by combining information coming from a numerical model, real-world observations, and some prior modelling. It is widely used to model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Victor Trappler , Arthur Vidard

This paper addresses the impact of assimilating data from the Earth Networks Total Lightning Network (ENTLN) during two cases of severe weather. Data from the ENTLN serve as a substitute for those from the upcoming launch of the GOES…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Razvan Stefanescu , I. Michael Navon , Henry Fuelberg , Max Marchand

This paper presents a reduced-order approach for four-dimensional variational data assimilation, based on a prior EO F analysis of a model trajectory. This method implies two main advantages: a natural model-based definition of a mul…

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVar) has become an increasingly important tool in data science with wide applications in many engineering and scientific fields such as geoscience1-12, biology13 and the financial…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-28 Xiangjun Tian , Aiguo Dai , Xiaobing Feng , Hongqin Zhang , Rui Han , Lu Zhang

Dynamic downscaling typically involves using numerical weather prediction (NWP) solvers to refine coarse data to higher spatial resolutions. Data-driven models such as FourCastNet have emerged as a promising alternative to the traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-05 Philip Dinenis , Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu

In this study, two classes of methods including statistical and variational data assimilation algorithms will be described. In statistical methods, the model state is updated sequentially based on the previous estimate. Variational methods,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Loc Luong

The integration of observational data into numerical models, known as data assimilation (DA), is fundamental for making Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) possible, with breathtaking success over the past 60 years (Bauer et al. 2015).…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-04 Jan D. Keller , Roland Potthast

This paper discusses the practical use of the saddle variational formulation for the weakly-constrained 4D-VAR method in data assimilation. It is shown that the method, in its original form, may produce erratic results or diverge because of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-31 S. Gratton , S. Gürol , E. Simon , Ph. L. Toint

An intrinsic property of almost any physical measuring device is that it makes observations which are slightly blurred in time. We consider a nudging-based approach for data assimilation that constructs an approximate solution based on a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Michael S. Jolly , Vincent R. Martinez , Eric J. Olson , Edriss S. Titi

We show how the 3DVAR data assimilation methodology can be used in the astrophysical context of a two-dimensional convection flow. We study the way this variational approach finds best estimates of the current state of the flow from a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-08-09 Andreas Svedin , Milena C. Cuellar , Axel Brandenburg

This paper develops a computational framework for optimizing the parameters of data assimilation systems in order to improve their performance. The approach formulates a continuous meta-optimization problem for parameters; the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Alexandru Cioaca , Adrian Sandu

Using a high degree of parallelism is essential to perform data assimilation efficiently. The state formulation of the incremental weak constraint four-dimensional variational data assimilation method allows parallel calculations in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-19 Ieva Daužickaitė , Amos S. Lawless , Jennifer A. Scott , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

State estimates from weak constraint 4D-Var data assimilation can vary significantly depending on the data and model error covariances. As a result, the accuracy of these estimates heavily depends on the correct specification of both model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Sandra R. Babyale , Jodi Mead , Donna Calhoun , Patricia O. Azike

We propose a certified reduced basis approach for the strong- and weak-constraint four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation problem for a parametrized PDE model. While the standard strong-constraint 4D-Var approach uses the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-08 Mark Kärcher , Sébastien Boyaval , Martin A. Grepl , Karen Veroy